Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Betting Tips 9/20/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Preview

At 7:05 PM ET, the Tigers and Orioles will face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line at -199. The Tigers have won four straight and their record is 80-73. Detroit is starting Keider Montero, while the Orioles have Corbin Burnes on the mound.

Friday’s forecast in Baltimore calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. APLTV is carrying this game on TV. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats

• The Tigers are 5-0 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• The Orioles, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 4-6 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• The Tigers have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Riley Greene and the Tigers are coming off a good performance to close out their series vs. the Royals, picking up a 4-2 win. Greene went only 1/5, but his one hit was a home run, and the Tigers scored three runs in the 3rd inning. Detroit’s offense was the only one to score after the 3rd, and the Royals could only add one run in the 8th.

Tarik Skubal got the start for the Tigers, going five innings and giving up just one run on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out seven Royals batters. Detroit’s bullpen closed things out, with Will Vest picking up the save.

Detroit is 80-73 overall and is riding a four-game winning streak. The Tigers are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 8.5 games. So far, they have gone 27-22 against other teams in the AL Central. Detroit has been playing well lately, as they are 8-2 across their last ten games.

As the road team today, the Tigers are 41-37 this season, compared to 39-36 at home. So far, they have been the underdog in most of their games, where they have gone 44-49. Detroit has won five straight games as the road underdog. They have also won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road.

The Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 82-71 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 49-29, including covering in their last four games. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 60-33 on the run line, compared to just 22-38 as the favorite.

The Tigers have a combined run average of 8.2 this season, and their over/under record is 75-74. When the over/under line is set at 7.5, their record is 21-18. Overall, 62.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. They are currently on a two-game under streak.

Keider Montero gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 4.60. Montero’s WHIP for the season is 1.27. In his 16 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and four quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Montero pitched well, going five innings and picking up the win. He didn’t give up a run in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .235, but they do have the league’s top home run hitter in Riley Greene, who has 24 homers this season. Greene also leads the team with 71 RBIs. Over his last eight games, he has gone 8/32 with four homers and seven RBIs.

Colt Keith comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .264 for the season with 13 homers and 58 RBIs. Matt Vierling is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 16 homers and is batting .261 for the year.

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Giants with a 5-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -161. It was a big 3rd inning for the Orioles, as they scored three runs in the inning. The Giants could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.

Zach Eflin put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Baltimore’s offense was carried by Anthony Santander, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Baltimore is four games behind the Yankees in the AL East, heading into today’s game vs. the Tigers. Overall, the Orioles are 85-68, and they have gone 30-19 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles will host the Tigers today, and they are 43-35 at home this year.

The Orioles have really struggled over their last ten games, going just 3-7, and they dropped two of three games in their most recent series vs. the Giants. So far, they have an overall series record of 25-17-7, but they have dropped four straight series.

The Orioles have a run line record of 81-72 this season, and they have a run line record of 37-41 at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game at home and +0.7 runs per game on the road. As the favorite, they are 59-60 vs. the run line, and as the underdog, they are 22-12.

When the Orioles are at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, but today’s line is 7.5. The over/under record for the Orioles this season is 81-61, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game. The over has hit in nine of their 16 games with a line set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in three straight games.

Corbin Burnes will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that September 14th outing vs. the Tigers, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Burnes has made 30 starts, and his ERA is 3.06. This year, he has a record of 14-8. Opposing batters are hitting .215 off Burnes this year. Out of his 30 starts, Burnes has turned in 21 quality starts. For the season, he is averaging 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to just 2.17 walks.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the 7th best scoring offense in the league at 4.8 runs per game. This season, they are batting .248 as a team (9th) and have an isolated power figure of .185, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Baltimore’s team OPS of .747 is also the 5th best in the MLB.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 42 homers being the 3rd most in the league, and Henderson’s 37 long balls putting him 6th in the MLB. Santander is also 13th in the league with 97 RBIs. However, both players have struggled at the plate of late, with Santander going 3/23 in his last six games, and Henderson has gone 3/17. Henderson does have a three-game hitting streak coming into today’s game.

Our pick for today’s Tigers vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line, with the payout being +166. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Tigers.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with the 10th most strikeouts among starters, while Keider Montero is predicted to finish with the fourth fewest. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look to Burnes’ strikeout total and take the over.

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips

• We like the Tigers on the moneyline (+166)
• The Tigers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Detroit Tigers Injury Report