Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Betting Tips 7/9/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Preview

At 6:35 PM ET, the Cubs and Orioles will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-153). The Cubs have a record of 42-49, putting them 5th in the NL Central, while the Orioles are 1st in the AL East.

The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this one. Jameson Taillon is starting for the Cubs, and he will be facing off against Dean Kremer.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Chicago Cubs odds

Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Cubs in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• The Cubs have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Cubs closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -147. Offensively, the Cubs only scored their five runs on seven hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Hayden Wesneski got the start for the Cubs, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out two Angels batters. Michael Busch was hot right out of the gates, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

With an overall record of 42-49, the Cubs trail the Brewers by 11 games in the NL Central. So far, they have gone just 10-19 against their divisional opponents. The Cubs will be on the road today vs. the Orioles, and they are 17-28 on the road this season.

Chicago closed out their series vs. the Angels with a win and took the series 2-1. This came after dropping two straight to the Phillies. As the underdog, the Cubs are 20-27 this season, and they are 22-22 as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 10-17-2.

When betting the run line, the Cubs are 43-48 this season. They are 25-20 on the run line on the road, but just 18-28 at home. The Cubs have an average run margin of -0.3 runs per game this season, and their average run differential is -1.0 runs per game on the road and +0.4 runs per game at home. When the Cubs win, they do so by an average of 3.1 runs per game, but when they lose, they do so by an average of -3.2 runs per game.

Chicago Cubs games have gone under the over/under line in three straight games, and their over/under record for the season is 39-48. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 5-3. Overall, only 7.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.

Jameson Taillon has been pitching well for the Cubs, as he comes into the game with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 2.99. In his 14 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.19 strikeouts per nine innings. Taillon’s most recent outing was on July 4th, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking back over his last four outings, he has alternated between wins and losses. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.13 compared to 0-2 with a 3.25 ERA on the road.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Cubs are batting just .229 and have the 18th ranked home run total in the league.

Over his last 10 games, Ian Happ has gone 11/30 with four homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .241 and leads the Cubs with 52 RBIs. Christopher Morel has been a disappointment this season, batting just .199, but he does lead the team with 15 homers. Cody Bellinger is batting .266 and has gone deep nine times.

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a 6-3 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -182. It was a four-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Athletics could only score three runs, all of which came in the 6th.

Grayson Rodriguez put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just three runs on six hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Athletics batters. Anthony Santander was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

The Orioles come into today’s game vs. the Cubs with an overall record of 57-33, which has them leading the AL East by 3 games over the Yankees. Baltimore will be the home team for today’s game, and they are 29-17 at home this season. They have also been strong on the road, going 28-16 so far.

Baltimore has been really good in their division, putting up a record of 19-7 in AL East matchups. The Orioles have been good as the favorite this year, going 46-27, and they are 11-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 20-6-3 and have won three straight series.

The Orioles have been a good team to bet on this season, as they are 51-39 against the run line. They have been especially good on the road, going 27-17 against the run line. They have been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 13-4. Their average run margin is 1.2 runs per game.

The Orioles have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.1. Their over/under record is 46-34, and they have hit the over in three straight games. Their average over/under line is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in all three games. Interestingly, 96.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9.5 runs.

Through 10 starts, Dean Kremer has a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 3.93. Coming into the game, his WHIP is 1.09, and opponents are batting .196 this season. Kremer has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 9.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Kremer picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 3.23 compared to 6.47 at home.

So far this season, the Orioles have been the best offensive team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game and leading the league with a team total of 146 home runs. They also have the top slugging percentage and OPS in the league. Baltimore also has the league’s top home run hitter in Gunnar Henderson, who has gone deep 27 times this season and is batting .293 overall. Henderson has also gone 9/25 in his last six games.

Anthony Santander has the 2nd most homers for the Orioles this season, but he is batting just .235 for the season. However, he has gone 7/23 in his last six games. Adley Rutschman is looking to get back on track, as he has gone just 2/19 in his last five games. Jordan Westburg is on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 7/25 in his last six games.

Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being -153. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Jameson Taillon finishing with five strikeouts, while Orioles starter Dean Kremer is projected to finish with four.

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
• Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Chicago Cubs Injury Report