Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 6/14/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

At 7:05 PM ET, the Phillies and Orioles face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-131). The Phillies are +110, and they are 46-22 this season, which has them in 1st place in the NL East. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 45-23.

Friday’s forecast in Baltimore calls for temperatures in the mid to upper 80s with a few clouds. Kyle Bradish is slated to start for the Orioles, while the Phillies are going with Ranger Suarez.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Philadelphia Phillies odds

Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 5-0 against the spread.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 8-2 straight-up, and have gone 8-2 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Phillies have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 9-3 loss. Philadelphia was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Red Sox scored four times in the 2nd.

Aaron Nola took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings, and giving up eight earned runs on 11 hits. Kyle Schwarber was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a double, three RBIs, and a run scored. However, the Phillies couldn’t get much else going, as their other three hits were all singles.

Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Orioles having dropped two straight games, and they are 46-22 overall, putting them 1st in the NL East. The Phillies lead the Braves by nine games for the top spot in the division. So far, they have gone 12-6 in divisional games.

At home, the Phillies have gone 27-10, and they are 19-12 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games this season, going 31-11. As the favorite, the Phillies are 41-18 and 5-4 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 14-6-4, but they lost their most recent series vs. the Red Sox.

Philadelphia’s run line record on the road is 17-14, and its average run margin in road games is +1.2. The Phillies have covered the run line in two straight road games, and their overall run line record is 37-31. They have been the favorite in 59 games, going 32-27 against the run line.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 8 runs per game. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 29-35. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 5-10. The over has hit in two straight games for the Phillies.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 10-1 with an ERA of 1.81. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is .85, and opponents are batting .175 this season. In his last outing, Suárez picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had gone six straight starts without giving up more than two earned runs. Suárez has one complete game shutout this season.

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is good for 2nd in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .254. The Phillies are also near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

Kyle Schwarber has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 10/27 in his last seven games, including two homers and six RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .249, and his 13 homers is 2nd on the team and 8th in the league. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ top run producer so far, as his 52 RBIs is the best mark in the league.

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 6-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight favorite at -114 on the money line. Things started off well for the Orioles, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Braves scored two runs in the top of the first.

Cole Irvin got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on nine hits. Kyle Stowers had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Jordan Westburg had a good day at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored.

With an overall record of 45-23, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, 2.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have been excellent against other teams in the AL East, going 17-6 this season. Baltimore is coming off winning their series vs. the Braves, taking two of three games.

At home, the Orioles are 23-13 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 22-10. As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 37-19 and 8-4 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 15-4-3, and they have won two straight series.

When betting the run line on the Orioles this season, they have been a solid play, going 42-26. They have been even better on the road, going 22-10. As the favorite, they are 32-24, while as the underdog, they are 10-2. Their average run margin this season is +1.6 runs per game.

The Baltimore Orioles will host the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Orioles have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-26. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-4. So far this season, 76.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Kyle Bradish gets the start for the Orioles today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Rays on June 8th, he went six innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Bradish has made seven starts, has a record of 2-0, and his ERA is 2.62. Opponents are batting .188 off Bradish this season, and his WHIP is 1.11. One area of concern for Bradish is his BB/9 figure, which is currently 3.67. So far, he has made two quality starts.

So far this season, the Orioles have been the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top team slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are 8th in batting average and have the league’s best isolated power number.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Rutschman having 13 homers and Henderson at 21. Rutschman is also batting .294, and Henderson is hitting .273. Anthony Santander has 14 homers but is batting just .221 for the season and has gone 6/27 in his last seven games.

For this Phillies vs. Orioles matchup, we really like the Orioles on the money line at -131. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles, giving us a good amount of value with the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Bradish is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a better ERA than Ranger Suarez. Suarez is projected to finish with five K’s.

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Phillies (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report