Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Preview
From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, the Orioles will host the Astros, with the first pitch for Saturday’s matchup being set for 4:05 PM ET. The money line odds have the Astros as the favorite, and they are also 1st in the AL West with a record of 69-59. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East at 75-55.
Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Framber Valdez for the Astros. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Astros are 5-1 in their last six games, while the Orioles have won three of their last five.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Houston Astros odds
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats
- The Astros are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- The Orioles, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- The Astros have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 4-6.
- The Orioles have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Orioles vs Astros series. Baltimore went into the matchup as +101 underdogs and squeaked out a 7-5 win. The Orioles had a huge 8th inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Astros, they scored four of their five runs in the 3rd inning.
Hunter Brown pitched well for the Astros in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Bryan Abreu took the loss. As for the Orioles, Cade Povich got the start and gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and issued two walks.
Anthony Santander and Colton Cowser each homered for the Orioles, while Jeremy Pena hit a home run for the Astros. Santander, Cowser, and Santander each had two hits and four RBIs.
Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction
Houston leads the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners and have an overall record of 69-59. The Astros will be on the road today vs. the Orioles. So far, they have gone 21-18 in divisional games, and they have won three straight series on the road.
The Astros have been the favorite in most of their games, putting them at 52-43 when favored this year. As the road favorite, they have gone 20-19. Their overall record in Houston is 35-29. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 23-17-1 this year.
When the Astros are the underdog, they have a 22-11 run line record. Their average run differential in those games is +0.6 runs per game.
The Houston Astros are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 51-73. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Astros have a record of 16-25. So far this season, 37 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 28.9% of their games.
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 13-5 with a 3.20 ERA. Valdez has pitched well recently, coming off a start in which he didn’t give up a run. In that outing vs. the White Sox, he went seven innings, picking up the win. Valdez has won each of his last three starts. This year, he has one complete game and 13 quality starts. Valdez’s ERA at home is 3.50, compared to 3.91 on the road.
Yordan Alvarez has been a huge power threat for the Astros this season, as his 25 homers are the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team in RBIs (67) and has a strong batting average of .306. Yainer Diaz has also been a key run producer for the Astros, as his 71 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.
Over his last nine games, Diaz has gone 12/37 with three homers. For the season, he is batting .303. Alex Bregman is 2nd on the team in homers (20) but is batting just .258. As a team, the Astros are 2nd in the league in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per contest.
The Orioles are 75-55 overall and trail the Yankees by 1.5 games for the AL East lead. Baltimore is 28-15 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles are at home today, where they are 38-29 this year. They have been good on the road, going 37-26.
So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 61-42, and they are 14-13 as the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Orioles are 23-12-6 this year. They will look to improve that mark today, as they are tied 1-1 in their series vs. the Astros.
The Orioles have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 72-58 overall. They are 33-34 against the run line at home, but 39-24 on the road. Baltimore has been a good bet as an underdog, going 20-7 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it is -3.5 in losing games.
The Orioles have played in 93 games this season, and 40 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their over/under record in those games is 21-16, and their combined run average in all games this season is 9.4 runs per game. Their overall over/under record is 70-50, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs.
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Astros at home. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and four of them have been quality starts. Suárez’s record for the season is 6-4, and he comes in with an ERA of 3.18. In his 96 1/3 innings of work, Suárez has a WHIP of 1.29 and is averaging 7.29 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Suárez picked up the win, going six innings and not allowing a run. He gave up six hits and didn’t issue a walk in the outing.
Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 38 home runs lead the Orioles and are 3rd in the MLB. However, he is batting just .238 for the season and has gone 4/20 in his last five games. Gunnar Henderson has been a consistent bat for the Orioles this season, as his 33 homers are 2nd on the team and he is batting .284 for the year.
As a team, the Orioles lead the league in home runs and are 3rd in the league in runs per game. They are also the top team in the league in slugging percentage and have the best isolated power figure in the MLB. Overall, they are batting .253 and have the league’s top slugging percentage.
Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line at +109. We have the Orioles winning this one 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Framber Valdez has a better chance of picking up a win than the Orioles’ starter, Albert Suarez. However, we have Valdez going five innings compared to Suarez going just four, and we have Valdez finishing with five strikeouts compared to Suarez with five.
Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Betting Tips
- We like the Orioles on the moneyline (+109)
- On the run line we like Orioles (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Zach Eflin | Out | Shoulder |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan Mountcastle | Questionable | Wrist |
| Cedric Mullins | Questionable | Quadriceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Lat |
| Jacob Webb | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Heston Kjerstad | Out | Head |
| Jordan Westburg | Out | Hand |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pressly | Out | Back |
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Kyle Tucker | Out | Shin |
| Yordan Alvarez | Questionable | Neck |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Kaleb Ort | Out | Personal |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
