Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Preview
Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Braves and Orioles is set to get started at 1:05 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are currently on a six-game winning streak and have an overall record of 45-22, while the Braves have lost five straight and are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 35-30.
Reynaldo Lopez will start for the Braves, while the Orioles are sending Cole Irvin to the mound. On the money line, the Braves are the slight favorite, with their odds sitting at -104 compared to the Orioles at -115. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the game can be seen on BSSO.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Atlanta Braves odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- The Braves are 0-5 in their five most recent road games, including a 0-5 runline record.
- On the other side, the Orioles have gone 4-1 (SU) and 5-0 in their previous five home contests.
- In their previous ten games, Braves have won 4-6 as favorites and 4-6 as underdogs.
- The Orioles hold a 8-2 record as the favorite and a 5-5 record as the underdog.
Baltimore picked up a 4-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a 3-0 lead after the 1st inning and the Braves could only muster two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -120 on the money line.
Cade Povich started for the Orioles and went six innings, giving up zero earned runs and striking out six. He picked up a win in the game, while Craig Kimbrel closed things out. Spencer Schwellenbach had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Colton Cowser was the difference for the Orioles, as he went 1/1 with a home run and two RBIs. Cedric Mullins also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Baltimore’s offense.
Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
With a record of 35-30, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, ten games behind the Phillies. The Braves have dropped five straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Orioles 0-2 heading into today’s game. Overall, they are 12-11 in NL East matchups.
At home, the Braves have gone 19-12 this season, but they are just 16-18 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 34-25 this season, and they are 1-5 as the underdog. Atlanta’s longest losing streak as the favorite this year is four games, and they are 15-13 as the road favorite this year.
When the Braves win, they win by an average of 3.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 31-34, and they are 17-17 against the run line on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last five road games and are just 3-3 against the run line as an underdog.
The Braves are on the road today against the Orioles, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Atlanta has an average combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 23-40. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-8-1. So far this season, 58.5% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 1.85. So far, López has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he finished with a no-decision. Against the Nationals, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with seven strikeouts. Before that, he had won two straight starts. López’s ERA on the road is 2.75 compared to 1.22 at home.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .320 with 18 home runs and 55 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. Ozuna has also been hot of late, going 12/33 in his last nine games. Matt Olson is also having a good season for the Braves, as he is batting .246 with 10 homers and 36 RBIs.
Over his last nine games, Adam Duvall has gone just 2/31 for the Braves, while Ozzie Albies is batting just .194 in his last nine games. However, both Duvall and Albies have just one homer during this stretch. Matt Olson is currently on a six-game hitting streak, while Ronald Acuna Jr. has a four-game streak going.
The Orioles have won six straight games, and they are 45-22 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 2.5 games behind the Yankees. Baltimore has been really good against other teams in the AL East, putting together a record of 17-6 this year.
At home, the Orioles are 23-12 this year and 22-10 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 37-18 and 8-4 as the underdog. Baltimore has won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 14-4-3 this year.
When betting the run line on the Orioles, you have to consider they have a run line record of 42-25 overall and 20-15 at home. Their average run differential is +1.6 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 10 of 12 games as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.8 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles are playing at home against the Atlanta Braves today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Orioles’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-26. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 4-7-2. Only 3.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their games have gone under the line in 77.6% of their games this season. The under has hit in their last two games.
Cole Irvin gets the start for the Orioles today and comes in with a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 2.87. Looking back at his last outing, he got the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. In that outing, he gave up one home run. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings. So far this year, Irvin has made 10 starts, four of which were quality starts. Opponents are batting .256 off the left-hander this season. At home, his ERA is 2.44 compared to 4.06 on the road.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top two power threats this season, with Rutschman having 13 homers and Henderson at 21. Rutschman is also batting .298 for the season, while Henderson comes in with a batting average of .273. Rutschman has gone deep three times in his last seven games, but he is just 7/29 in that stretch. Henderson has also homered three times in his last eight games.
As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 1st in the league in runs scored, averaging 5.1 per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they have the best isolated power in the league and are 1st in slugging percentage.
Our predicted final score for this Braves and Orioles matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles. So we will be taking the Orioles on the money line, where the payout is currently at -115.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Cole Irvin is projected to finish with the lowest strikeout total among today’s starters. However, Reynaldo Lopez is actually projected to finish with the second-lowest strikeout total.
Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Orioles (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Stowers | Questionable | Wrist |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Herget | Out | Shoulder |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
| AJ Smith-Shawver | Out | Oblique |
