Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Preview
There appears to be a chance for light rain in Baltimore on Wednesday, where the Orioles and Cubs face off at 6:35 PM ET. The money line odds have the Orioles as the favorite at -173, while the Cubs are sitting at +146. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Chicago comes into the game with a record of 43-49 and will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. Baltimore is 1st in the AL East with a record of 57-34. Starting for the Cubs is Shota Imanaga, while the Orioles are set to go with Corbin Burnes.
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Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Cubs in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- As the favorite, the Orioles are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
- The Cubs have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Chicago cruised to a 9-2 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were at +161 on the money line.
Jameson Taillon pitched well for the Cubs in this one, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts and picked up a win. On the other side, Dean Kremer only went four innings for the Orioles, giving up five earned runs on seven hits.
At the plate, the Cubs were led by Michael Busch, who went 4/6 with a home run. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki each had two hits and combined to score five runs. As for the Orioles, Jordan Westburg hit the game’s only other home run and went 1/4.
Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
After taking the series opener vs. the Orioles, the Cubs are 43-49 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 10 games in the division. So far, they have gone just 10-19 in divisional games this year.
Chicago has been a bit better at home this year, going 25-21 compared to 18-28 on the road. The Cubs have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10. This season, the Cubs are 22-22 as the favorite and 21-27 as the underdog.
The Cubs have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 26-20. Their average run differential is -0.8 away from Wrigley Field, but they have been able to cover the run line in 56.5% of their road games. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 31-17 on the run line, compared to just 13-31 as the favorite.
The Chicago Cubs are on the road to face the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Cubs have played 88 games this season, and their combined run average is also 8.5 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 40-48, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-9. So far this season, 27 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 29.3% of their games.
Left-hander Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with an ERA of 3.17. Imanaga’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up 10 earned runs in three straight starts. Imanaga has a total of 10 quality starts this season.
Over his last nine games, Ian Happ has been on fire for the Cubs, batting .393 with four home runs and 13 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .244 with a team-high 14 homers and 55 RBIs. Christopher Morel also has a good home run total for the Cubs, but he is batting just .199 this season.
As a team, the Cubs are 20th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .230, which is 16th in the league. Currently, Michael Busch and Nico Hoerner are both on good hitting streaks for the Cubs.
The Orioles are 57-34 overall and lead the AL East by three games over the Yankees. So far, they have been excellent against other teams in the AL East, going 19-7. At home, the Orioles are 29-18 this year and 28-16 on the road.
As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 46-28 this year, and they are 11-6 as the underdog. At home, they have dropped two straight games, and their overall series record is 20-6-3. They have won three straight series and have won two straight series on the road.
When the Orioles are the underdog, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, going 13-4 on the season. They have been particularly good on the road, going 27-17 against the run line. Their average run differential in their wins is +3.8, while it drops to -3.4 in their losses.
The Baltimore Orioles are at home today against the Chicago Cubs, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Both teams have had high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 9.2 runs per game. The Orioles have an over/under record of 47-34 on the season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles have gone over the total 15 times and under 10 times. Their games have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs in 23 games this season, accounting for 25.3% of their games.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he takes on the Cubs at home. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with an ERA of 2.32. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. Looking back at his last outing, Burnes finished with a no-decision against the Mariners. In that start, he gave up two earned runs on four hits in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Burnes has allowed a total of 12 home runs this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the top slugging percentage in the league. Baltimore also has the league’s best team OPS, at .773.
Over his last 10 games, Gunnar Henderson has gone 13/41 with one home run. His 61 RBIs this season are 7th best in the league, and he is batting .293 for the season. Anthony Santander has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/38 in his last 10 games. This has improved his season average to .232.
Our prediction for the Cubs vs. Orioles game is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Orioles, giving us some wiggle room if you wanted to take the money line.
If you are looking to take the money line, the payout for the Orioles is -173, and we do see them as the clear favorite. Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes has a better chance of picking up a win than Shota Imanaga, and Burnes is also projected to finish with more strikeouts.
Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks | Questionable | Back |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Hand |
| Mike Tauchman | Out | Groin |
| Keegan Thompson | Out | Ribs |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Ribs |
| Javier Assad | Out | Forearm |
| Ben Brown | Out | Neck |
| Caleb Kilian | Out | Teres Major |
| Jordan Wicks | Out | Oblique |
