Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Preview
Chris Flexen gets the start for the White Sox on Monday, as they are on the road to face the Orioles, who are 79-59. Chicago is just 31-107 this season and they are +302 on the money line today. Baltimore is the heavy favorite at -378, and this game will be televised on NBCS.
The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and today’s game is taking place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. Corbin Burnes is slated to start for the Orioles. They are second in the AL East, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central. Chicago is currently on a 10-game losing streak.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Chicago White Sox odds
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the White Sox have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- The White Sox have a 0-10 straight-up record and a 2-8 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 2-0 loss. Chicago was the +152 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the White Sox, as Garrett Crochet struck out the side in the first inning but ran into trouble in the 4th, giving up a run. Chicago’s offense didn’t score a run, and the White Sox’s only had two hits.
Garrett Crochet got the start for the White Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run and issuing three walks. Crochet also hit a batter and took the loss.
Chicago is just 31-107 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central, 47.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The White Sox have dropped ten straight games, and they are just 8-38 against other teams in the AL Central. This year, they are just 13-52 as the road underdog.
At home, the White Sox are only 18-54 and 20-63 in night games. Chicago has really struggled as the underdog, going 26-104, and they are just 5-3 as the favorite this year. The White Sox have lost 17 straight series, and their overall series record is 6-37-2.
The White Sox have been a run line loser this season, going 56-82, including 27-39 on the road. Their average run margin is -2.1 runs per game, and they have lost three straight run line decisions as the favorite. Chicago’s average run margin in their wins is +3.2 runs per game, while it is -3.7 runs per game in their losses.
Chicago is on the road against Baltimore today, and the over/under line is 8.5 runs. The White Sox have played 131 games this season, and their average combined run total is 8.2. Their over/under record is 59-72, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-21. So far this season, 32 of their games have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which is 23.2% of their games. Their current under streak is at 6 games.
Chris Flexen is looking to bounce back from a rough outing out of the bullpen, as he gets the start for the White Sox today vs. the Orioles. In his outing vs. the Rangers on August 27th, Flexen took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Flexen has made 25 starts and has a record of 2-13. His ERA for the season is 5.29, along with a WHIP of 1.51. Opponents are batting .273 off Flexen this season. One positive note is that he has turned in eight quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Flexen is averaging 6.3 strikeouts and 3.68 walks.
Chicago’s offense has been really struggling this season, as they are dead last in the league in both home runs and team batting average. As a team, they are averaging just 3 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. This has been the case both at home and on the road. Collectively, the team’s on-base percentage and OPS are also the worst in the league.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are the team’s top home run hitters this season, but both are batting under .235 for the season. However, Benintendi has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/16 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. Paul DeJong, Martín Maldonado, and Gavin Sheets are all on five-game hitting streaks.
Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a 6-1 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -190. It was a big 1st inning for the Orioles, as they got on the board with a run and added three more in the 4th.
Zach Eflin put together a good start for the Orioles, going seven innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Baltimore is 79-59 overall and is 0.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. They will host the White Sox today, with the Orioles owning an overall division record of 28-15. The Orioles have gone 5-5 across their last ten games and closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a win.
So far, the Orioles have been good both at home and on the road, as they are 39-30 at home and 40-29 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 64-44 and 15-15 as the underdog. This year, the Orioles’ overall series record is 24-13-7.
When the Orioles win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is 3.6 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they are 75-63 against the run line this season. They are 42-27 against the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game. At home, they are just 33-36 against the run line, with a run differential of +0.4 runs per game.
The Orioles have the highest combined run average in the league at 9.3 runs per game, and their games have gone over the total 74 times this season compared to 54 unders. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 23 of the 41 games that have had that total. Overall, 31.2% of Baltimore’s games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and the average line for their games this season has been 8 runs.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the White Sox at home. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with a 3.23 ERA. Burnes has turned in 19 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.22 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Burnes took the loss, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a 3.69 ERA compared to 3.3 on the road.
Anthony Santander has been on a nice run for the Orioles, going 10/38 in his last 10 games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .239, but his 39 homers are 3rd in the league. Gunnar Henderson has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as his 33 homers is 2nd on the team and 6th in the league. He has a team-high 80 RBIs and is batting .276.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are 4th in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s top slugging percentage and have the best isolated power mark in the MLB.
The best bet in this White Sox vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Orioles, giving us plenty of wiggle room with the line sitting at 8.5.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Orioles are the way to go, but at -378, we would recommend taking the over. Looking at today’s starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while White Sox starter Chris Flexen is projected to finish with just four.
Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- The Orioles should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan Mountcastle | Out | Wrist |
| Dean Kremer | Questionable | Forearm |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Ramón Urías | Out | Ankle |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Lat |
| Jacob Webb | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Heston Kjerstad | Out | Head |
| Jordan Westburg | Out | Hand |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Neck |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Michael Soroka | Out | Shoulder |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Jordan Leasure | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Thorpe | Out | Forearm |
| Brooks Baldwin | Questionable | Hand |
