Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 8/18/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Preview

At 1:35 PM ET, the Red Sox and Orioles face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -143 compared to the Red Sox at +119. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

Boston will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, as they are 65-57, while the Orioles are 72-52 overall. Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. MASN will be televising Sunday’s game.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Red Sox have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• The Orioles have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Red Sox’s previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.

Boston cruised to a 5-1 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 7th inning, scoring two runs and adding another two in the 8th. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorites at -105.

Brayan Bello started for the Red Sox and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Cade Povich got the start for the Orioles and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill each homered for the Red Sox, while Triston Casas went 2/4 with an RBI. Jarren Duran also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston has won two straight games, and they are 65-57 overall this season. In the AL East, they trail the Yankees by seven games and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 16-14 in divisional games. The Red Sox have been good on the road, putting together a record of 36-25.

As the road underdog, the Red Sox have gone 22-20 this season, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Boston is 34-25 when favored this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 20-13-5 and have won two straight series on the road.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 35-26, covering the run line in two straight games. They have an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game on the road, and they have a run line record of 36-27 when they are the underdog.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is right in line with the season average for Red Sox games, which is also 9. Boston’s games have averaged 9.8 runs per game this season, and they have gone over the total in 64 of their 115 games. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over has hit in 8 of their 15 games, and 27% of their games have had higher lines than 9 runs.

Boston is sending right-hander Kutter Crawford to the mound today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Crawford has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 4.21 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Crawford has a WHIP of 1.11 and opponents are batting .224 this season. In his 24 starts, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Crawford’s most recent outing came on August 13th, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 4th in the league in runs scored at 5 per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the league’s best team BABIP. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .262, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.

Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 27 home runs are 9th in the league, and he is also 13th in the league with 77 RBIs. Devers is also batting .297, which is the best mark on the team. Over his last six games, he has two homers and six RBIs. Masataka Yoshida and Wilyer Abreu are both on five-game hitting streaks, with Yoshida batting .455 over his last seven games.

The Orioles are 72-52 overall this season, putting them just one game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone 27-15 in divisional games. Baltimore is hoping to pick up a win today, as they have dropped two straight games, including the last game of their doubleheader yesterday.

At home, the Orioles are 36-28 this season, and they are 36-24 on the road. This season, the Orioles have been the favorite in 101 of their games, and they are 60-41 in those games. As the underdog, the Orioles are 12-11 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 22-11-5.

When betting the run line on the Orioles, it’s been a better bet to take them on the road, where they are 36-24 against the run line. They have a positive run differential on the road, averaging a run margin of 1.0 runs per game. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 16-7 against the run line, compared to 51-50 as the favorite.

In 2021, the Orioles have played 114 games, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs or more in just 5.6% of them. The combined run average in their games is 9.4, and their over/under record is 68-46. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 15-13-3.

Through 16 starts, Albert Suárez has a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 3.39 for the Orioles. He has made 24 appearances this season. Suárez most recently faced the Rays on August 11th, where he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up no earned runs and coming away with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Suárez has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.29 this season and has issued 3.29 walks per nine innings compared to 7.17 strikeouts.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 36 home runs are 3rd in the MLB. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .175 over his last 10 games. Gunnar Henderson has been swinging the bat well for the Orioles, going 11/40 in his last 10 games with three homers.

The Orioles come into the game as the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also near the top of the league in scoring, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .256, which is 5th best in the league, and their slugging percentage of .452 is also the best in the MLB. Baltimore’s collective Isolated Power (ISO) of .196 is also the best in the league.

Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout sitting at -143. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, which means the over could also be a good play, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.

If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to pick up a win, Albert Suarez is your best bet, as he has the highest strikeout projection among all starters and is fifth in terms of projected earned runs allowed.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report