Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 7/13/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview

At 4:05 PM ET, the Yankees and Orioles face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-135). The Yankees have a record of 57-39, and they are starting Luis Gil.

New York is currently on a four-game winning streak, while the Orioles have lost four straight. Grayson Rodriguez will be on the mound for the Orioles. FS1 will be televising this game, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – New York Yankees odds

Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• Conversely, the Orioles have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Yankees’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.

New York picked up a 4-1 road win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a two-run 2nd inning and added their final two runs in the 9th. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -128 on the money line.

Gerrit Cole started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Orioles, Cade Povich got the start and took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Aaron Judge and Jose Trevino each homered for the Yankees, while Juan Soto went 2/5 with an RBI. Judge, Trevino, and Soto each scored two runs for New York’s offense.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction

With a record of 57-39, the Yankees are just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is 15-18 against other AL East teams this year. The Yankees took the first game of this series vs. the Orioles and really needed it, as they had lost seven straight games.

As the Yankees have gone 3-7 over their last 10, they have struggled to win games as the favorite, going 44-33. As for their record as the underdog, the Yankees are 13-6 this year, including 12-4 on the road. New York’s overall road record is 32-20 compared to a 25-19 mark at home.

The Yankees are 30-22 against the run line on the road this season, with an average run margin of +1.3 runs per game. They have an overall run line record of 51-45, with an average run margin of +1.1 runs per game. Their run line record as the favorite is 36-41, while they are 15-4 against the run line as the underdog.

The Yankees are on the road against the Orioles today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 49-43. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-16. So far this season, 21 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 21.9% of their games.

New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 9-5 and an ERA of 3.27. Gil has made 18 starts this year and has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings, and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings. Gil’s ERA at home is 6.95 compared to 3.70 on the road. So far, he has a record of 4-2 on the road.

For the season, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have also been one of the best home run-hitting teams in the league, with their 135 homers being the 2nd most in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .247, which is the 8th best mark in the league. New York’s team on-base percentage is also among the league’s best, and they are the top-walk-drawing team in the league.

Yankees fans are hoping that Aaron Judge and Juan Soto can continue their strong seasons, as both players are batting near .300 and have some of the top home run and RBI totals in the league. Judge comes into the game with a league-leading 84 RBIs and 33 homers, while Soto has 65 RBIs and 22 homers. Soto has gone 9/32 in his last eight games, while Ben Rice has also hit five homers in this stretch but is batting just .212.

With an overall record of 57-37, the Orioles lead the AL East by just one game over the Yankees. The Orioles have dropped four straight games, and this losing streak includes dropping the first game of this series vs. the Yankees. So far, they have gone 19-8 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Orioles are 29-21 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 28-16. So far, they have gone 46-30 as the favorite while posting an 11-7 record as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 19-7-3 and has won two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line on the Orioles this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They have a losing record against the run line overall, but they have been profitable on the road. Baltimore is 27-17 against the run line away from home, compared to just 24-26 at home. They have been favored in 76 games this season, and they are just 38-38 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in games they have won is +3.8, while their average run differential in losses is -3.6.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is slightly higher than the Baltimore Orioles’ season average of 8 runs per game. The O’s have played in 24 games with higher over/under lines this season, accounting for just over a quarter of their games. Baltimore has gone over the total in 15 of 27 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and the under has hit in each of their last three games.

Grayson Rodriguez will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Athletics. In that start, he went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. Looking back further, he has won three straight starts and has a record of 11-3 this season. Rodriguez’s ERA is 3.52, and he has a WHIP of 1.22. Opposing batters are hitting .230 this season off the right-hander. Rodriguez has made 16 starts, nine of which were quality starts, and he is averaging 9.98 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 2nd in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. Not only are they the top home run hitting team in the league, but they also have the best isolated power mark in the league. Overall, they are batting .253, which is the 5th best mark in the MLB.

Gunnar Henderson has been a big part of the Orioles offense this season, as he is batting .288 with 27 homers and 61 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/42 in his last 10 games with a home run. Jordan Westburg has also homered twice in his last 10 games but is batting just .244 over that stretch.

Our pick for today’s Yankees vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line, where the odds are sitting at -135. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is fifth-best among all starters today. As for Grayson Rodriguez, he is also projected to finish with seven K’s, and we have him finishing with a better chance to pick up the win than Gil.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Yankees (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report