Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Preview
The Red Sox and Orioles face off in an AL East matchup at 1:05 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The forecast for Monday’s game calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 70s. Cooper Criswell is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Cole Irvin.
Boston is 27-26 this season, and they are 3rd in the AL East, while the Orioles have won four straight and are 33-18 overall. Baltimore is the heavy favorite on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -156 compared to the Red Sox at +133. Monday’s over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and NESN will be televising the game.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Boston Red Sox odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- 4-1 is the record of Red Sox in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- The Orioles, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- The Red Sox have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Brewers, the Red Sox closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -144. Offensively, the Red Sox only scored two runs but did so on nine hits. Wilyer Abreu was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.
Tanner Houck got the start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Boston’s bullpen was also excellent, as Justin Slaten, Kenley Jjson, and Ryan Feltner closed things out with a scoreless 9th.
Boston is 27-26 overall and trails the Yankees by nine games for the AL East lead. So far, they are 4-6 in AL East games and open their series vs. the Orioles nine games behind New York. The Red Sox are on the road today, where they are 16-11 this season.
As the underdog, Boston has won three straight games, and they are an even 10-10 as the road underdog this year. The Red Sox have won four straight road games, and their overall series record is 8-8-1. They dropped their most recent series, losing two games to the Brewers.
When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 17-10. Their average run margin on the road is 1.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in four straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 17-11 against the run line.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Red Sox games this season is 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 19-30. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-10, and 20.8% of their games have had higher lines. Their current under streak is at three games.
Through seven starts, Cooper Criswell has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.86 for the Red Sox. He has made a total of eight appearances this year. Criswell has yet to take a loss this season, finishing with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. In his most recent start, he went 5 1/3 innings vs. the Rays and gave up two earned runs, six hits, and one homer. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. Criswell’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12.
So far this season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .243, which is the 10th best mark in the league, and they are also 9th in home runs. One area of concern for the team is that they are 26th in the league in strikeouts.
Rafael Devers is 2nd on the team with 24 RBIs and has 10 homers, which is 8th best in the league. However, he has really struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .212 over his last nine games. Jarren Duran and Devers are both batting .272 this season, and Duran is 3rd on the team with 22 RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela has a team-high 28 RBIs but is batting only .208.
Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Orioles closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at -166. Offensively, the Orioles only had six hits but scored four runs. Adley Rutschman went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Kyle Bradish got the start for the Orioles, going seven innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just four walks and struck out 11 White Sox batters. The Orioles’s bullpen closed things out, and Craig Kimbrel picked up the save.
Baltimore is 33-18 overall and trails the Yankees by two games for the AL East lead. The Orioles are on a four-game winning streak, and they have gone 7-2 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles kick off their series vs. the Red Sox today, and Boston is nine games out of the AL East lead.
At home, the Orioles are 17-10 this year and 16-8 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 42 games, going 26-16 in those matchups. As the home favorite, they have a record of 16-9 this year. Baltimore’s series record is 11-4-2 this year.
When the Orioles win, they tend to win by a good margin, as their average run differential in those games is +3.5. They have been a good bet on the run line overall, going 28-23, and they have been even better on the road, going 14-10. They have also been a good bet as the underdog, going 7-2 on the run line.
When the Baltimore Orioles are at home, they have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 25-20, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-7. This season, 13 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 25.5% of their games.
Cole Irvin has made seven starts for the Orioles this season and has a record of 4-2 with a 3.15 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.09 and has allowed a total of four home runs. In his last outing, which came out of the bullpen, Irvin took the loss, going 3 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. His ERA at home is 2.85 compared to 4.28 on the road.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been two of the Orioles’ most consistent hitters this season, with Rutschman batting .300 and Henderson at .264. Henderson has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 17 home runs are 2nd in the MLB. He also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Rutschman is 2nd on the team with 10 homers and 35 RBIs, which is 10th in the league.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are 4th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. Baltimore has been one of the better slugging teams in the league this season, as they have the best ISO in the league and are 2nd in slugging percentage.
Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line at -156. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5.1 to 5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under line, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with 10.1 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Cole Irvin is projected to go five innings, while Red Sox starter Cooper Criswell is projected to go just over four innings. Criswell is projected to finish with six strikeouts, compared to Irvin, who is projected to finish with five.
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Forearm |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Story | Out | Shoulder |
| Tyler O’Neill | Questionable | Knee |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Hamstring |
| Triston Casas | Out | Ribs |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Oblique |
| Isaiah Campbell | Out | Shoulder |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| Masataka Yoshida | Out | Thumb |
