Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 4/29/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview

At 6:35 PM from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have an American League matchup between the Yankees and Orioles. Heading into Monday’s game, the Yankees are 19-10, while the Orioles are 17-10. New York is currently favored on the money line at +109.

The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Clarke Schmidt for the Yankees and Grayson Rodriguez for the Orioles. You can catch this one on MASN.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – New York Yankees odds

Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Yankees in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• As the favorite, the Orioles are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Yankees have won 7-3 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 15-5 win. After allowing one run to the Brewers in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with a run of their own and added another three runs in the 2nd inning. New York really broke things open with a seven-run 6th inning. Going into the game, the Yankees were the slight favorite at -136 on the money line.

Marcus Stroman had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on six hits and issuing three walks. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Anthony Rizzo, who went 4/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

The Yankees are on the road today to take on the Orioles, with the Yankees leading the AL East by one game over the Orioles. New York comes into today’s game having won two straight, and they are 19-10 overall. The Yankees have gone 5-4 against other AL East teams this year.

At home, the Yankees have gone 8-5 this year, and they have been really good on the road, putting together an 11-5 record. As the road underdog, the Yankees have gone 6-2 this year and are 13-8 when favored. New York’s overall series record is 7-1-1 this year.

The Yankees have a run line record of 14-15 this season, and they have been a profitable bet on the run line on the road, where they are 10-6. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.4. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 7-1 as an underdog.

Despite the Yankees’ recent over streak, the over/under line for their game against the Orioles is set at just 9.5 runs. New York’s games have averaged 8.7 runs this season, and their over/under record is just 12-16. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and they have played just two games with a line of 9.5 runs, both of which went over the total.

Clarke Schmidt and the Yankees are on the road to take on the Orioles. This will be Schmidt’s first road start of the season, as he has started all of his games at home so far. He has been solid in his first three outings, going 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA. In his last start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 3 runs and striking out 6 against the A’s.

So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 6.1 runs per game. As a team, the Yankees are 2nd in home runs and have the league’s top on-base percentage. Their team batting average of .253 is also 7th in the league.

Juan Soto has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .318 with a team-high 24 RBIs and 7 homers. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are also among the league leaders in home runs but are batting just .211 and .237, respectively. Judge has been swinging the bat well of late, going 8/27 in his last seven games with three homers.

Baltimore is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 7-6 loss to the Athletics, Ryan Mountcastle went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs, and Ramon Urias went only 1/4 but scored three runs. The Orioles also got a big game from Adley Rutschman, going 1/5 with a homer.

Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. The Orioles also issued three walks and hit a batter.

Baltimore will host the Yankees today with an overall record of 17-10, which has them just one game behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Orioles are 3-0 against other teams in the AL East so far. The Orioles dropped the series finale of their most recent series vs. the Athletics but still took the series 2-1. So far, they have gone 8-4 on the road and 9-6 at home.

As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 14-9 this year, and they are 3-1 as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 6-3 this year and have won three straight series on the road. Their series vs. the Athletics was the first series they played at home this year.

The Orioles have been a solid run line bet this season, going 15-12 overall. They have been particularly good at home, where they are 8-7 against the run line. Their average run differential on the season is +1.3 runs per game, and they have been a good bet as the favorite, going 12-11 against the run line in those games.

When the Orioles have played games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, the over has hit in both games. Overall, the Orioles have played 25 games with lower over/under lines, and the over has hit in 16 of those games. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 16-9.

Grayson Rodriguez has gotten off to a solid start to the season, as he has a win and a no-decision in his first two starts. He is coming off a loss to the Angels, where he struck out 11 but gave up 7 runs. Rodriguez has given up 3 homers in his first 2 starts.

Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late, going 13/36 in his last eight games with two homers and six RBIs. He is batting .318 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 17 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson also has been swinging a hot bat, going 11/34 in his last eight games with three homers and seven RBIs. Henderson’s nine homers for the season is 2nd in the league and tops on the Orioles.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.6 runs per game. They also lead the league in home runs and have the top slugging percentage in the league. Baltimore is also the league’s top team in terms of isolated power.

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Orioles matchup is that the Orioles will pick up a 6-5 win. With the Orioles being the predicted winner, we recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -131.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Grayson Rodriguez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which ranks him 11th among starters. As for Clarke Schmidt, he has a higher strikeout projection at eight, which is the best among starters.

Offensively, the Yankees are projected to finish with eight hits, compared to the Orioles with nine. However, the Yankees are projected to finish with more home runs, with the Orioles having a team toal of seven.

If you’re looking for a prediction for the over/under, we would take the over at 9.5 runs.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Yankees (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report