Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Tips 8/25/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Preview

The Astros and Orioles face off in an AL matchup at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-107). The Astros have a money line payout of -112, and they are 1st in the AL West with a record of 69-60. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East at 76-55.

Yusei Kikuchi is starting for the Astros, and he will be facing off against Dean Kremer for the Orioles. Houston is currently on a two-game losing streak, while the Orioles have won two straight. The over/under line for this game is sitting at 8.5 runs, and it can be seen on ESPN.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Houston Astros odds

Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Astros in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
• The Astros are 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
• The Orioles hold a 5-5 record as the favorite and a 4-6 record as the underdog.

Baltimore picked up a 3-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight favorites at -111.

Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out three. Keegan Akin got the win out of the bullpen, and Seranthony Dominguez got the save. Framber Valdez only went 5 2/3 innings for the Astros, giving up three earned runs on six hits.

At the plate, Adley Rutschman went 2/3 with an RBI, while Jackson Holliday also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs. Jose Altuve hit the game’s only home run, going 1/3 with two RBIs.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Astros are 69-60 overall, putting them 1st in the AL West. Currently, they hold a 4.5-game lead over the Mariners for the division lead. The Astros have dropped two straight games, and this season, they are 21-18 in AL West matchups.

At home, the Astros are 35-29 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-31 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 95 games, going 52-43 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Astros are 17-17 this season, and their overall series record is 23-17-1.

When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 36-29. They are 29-35 against the run line at home. Their average run margin on the road is 0.2, and they have a run line record of 65-64 overall. They have covered the run line in four straight games when they are the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is slightly below the season average for the Houston Astros, who have played to an average of 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 51-74, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 16 of 26 games, which is a 38.5% over percentage for those contests. Overall, 37 of their games have had lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 28.7% of their games this season.

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Kikuchi has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.37. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kikuchi finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Kikuchi has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-2 and 5.56 ERA compared to 2-7 with a 4.82 ERA at home.

Yainer Diaz comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak, and over his last six games, he has gone 9/24 with two homers. For the season, he is batting .302 with 15 homers and 71 RBIs, which leads the Astros. Yordan Alvarez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 25 homers is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.

Alvarez and Diaz are not the only two Astros hitters swinging the bat well right now, as Jose Altuve and Jeremy Pena have both hit two homers over their last five games. Altuve comes into the game batting .299 with 18 homers, and Pena is hitting .263 in a limited role. Overall, the Astros are 3rd in batting average, averaging 4.6 runs per game.

With an overall record of 76-55, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, just a half-game behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10. Baltimore has been good against other AL East teams, putting together a mark of 28-15 this season.

At home, the Orioles are 39-29 compared to 37-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 62-42 this season and 14-13 as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 23-12-6 this year.

The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 72-59 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 39-24. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 20-7 on the run line. They have a run line win streak of five games as the underdog.

When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Orioles is 70-51, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 21-17. In 40 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 30.5% of their games.

Right-hander Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Astros at home. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.30. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is 1.26, and opponents are batting .216 this season. Kremer has turned in six quality starts this year and is averaging 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kremer picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 5.5 compared to 4.35 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the league’s top home run-hitting team and have the league’s best isolated power figure. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd best in the league. This includes averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road. Overall, they are batting .253 (6th) and have the league’s top slugging percentage.

Anthony Santander has been the Orioles’ top power threat this season, with his 38 home runs leading the team and ranking 3rd in the league. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .150 over his last five games. Gunnar Henderson comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .284 and 33 homers, which is 2nd on the team.

Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles, and with them at -107 on the money line, we see this as a great payout. Looking at the starting pitchers, Dean Kremer is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and Yusei Kikuchi is predicted to end the game with six.

Offensively, the Orioles are projected to finish with 11 hits, compared to the Astros, who we have finishing with nine. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, the Orioles are predicted to finish with the second-most home runs in the league today, and the Astros are down in 15th.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• The Orioles should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Houston Astros Injury Report