Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 8/17/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Preview

There does appear to be a chance of rain in Baltimore on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 73 degrees. MASN will be televising this AL East matchup at 7:05 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD.

The Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -124 compared to the Red Sox at +103. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, while the Orioles are going with Cade Povich. Baltimore is 72-51, while the Red Sox are 64-57.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Boston Red Sox odds

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Red Sox in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Orioles, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 5-5, while going 5-5 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Red Sox have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Orioles series. Boston went into the matchup as +152 underdogs and squeaked out a 12-10 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Orioles could only muster one more run until they broke out for seven in the 5th. As for the Red Sox, they scored three in the 2nd and didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 7th.

Brennan Bernardino only went two-thirds of an inning for the Red Sox but didn’t give up a run and got the win. Kenley Jansen closed things out. Corbin Burnes had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss. He went just four innings and gave up eight earned runs.

Masataka Yoshida and Jarren Duran each homered for the Red Sox, while Rafael Devers scored three times and drove in three runs while going 2/4. David Hamilton also had a two-hit game and scored twice for Boston’s offense.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston is 64-57 overall and is 8.0 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they have gone 15-14 against other teams in the AL East. The Red Sox will be on the road today, and they are 35-25 as the road team this year.

The Red Sox have gone just 4-6 across their last 10 games, and they are currently tied with the Orioles for 2nd place in the AL East. So far, they are 34-25 as the favorite and 30-32 as the underdog. Boston has an overall series record of 20-13-5 this year and have won two straight series on the road.

The Red Sox have been a strong bet on the run line when playing on the road this season, going 34-26. They have a positive run differential of 0.8 runs per game in road contests, which has helped them cover the run line more often than not. They have been a solid bet on the run line as the underdog, going 35-27, but have struggled to cover as the favorite, going just 21-38.

The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-50. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 8-4-3. So far this season, 26.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, while 61.2% of their games have had lower lines.

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with an ERA of 4.97. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.44. The right-hander has turned in eight quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with five strikeouts. Bello has not taken a loss or a win in any of his last four outings, finishing with a no-decision in each.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best home run hitting teams and have the 2nd best team batting average in the MLB. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is that they are the league’s hardest team to strike out.

Rafael Devers is not only the Red Sox’s leader in home runs and RBIs, but his 75 RBIs are also the best in the league. Devers is batting .298 for the season and has gone deep 26 times. Over his last six games, Masataka Yoshida is hitting .429 with a home run and five RBIs. Wilyer Abreu has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/22 with two homers in this stretch.

With an overall record of 72-51, the Orioles are just one game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Today, they host the Red Sox, who are eight games out of first place. So far, the Orioles have gone 27-14 in divisional games. Baltimore has gone 36-27 at home this year while posting a 36-24 mark on the road.

So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 60-40, and they are 33-24 when favored at home. Baltimore’s overall series record is 22-11-5 this year, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Red Sox. Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 5-5.

When the Orioles win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game. In their losses, they are losing by an average of 3.5 runs per game. Baltimore’s run line record is 67-56, which includes a 31-32 mark at home and a 36-24 mark on the road. They have been the favorite in 100 games and the underdog in 23 games.

The Orioles are playing at home against the Red Sox today. Their combined run average is 9.4, and their over/under record is 68-45. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 15-13-3. So far, only 4.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Left-hander Cade Povich gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox at home. Povich has made eight starts this season and has a record of 1-5 with a 6.27 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.69. Povich has had a rough time on the road, coming in with a record of 0-2 and a 28.02 ERA. At home, his ERA is 3.93, and he has a record of 1-3. Povich’s last outing came against the Blue Jays, where he gave up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that outing.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 36 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 31 homers coming in as the 7th most in the league. Overall, the Orioles lead the league in home runs and have the best isolated power in the league. As a team, they are 3rd in runs per game at 5.1 and are batting a collective .257.

Over his last five games, Gunnar Henderson has two homers and is batting .300, while Santander has also gone deep twice but is just 4/19 in his last five games. James McCann is currently on a four-game hitting streak for the Orioles.

Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line at -124. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout for the Orioles to win straight up being -124, we see this as the best way to play this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 11th among starters today. As for Cade Povich, his projection is for five strikeouts, which has him towards the bottom of today’s starters.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report