Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Tips 8/23/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Preview

At 7:05 PM ET, the Astros and Orioles face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (+100). The Astros are leading the AL West with a record of 69-58, while the Orioles are second in the AL East at 74-55.

MLBN will be televising Friday’s matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 9 runs. Hunter Brown will be starting for the Astros, while the Orioles are going with Cade Povich. Baltimore is looking to snap a two-game losing streak.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Astros are 5-0. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Orioles have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• The Astros have a 8-2 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
• As the underdog, the Orioles have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.

Houston cruised to a 6-0 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Orioles, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster two hits and left two runners on base.

Spencer Arrighetti pitched well for the Astros in this one, going six innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Corbin Burnes had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss.

Ben Gamel was the only player in the game to have more than one hit, as he went 2/3 with two RBIs. Shay Whitcomb also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Astros are 69-58 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL West. Currently, they lead the Mariners by 5.5 games for the top spot in the division. Houston is 21-18 in divisional matchups this season. The Astros have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 23-17-1 this year.

At home, the Astros are 35-29 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-29 on the road. Heading into game two vs. the Orioles, the Astros have dropped two straight games as the favorite. This year, they are 52-42 as the favorite and 17-16 as the underdog.

The Astros have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 64-63. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 35-28 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 22-11, compared to 42-52 as the favorite. Their average run margin this season is +0.6 runs per game.

When the Astros are on the road, they have a combined run average of 8.6, and the over/under record for their games is 50-73. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and when the line is set at 9, their over/under record is 11-7-2. Overall, 70.9% of their games have had over/under lines set below 9 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 11-7 with an ERA of 3.82. Brown’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.34. In his last outing, Brown picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Brown has been pitching well lately, as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .245 off Brown this season.

Yainer Diaz has been swinging a hot bat for the Astros of late, going 11/33 in his last eight games with three homers. Diaz is currently leading the team in RBIs (71) and is 2nd in home runs, with 25. Alex Bregman is 3rd on the team in RBIs and has 20 homers but is batting just .261 for the season.

As a team, the Astros are 2nd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the 9th best slugging percentage in the league.

With an overall record of 74-55, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 1.5 games. The Orioles lost the first game of their series vs. the Astros and have dropped two straight games overall. In the AL East, they have a division record of 28-15 this season.

At home, the Orioles are 37-29 this season, and they are 37-26 on the road. This year, they have really excelled as the favorite, going 61-42. As the underdog, their record is 13-13, and they are 3-3 as the home underdog this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 23-12-6 this year.

When the Orioles win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which has helped them to a 71-58 run line record this season. They have been a profitable team to bet on the run line at home, going 32-34, but they have been even better on the road, going 39-24. As the underdog, they have been especially good, going 19-7 on the run line.

When the Orioles are at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. This season, their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 69-50. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 15-14-3. So far this season, only 6.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 69% of their games having lower lines. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Left-hander Cade Povich gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Astros at home. Povich has made nine starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with a 5.77 ERA. In his last outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Povich has given up at least one homer in each of his last four outings. His ERA at home is 3.75 compared to 28.02 on the road.

So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top power-hitting team, as they are 1st in home runs and also have the league’s best isolated power numbers. Overall, they are 3rd in the league in runs scored and are averaging 5 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting .253 (7th) and have the league’s best slugging percentage.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Santander’s 37 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 33 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Henderson comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .286 and is currently on a three-game hitting streak. However, he has gone just 6/26 in his last seven games.

Our prediction for this Astros vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout sitting at +100. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cade Povich finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him as the 20th highest among starters today. As for Hunter Brown, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him at 14th.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Betting Tips

• We like the Orioles on the moneyline (+100)
• On the run line we like Orioles (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Houston Astros Injury Report