Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Preview
The forecast from Baltimore on Wednesday calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid-90s. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 PM ET. Cleveland is currently on a seven-game winning streak, and they are 51-26 overall, which is the best record in the AL Central. The Guardians are the +154 underdog on the money line today, and they are facing the Orioles, who are 49-30 and have lost five straight. Baltimore is the heavy favorite at -183 at this time.
BSGL will be televising Wednesday’s AL matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs. Carlos Carrasco will start for the Guardians, while the Orioles are sending Grayson Rodriguez to the mound.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Cleveland Guardians odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Guardians have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Guardians have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
The most recent game o of this Indians vs Orioles series came right down to the end, as the Indians rallied late but still fell short with the Orioles winning 8-7 at home. Heading into the game, the Indians were at +131 on the money line.
Cleveland’s offense got off to a fast start in the first game of this series, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Orioles didn’t get on the board until the 3rd and scored their final run in the 4th. As for the Indians, they were held in check until they broke out for five run in the top of the 8th, but could only muster two hits and two runs in the 9th.
Logan Allen got the start for the Indians, going just three innings while giving up six runs and took the loss. Pedro Avila came out of the bullpen and got the win. Cole Irvin had a rough outing for the Orioles, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work.
Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Cleveland is on a seven-game winning streak, and they lead the AL Central with a record of 51-26. So far, they have gone 11-6 in divisional matchups, and they currently hold a nine-game lead over the Twins in the division. The Guardians have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Orioles.
At home, the Guardians have gone 26-9 this season, and they have been really good on the road too, putting together a record of 25-17. This year, they have been good in day games, going 21-8 heading into today’s game. As the road underdog, the Guardians have gone 13-10 this season, and they are 35-15 as the favorite.
The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 45-32 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are 25-17 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 20-7 against the run line as the underdog this season.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Guardians and their opponents have combined to average 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-34. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 1-1. Only 3 of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, accounting for just 3.9% of their games.
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Orioles on the road. This year, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 3-6 with a 5.40 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Carrasco has a WHIP of 1.39 and opponents are batting .265 off him this year. In his 13 starts, he has turned in three quality starts. Carrasco’s most recent outing was a good one, as he went six innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had allowed at least five earned runs in three straight outings.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been a dynamic duo at the top of the Cleveland lineup this season, as both players have gone deep over 20 times. Ramirez comes into the game as the team’s leader in RBIs and is 2nd in the league in that category. He is also on a five-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last eight games. Naylor has also been hot of late, hitting .303 over his last eight games with three homers.
As a team, the Guardians are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and isolated power.
The Orioles are 49-30 overall, which has them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Yankees for the division lead. They are also on a five-game losing streak, dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Guardians. So far, they have been great against other AL East teams, going 19-7.
At home, the Orioles are 25-16 this year and 24-14 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 39-24 and 10-6 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 17-5-3.
When the Orioles are favored, they have a run line record of 34-29, but when they are the underdog, they are 12-4. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9. Overall, they have a run line record of 46-33, with an average run margin of 1.4 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles are playing at home against the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Orioles’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-29. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 2-0. However, the vast majority of their games this season have had lower over/under lines, with 97.5% of their games having lines set below 9.5 runs.
Right-hander Grayson Rodriguez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Guardians at home. Rodriguez has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.82 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .241 this year. Rodriguez’s ERA at home is 2.18 compared to 5.9 on the road. He most recently faced the Astros, where he gave up seven earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts.
Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, going 11/25 in his last six games. For the season, he is batting .300 with 14 homers and 53 RBIs. Rutschman’s 53 RBIs are 2nd on the team, and his 14 homers are 3rd. Gunnar Henderson is the team’s top power threat right now, as his 25 homers are 2nd in the league, and he is batting .282.
As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in homers, but they also have the top slugging percentage in the league.
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Guardians matchup is that the Orioles will come out on top by a score of 6-5. However, with the money line payout for the Orioles at -183, we would recommend taking the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Carrasco is projected to finish with around four strikeouts, and Grayson Rodriguez is projected to finish with five. As for the Orioles and Guardians lineups, the Orioles are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Guardians with nine.
Another reason we like the over is that the Orioles are projected to finish with five home runs compared to the Guardians with just one.
Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Guardians (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Eli Morgan | Out | Elbow |
| Nick Sandlin | Out | Back |
| Gavin Williams | Out | Elbow |
