Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 6/15/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have an interleague matchup between the Phillies and Orioles. First pitch is set for 4:05 PM ET, and MASN will be televising this one.

The Orioles are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -178, while the Phillies are at +150. Saturday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Grayson Rodriguez is starting for the Orioles, and the Phillies are going with Taijuan Walker. Philadelphia leads the NL East with a record of 47-22, while the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East at 45-24.

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Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Phillies are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Orioles have gone 4-1 (SU) and 5-0 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Phillies have won 6-4 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

Philadelphia rallied for two runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Phillies vs. Orioles series. The Phillies scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up one in the top of the 5th. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Phillies were at +115 on the money line.

Ranger Suarez started for the Phillies and went 6 2/3 innings while giving up just one run and striking out six. He finished with a win in the game, while Seranthony Dominguez got the save. Kyle Bradish only went five innings for the Orioles, giving up two earned runs on three hits.

Kyle Schwarber and Rafael Marchan each homered for the Phillies, while Alec Bohm went 3/5 with an RBI. Anthony Santander hit the game’s only other home run for the Orioles, going 2/5.

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Philadelphia is 47-22 overall and leads the NL East by nine games over the Braves. The Phillies are 12-6 in the division and have dropped two straight series. So far, they have been really good at home, going 27-10, and they are 20-12 on the road.

The Phillies have been really good in night games this year, going 31-11. As the favorite, the Phillies are 41-18 this year, and they are 6-4 when the underdog. Philadelphia has an overall series record of 14-6-4 this year.

When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which has helped them to a 38-31 run line record. They have been a solid bet on the run line, regardless of the venue, but have been a bit better on the road, where they are 18-14. They have been favored in 59 games, and have gone 32-27 on the run line in those games.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. The Phillies have a 30-35 over/under record on the season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 5-8. Overall, 63.8% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, but they are currently on a three-game over streak.

Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 5.40. So far, Walker has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a homer. In his three road starts, Walker is 2-1 with a 5.84 ERA. At home, his ERA is 5.16. Walker’s WHIP for the season is 1.45, and he is averaging 7.48 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed eight homers.

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they also have a collective batting average of .253, which is 5th in the MLB right now. Philadelphia has also done a good job of putting the ball in play, as their team strikeout rate is the 12th best in the league.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 11/25 in his last six games with three homers and eight RBIs. Schwarber is currently 2nd on the team with 14 homers and is batting .252 for the season. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are the Phillies’ top two hitters in terms of batting average, with Bohm hitting .292 and Harper at .277. Harper’s 15 homers are the most on the team and 6th best in the league.

The Orioles are 45-24 overall this season, and they are 3.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Phillies 0-1. So far, they have been great against other AL East teams, going 17-6.

At home, the Orioles are 23-14 this year, and they have gone 22-10 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 37-20 this year, and they are 8-4 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 15-4-3 and have won two straight series.

The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 42-27 overall. They are 20-17 against the run line at home and 22-10 on the road. As the favorite, they are 32-25 against the run line, while they are 10-2 as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.8, while it drops to -2.8 in losses.

The Baltimore Orioles are at home today against the Philadelphia Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-26. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-8. So far this season, 23.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he has a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 3.27. In his 11 starts, Rodriguez has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.09 strikeouts per nine innings. Most recently, he faced the Rays on June 9th and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He has won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, with an ERA of 2.1 compared to 4.78 on the road.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Rutschman hitting 13 homers and Henderson going deep 21 times, which is 2nd in the league. Rutschman is also batting .294, and Henderson is right behind him at .273. Anthony Santander has 15 homers but is hitting just .224 for the season and has gone 4/20 in his last five games.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 2nd in runs scored at 5.1 per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s best isolated power number and are 3rd in terms of OPS.

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Phillies matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles. However, there isn’t enough value on the money line, with the Orioles sitting at -178.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Grayson Rodriguez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and Taijuan Walker is predicted to finish with four. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Rodriguez is a good option.

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Phillies (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report