Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview
At 1:35 PM ET, the Phillies and Orioles square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are the slight favorite on the money line (-133). The Phillies are +113 and have a record of 47-23, which has them in 1st place in the NL East.
The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and the Phillies are starting Zack Wheeler, while the Orioles have Corbin Burnes on the mound. Burnes has been solid this year, as he has a 2.85 ERA.
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Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 5-0 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
- The Phillies have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
The Orioles cruised to a 6-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. Baltimore had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -186 on the money line.
Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a rare walk. On the other side, Taijuan Walker got the start for the Phillies and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson each homered for the Orioles, while Ramon Urias scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Ryan O’Hearn also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
With an overall record of 47-23, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies have gone 12-6 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have been good at home, going 27-10, and they have gone 20-13 on the road. The Phillies have been really good in night games this year, going 32-12.
Philadelphia has dropped two straight series, and their overall series record is 14-6-4 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 41-18 this year, and they are 6-5 as the underdog. The Phillies have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games, and they are currently tied with the Orioles in their series.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they have a run line record of 38-32 on the season. They are 20-17 against the run line at home and 18-15 on the road. As the favorite, they are 32-27 against the run line, while they are 6-5 as the underdog.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their season average combined run average of 8.6. The Phillies have played 61 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 5-1-3. Overall, they have a 30-35 over/under record on the season.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 8-3 with a 2.16 ERA. Wheeler’s WHIP for the season is .94, and opponents are batting .172 off him this year. Wheeler has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that start, he gave up three hits, three walks, and one homer. Wheeler has given up a homer in each of his last three outings.
As a team, the Phillies are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the 4th best batting average in the league. Philadelphia’s lineup is also one of the toughest to strike out in the league and have the 3rd most walks in the league.
Over his last six games, Kyle Schwarber has been swinging a hot bat, going 10/24 with three homers and seven RBIs. Schwarber’s 14 homers is 2nd on the team and 8th in the league. Alec Bohm is hitting .295 for the season and leads the team with 55 RBIs. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season, batting .276 with a team-high 15 homers.
The Orioles are 46-24 overall this season, and they are 2.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore is 17-6 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles have split the first two games of their series vs. the Phillies, and their overall series record is an impressive 15-4-3. Currently, they have won two straight series.
At home, the Orioles are 24-14 this season, and they have gone 22-10 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 38-20 this year, and they are 8-4 as the underdog. Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 7-3.
The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 43-27 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 22-10 against the run line. They have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game, and they have been a good bet as the favorite, going 33-25 against the run line.
When the Baltimore Orioles play at home this season, the over/under line has been set at 7 runs just 9 times. The over has hit in 3 of those games, the under in 2, and there have been 4 pushes. Overall, the over has hit in 34 of the Orioles’ 60 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game.
Corbin Burnes has been outstanding this season for the Orioles, coming into the game with a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 2.08. He has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting just .188 off the right-hander this year. Burnes has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.52 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Burnes went seven innings, giving up one earned run on six hits. He finished with six strikeouts in the outing. Burnes has won each of his last three starts.
Not only are the Orioles the top-scoring team in the MLB this season at 5.1 runs per game, but they also lead the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and they have the best isolated power number in the league. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .449 is also the best in the league.
Adley Rutschman has been the Orioles’ top run producer this season, as his 52 RBIs are the best on the team and 4th best in the league. He is also batting .290 with 13 homers. Gunnar Henderson is 2nd on the team with 21 homers and has a batting average of .275. Henderson has gone deep three times in his last six games, while Anthony Santander has three homers in his last six games and is batting just .231 for the season.
Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -133. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes of the Orioles is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Zack Wheeler, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is fifth best.
Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Phillies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Kody Clemens | Out | Back |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
