Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Preview
From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have the Tigers and Orioles facing off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 4:05 PM ET, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -127. The money line odds for a Tigers win are +108, and they are 4th in the AL Central with a record of 80-74. Baltimore is 2nd in the AL East at 86-68 and they have won two straight.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and BSDET is the Tigers’ TV partner. Reese Olson is starting for the Tigers, while the Orioles are going with Cade Povich.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Tigers are 4-1. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 4-6, while going 4-6 against the runline.
- The Tigers have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Detroit wasted an excellent outing from Tyler Holton, as he went just one inning but gave up just two hits and two earned runs as the starter for the Tigers. After scoring two runs in the first inning, the Tigers were held in check until they broke out for one run in the top of the 9th, picking up a 7-1 road win over the Orioles.
Corbin Burnes started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued three walks. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -165 on the money line.
Baltimore’s offense was led by James McCann and Colton Cowser, as they were the only two Orioles hitters to have more than one hit. McCann homered twice and drove in three runs. Anthony Santander also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit is 80-74 overall and trails the Guardians by 9.5 games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 27-22 in divisional games. The Tigers are on a four-game winning streak in series, and their overall series record is 24-20-5 this year.
At home, the Tigers have gone 39-36 this season and are just above .500 at 41-38 on the road. As the underdog, Detroit is 44-50 this season compared to going 36-24 as the favorite. Currently, they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line on the Tigers, it’s been best to take them on the road. They are 49-30 against the run line away from Comerica Park compared to just 33-42 at home. Detroit has a run differential of +0.4 runs per game on the road, and its average run differential in games it has won is +3.6 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Detroit Tigers’ road game against the Baltimore Orioles is right in line with their season average of 8.2 runs per game. The Tigers have played 24 games with higher over/under lines this season, but overall, their games have gone over the total just 15.6% of the time. Their over/under record for the season is 76-74, and their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game.
Detroit is sending right-hander Reese Olson to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 3.50. Looking at his overall numbers, Olsen has a WHIP of 1.21 and has turned in nine quality starts. In his most recent outing, Olsen finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has given up seven homers on the road compared to just one at home.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are 18th in the league in runs per game at 4.2. This is also their home and road splits for the season. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 16th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .299 is also below average. Detroit’s team OPS of .685 is 20th in the league.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ most consistent power threat this season, as he is 1st on the team with 24 home runs and is also 1st in RBIs with 71. Greene has gone deep four times in his last 10 games, but he is batting just .256 over that stretch. Colt Keith has a five-game hitting streak going and is 3rd on the team with 13 homers.
With an overall record of 86-68, the Orioles are four games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles have won two straight games, and their record in the AL East is 30-19 this season. Baltimore took the series opener vs. the Tigers, and their overall series record is 25-17-7 this year.
At home, the Orioles are 44-35 compared to 42-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 70-50 this year, and they are 16-18 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall record is not too far off from the Yankees, but they are just 4-6 over their last ten games.
The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 82-72. They have been particularly good on the road, going 44-31. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak at home and have been an underdog in 34 games, going 22-12.
When the Orioles play at home, the over has been a strong bet, with a record of 24-20 when the line is set at 8.5 runs. In fact, the over has hit in 82 of their 143 games this season. The combined run average in their games is 9.1, and they are currently on a four-game over streak. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.
Cade Povich gets the start for the Orioles today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers. In that start, which came on September 15th, Povich took the loss and gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. He finished with a final line of 2 earned runs, 8 hits, 2 walks, and 1 homer allowed. Looking back across his last three outings, Povich has finished with a record of 1-2. His ERA for the season is 5.74, along with a record of 2-9. Opposing batters are hitting .271 off Povich this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 1st in the league in isolated power. As a team, they are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. This season, they are batting .248, which is 8th in the league.
Anthony Santander has been a key power bat in the Orioles lineup this season, as he is 3rd in the league with 43 home runs and is 10th in the league with 99 RBIs. However, he has struggled in his last seven games, batting just .154. Gunnar Henderson has been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/28 in his last seven games, and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
Looking at the money line, we have the Tigers picking up a win on the road, and with them at +108, this is the best way to go. We have the Tigers taking this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Tigers with an under pick, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cade Povich finishing with six strikeouts compared to Reese Olson with five. However, we have Olson finishing with a better ERA and giving up fewer runs compared to Povich.
Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips
- We like the Tigers on the moneyline (+108)
- The Tigers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Burch Smith | Out | Groin |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan Mountcastle | Out | Wrist |
| Cedric Mullins | Questionable | Neck |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Ramón Urías | Out | Ankle |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Lat |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Jordan Westburg | Out | Hand |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Báez | Out | Back/Hip |
| Alex Faedo | Out | Shoulder |
| Brendan White | Out | Elbow |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
