Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Tips 8/22/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Preview

The Astros and Orioles are set to face off in an AL matchup at 7:08 PM ET. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -162 compared to the Astros at +137.

Spencer Arrighetti will go for the Astros, while the Orioles are starting Corbin Burnes. Houston is currently on a two-game losing streak, and their overall record is 68-58, which has them in 1st place in the AL West. Baltimore is 2nd in the AL East with a record of 74-54.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Astros have recorded a 5-0 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• Conversely, the Orioles have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Astros have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction

Houston closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 4-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Red Sox scored one run in the top of the first.

Justin Verlander had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on four hits and issuing three walks. He also hit a batter and took the loss. The Astros’s offense scored only one run, and Alex Bregman’s solo home run was the lone bright spot. The Astros also wasted a big game from Mauricio Dubon, who went 2/4 with a double and a run scored.

Houston is currently 68-58 overall, putting them five games ahead of the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Astros will be on the road today, taking on the Orioles, having dropped two straight games. Their series loss to the Red Sox came after winning back-to-back series.

As the road underdog, the Astros have gone 13-11 this season, and they have won eight straight games on the road overall. As the favorite, Houston is 52-42 this season and 35-29 at home.

When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs. They are 42-52 against the run line as the favorite, but 21-11 as the underdog. Their overall run line record is 63-63, and they are 34-28 against the run line on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 50-72. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-25. Overall, 38.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 5-11 and an ERA of 5.21. So far, he has made 22 starts, and opponents are batting .245 this season. Arrighetti has turned in six quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 7.37 compared to 7.16 on the road. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So, he will be looking to bounce back today.

Yainer Diaz has been on a tear for the Astros of late, going 13/37 in his last nine games with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .304 with 15 home runs, which is 5th in the league. Yordan Alvarez is leading the Astros in homers with 25 and is 2nd on the team with a batting average of .307.

As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 2nd best team batting average in the MLB. Houston is also one of the best teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts.

The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Mets scored a run in the bottom of the 8th. Baltimore was the +121 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Cole Irvin had a rough outing, giving up two earned runs on five hits and issuing two walks. He only lasted json 4 1/3 innings and took the loss. The Orioles’s offense was carried by Austin Slater, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Baltimore is 74-54 overall this season, putting them just a half-game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone 28-15 in AL East matchups. The Orioles will host the Astros today with an overall record of 37-28 at home.

The Orioles are coming off a series loss to the Mets, dropping two of three games. Heading into today’s game, they are just 4-6 across their last 10. As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 61-41 and are 34-25 as the favorite at home. Overall, they have gone 23-12-6 in series this year.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Orioles have been a solid play this season, going 71-57. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 39-24. However, they have been just about a .500 team against the run line at home, going 32-33. They have been favored in most of their games, and their run line record as the favorite is 52-50.

The Baltimore Orioles are hosting the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles have a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 69-49. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-16. So far this season, 40 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 31.2% of their games.

Corbin Burnes will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he gets the start for the Orioles today. In that start, which came on August 16th, he gave up 8 earned runs in 4 innings of work. Burnes took the loss in the outing. Before that start, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Burnes has a record of 12-5 this season and an ERA of 3.10. Opponents are batting .211 off Burnes this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.43 strikeouts and just 2.23 walks.

So far this season, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 1st in isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the majors. Their team batting average of .254 is also 5th in the league. Baltimore has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.

Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/38 in his last 10 games with four homers. For the season, he is batting .287 with 33 homers and 78 RBIs. Anthony Santander has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as he is 3rd in the league with 37 homers.

Our prediction for this Astros vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 6-5, meaning there is some room for the line to move up to 9 runs and still be comfortable taking the over.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Corbin Burnes finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for fifth worst among starters today. As for Spencer Arrighetti, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is right in the middle of the pack.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Astros (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Houston Astros Injury Report