Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Preview
Cleveland and Baltimore are set to face off in an AL matchup at 6:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. Cleveland is currently on a five-game winning streak and their record of 49-26 has them first in the AL Central. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 49-28 but they come into this one having lost three straight.
The money line odds have the Guardians at +100, while the Orioles are the slight favorite at -119. Monday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on MASN.
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Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Guardians in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Guardians have a 7-3 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
The Guardians’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After allowing two runs to the Blue Jays in the top of the first, the Guardians responded with three runs of their own. Cleveland went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.
Triston McKenzie got the start for the Guardians but only lasted three innings, giving up three earned runs. He also issued four walks and took the loss. Cleveland’s bullpen was excellent, though, as they didnjson’t allow a run over the final six innings. Tim Herrin picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save.
Cleveland is on a five-game winning streak, and they lead the AL Central with a record of 49-26. The Guardians hold a 7.5-game lead over the Twins heading into today’s game vs. the Orioles. So far, they have gone 11-6 in divisional games.
At home, the Guardians have been really good, going 26-9 this season. They have also played well on the road, coming in with a record of 23-17. Cleveland has been really good in day games this season, going 20-8.
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 23-17 this season. Their average run margin in road games is +1.3, and their overall run line record is 43-32.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today, facing the Baltimore Orioles in a game with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Guardians and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-33. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-11. So far this season, 20.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.65 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run and got the win, going six innings vs. the Mariners. Bibee struck out 12 in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .223 off Bibee this season.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s 6th ranked offense in terms of team RBIs. Cleveland is also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts, as their 7 strikeouts per game is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Josh Naylor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/38 in his last 10 games with three homers and eight RBIs. Naylor’s 20 homers this season is 5th best in the league and leads the Guardians. For the season, he is batting .244. José Ramirez has also been a key run producer for the Guardians, as his 67 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 2nd in the league. He is also on a three-game hitting streak.
Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Astros with a tough 8-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. Things really got away from the Orioles in the 1st inning, as the Astros scored four runs in the inning. Baltimore’s offense scored their only run in the 6th.
Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up five earned runs on 10 hits. The Orioles also issued three walks and hit a batter. Jordan Westburg had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Ryan Mountcastle had a good day at thejson, going 2/4 with a run scored.
After dropping the final game of their series vs. the Astros, the Orioles are on a three-game losing streak. Currently, they are 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Yankees. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL East, putting up a record of 19-7.
At home, the Orioles are 25-14 this year and 24-14 on the road. As the favorite, they are 39-22 and 10-6 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall record is 49-28, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games. The Orioles are just 17-5-3 in series so far this year.
When the Orioles win, they win big. Baltimore is 46-31 against the run line this season, and the average run margin in their victories is 4.0. They are 22-17 against the run line at home, and their current run line win streak at home is two games. As the underdog, the Orioles are 12-4 against the run line this season.
When the Orioles play at home, the over has hit at a 39-28 clip this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 15-8. In total, 17 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 22.1% of their contests.
Cade Povich will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Orioles, and he will be at home against the Guardians. Povich has a no-decision in each of his first two starts, and his most recent outing was a 4 2/3 inning start in which he gave up 1 run and struck out 5 against the Yankees.
As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best team slugging percentage in the league. Baltimore’s team ISO of .203 is also the best mark in the league.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been two of the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Rutschman has 14 homers and Henderson has gone deep 24 times. Rutschman is batting .302 for the season and has gone 11/24 in his last six games. Henderson is batting .279 for the season and has the league’s 2nd best home run total.
Our predictions for today’s Guardians vs. Orioles matchup have the Orioles coming out on top by a score of 6-5. With the Orioles picking up the win on the money line at -119, this is the best way to go about placing a bet on this game.
Looking at a couple of starting pitcher props, we have Cade Povich finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tanner Bibee with six. However, Bibee is projected to go for more innings, but we still have Povich with a better chance of picking up the win.
Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- The Orioles should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Gabriel Arias | Out | Personal |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Eli Morgan | Out | Elbow |
| Nick Sandlin | Out | Back |
| David Fry | Questionable | Elbow |
| Gavin Williams | Out | Elbow |
