Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 4/30/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview

At 6:35 PM from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have an AL East matchup between the Yankees and Orioles. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Yankees are 19-11, while the Orioles are 18-10. The forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s.

New York is sending Nestor Cortes to the mound up against Dean Kremer for the Orioles. The Yankees are the road favorite, with money line odds of -126. The over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs.

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Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• The Orioles, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• The Yankees have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 4-6.
• The Orioles have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

Baltimore picked up a 2-0 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had just one more hit than the Yankees and struck out six more times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -130 on the money line.

Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed three walks. On the other side, Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees and took the loss, giving up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work.

The only run for the Orioles came in the first inning, as Gunnar Henderson hit a solo home run. He finished the game with two of the Orioles’ four hits. Gleyber Torres had two hits for the Yankees.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are on the road today vs. the Orioles with an overall record of 19-11, which matches the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they are just 5-5 in AL East matchups. New York dropped the first game of this series vs. the Orioles after winning the final game of their series vs. the Brewers. This year, they are 5-3 as the road favorite and have an overall series record of 7-1-1.

At home, the Yankees have gone 8-5 this year and are 11-6 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 13-8 and are 6-3 as the underdog this year.

The Yankees are 14-16 against the run line this season, including a 10-7 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 7-2 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it’s -2.4 in losses.

The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 12-17. Their games have had an average line of 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over/under record is 0-2. So far this season, none of their games have had an over/under line set higher than 9.5 runs.

New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Cortes has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.50. Looking at his overall numbers, Cortes has a WHIP of 1.00 and has turned in three quality starts. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed a run in two straight starts. Cortes has been much better at home, with an ERA of 1.29 compared to 7.2 on the road.

So far this season, the Yankees offense has been very good, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. New York is 2nd in the league in home runs and have the top on-base percentage in the league. As a team, they are batting .251.

Juan Soto has been a big part of the Yankees lineup so far, as he is batting .316 with seven homers and 24 RBIs. Aaron Judge has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 8/24 in his last six games with three homers and seven RBIs. This has raised his season average to .212.

The Orioles will host the Yankees today with an overall record of 18-10, and they lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. Baltimore has gone 4-0 against other teams in the AL East this year. The Orioles took the first game of this series vs. the Yankees and dropped the series opener vs. the Athletics.

As the underdog, the Orioles have won two straight, and they are 3-1 as the underdog overall. Baltimore is 15-9 when favored this year, and they are 10-6 at home compared to 8-4 on the road. The Orioles have an overall series record of 6-3 this year and have won three straight series on the road.

The Orioles have been a solid run line bet this season, going 16-12 overall. They are 9-7 against the run line at home and 7-5 on the road. Baltimore has been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 3-1 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4 runs per game.

The Baltimore Orioles have had a combined run average of 9.6 this season, and their over/under record is 16-10. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 2-0. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Orioles have gone under in both games. Overall, 92.9% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9.5 runs.

Dean Kremer is getting the start for the Orioles at home against the Yankees. Kremer has started 3 games this season and is coming off a win over the Angels in which he struck out 10 batters in 5 1/3 innings. He has 3 home runs allowed this season, which came in his first start of the year vs. the Brewers.

Adley Rutschman has been a consistent hitter for the Orioles this season, batting .316, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. He also has four home runs and 17 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has been on a tear of late, going 6/20 over his last five games with three homers. For the season, Henderson is hitting .289 with a league-leading 10 home runs.

As a team, the Orioles are the best home run hitting team in the league and are 2nd in the league in runs per game at 5.5. They also have the league’s top isolated power rating. Overall, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout sitting at +105. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Dean Kremer finishing with more strikeouts than Nestor Cortes. However, if you’re looking at a player prop, there are better options than Kremer, as we have him finishing with just four K’s.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Orioles on the moneyline (+105)
• On the run line we like Orioles (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report