Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 9/3/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Preview

The forecast for Tuesday’s matchup between the White Sox and Orioles calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 PM ET. MASN will be televising this AL matchup.

The Orioles are heavily favored on the money line, as they are at -316 compared to the White Sox at +255. Chicago comes in with a record of 31-108 and is currently on an 11-game losing streak. Nick Nastrini will start for the White Sox, while Cade Povich goes for the Orioles. Baltimore is 80-59 and they are second in the AL East, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Chicago White Sox odds

Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the White Sox have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
• The Orioles, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• As the favorite, the Orioles are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 6-4 vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a straight-up record of 0-10 and a 2-8 record vs. the runline.

Baltimore cruised to an easy 13-3 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 6th inning, scoring six of their thirteen runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -466 on the money line.

Corbin Burnes only went five innings for the Orioles but gave up just one run and got the win. Chris Flexen had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss after going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Cedric Mullins and Gunnar Henderson each homered for the Orioles. Mullins, Austin Slater, Emmanuel Rivera, and Adley Rutschman each had three RBIs. Colton Cowser scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5.

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

With an overall record of 31-108, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 48.5 games. The White Sox have dropped 11 straight games, and they are just 8-38 against other teams in the AL Central. This season, the White Sox have really struggled on the road, going 13-54 compared to an 18-54 mark at home.

So far, the White Sox have really struggled as the underdog, going 26-105. They are just 5-3 when favored this year. Chicago has also had a tough time in series, as their overall series record is 6-37-2, and they have lost 17 straight series.

The White Sox have been a poor run line bet this season, going 56-83 overall. They are 29-43 against the run line at home and 27-40 on the road. They have lost four straight run line bets as the favorite and are just 5-3 overall in that role. They are 51-80 against the run line as the underdog.

Chicago is on the road against Baltimore today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in White Sox games this season is 8.3, and their over/under record is 60-72 overall. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 16-21. This season, 32 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 23.0% of their games. The average over/under line in their games this season is 8 runs, and 70 of their games have had lines set below 8.5 runs, which is 50.4% of their games.

Chicago is sending right-hander Nick Nastrini to the mound today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Nastrini has made seven starts this year and has a record of 0-6 with a 7.04 ERA. So far, he has made one quality start and is coming off a rough outing where he took the loss. Against the Rangers, he went six innings, giving up one earned run on three hits. Nastrini has struggled with his command, averaging 7.63 walks per nine innings compared to 6.46 strikeouts. Per nine innings, he has allowed 1.83 homers.

Andrew Benintendi has been swinging a hot bat for the White Sox of late, going 8/25 in his last eight games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .218. Benintendi and Andrew Vaughn are tied for the team lead with 15 homers, with Vaughn leading the team with 59 RBIs. Vaughn is batting .235 for the season.

Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3 runs per game. Not only are they the worst home run hitting team in the league, but they are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting just .219.

The Orioles are 80-59 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. Baltimore has gone 28-15 against other teams in the division. The Orioles have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 contests.

At home, the Orioles are 40-30 this season, and they are 40-29 on the road. This season, the Orioles have been favored in 109 games, going 65-44 in those games. As the home favorite, the Orioles are 36-27 this year.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. They have a run line record of 76-63 overall, and are 55-54 against the run line as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 42-27 on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 0.9 runs per game. At home, they are 34-36 against the run line, with an average scoring margin of 0.5 runs per game.

The Orioles are playing at home against the White Sox today, and the O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 75-54. The average O/U line for their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 23-18. Overall, 30.9% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Baltimore is sending Cade Povich to the mound today vs. the White Sox, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Povich has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 1-7 with a 6.58 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 0-3 on the road with a 24.39 ERA compared to 1-4 at home with a 4.5 ERA. Povich has only made two quality starts this year and is averaging 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 39 homers leading the team and ranking 3rd in the league, and Henderson’s 34 homers coming in 5th in the MLB. Santander is also on a six-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 9/27 with three runs and one homer. Overall, Santander is batting just .240 this season, while Henderson is hitting .276.

As a team, the Orioles are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They are also near the top of the league in team slugging percentage and isolated power. Baltimore’s offense has been good at home and on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game away from home and 4.9 runs per game at home.

Our prediction for this White Sox vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, as we have the Orioles coming out on top by a final score of 6-5. However, with the payout for an Orioles win being -316, we would recommend taking the over at -122.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Cade Povich finishing with fewer strikeouts than Nick Nastrini, but we have Povich finishing with more runs allowed. Our projections have Povich finishing with five K’s and Nastrini with six.

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Chicago White Sox Injury Report