Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Preview
The Orioles will be looking to extend their five-game winning streak when they host the Braves at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The money line odds have the Orioles at -133, while the Braves are the slight underdog at +113. The over/under line is sitting at 9 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 6:35 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSSO. Cade Povich is starting for the Orioles, and the Braves are starting Spencer Schwellenbach. Atlanta is currently 35-29, while the Orioles are 44-22.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Atlanta Braves odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- The Braves are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- Conversely, the Orioles have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 5-0 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 8-2 straight-up, and have gone 8-2 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Braves have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
Baltimore cruised to a 4-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a three-run 2nd inning and added their final run in the 6th. As for the Braves, they had their best chance to score in the 7th but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +118 on the money line.
Albert Suarez pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going 5 1/3 innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Max Fried had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss. Fried went five innings and gave up four runs on six hits.
Jorge Mateo was the only player in the game to homer, going 1/3 with three RBIs. Austin Hays also had a three-hit game for Baltimore.
Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
With a record of 35-29, the Braves are in 2nd place in the NL East, ten games behind the Phillies. The Braves have dropped four straight games, with the most recent loss coming in the first game of this series vs. the Orioles.
At home, the Braves have gone 19-12 this season, but they are just 16-17 on the road. As the favorite, Atlanta is 34-25 and 1-4 as the underdog. The Braves’ overall series record is 12-7-2.
Atlanta has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 31-33. They have been slightly better on the road, going 17-16, but have failed to cover in their last four road games. They have been a favorite in most games, going 28-31 against the run line, but have been a good bet as an underdog, going 3-2.
The Braves are on the road today against the Orioles. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.3 runs per game. Overall, the Braves have gone over the total in 23 of their 62 games, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they are 5-8-1. This season, only 20.3% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Spencer Schwellenbach is on the mound for the Braves today, as they are taking on the Orioles. This is Schwellenbach’s second start of the season, and he’s looking to bounce back from a loss in his first outing. In that start, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 6 runs on 7 hits, but did strike out 4 batters.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 18 homers are 4th in the league and the top mark on the Braves. He is also 2nd in the league with 55 RBIs. Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/26 in his last seven games. Matt Olson is 2nd on the Braves with 34 RBIs and is batting .241 for the season.
Overall, the Braves have the league’s 12th best scoring offense, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243 and have the 9th best team batting average in the league. The Braves offense has been pretty consistent, averaging 4.5 runs per game on the road and 4.3 runs per contest at home.
The Orioles are 44-22 overall and trail the Yankees by 2.5 games for the AL East lead. Baltimore has won five straight games, and they are 17-6 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles took the first game of their series vs. the Braves and have an overall series record of 14-4-3 this year.
At home, the Orioles are 22-12 this season and 22-10 on the road. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, going 36-18, and they are 8-4 as the underdog. Baltimore’s win streak as the favorite is currently at six games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games overall.
When betting the run line, the Orioles have been a solid play this season, as they are 41-25 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 22-10, and have covered the run line in six straight games. As the favorite, they are 31-23 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 10-2. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while in losing games, it is -2.8.
The Baltimore Orioles have an over/under record of 33-25 this season, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. Their combined run average is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 4-7-2. Only 3.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with just two games having lines set at 9 runs. The Orioles have played 51 games with over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, accounting for 77.3% of their games this season.
Cade Povich will be making his second start of the season for the Orioles, and he will be taking on the Braves. In his first start of the season, he took the loss against the Blue Jays, giving up 6 runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Not only are the Orioles the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they also lead the MLB in home runs. As a team, they are batting .249 (7th) and have the best isolated power rating in the league. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .451 is also the best in the league. One area where they have struggled a bit is in terms of drawing walks, as they are currently 24th in the league in that category.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Rutschman is 3rd on the team with 13 homers, while Henderson’s 21 home runs is 2nd in the league. Rutschman is also batting .301 this season, and Henderson is at .274. Anthony Santander has also been a solid power threat this season, with 14 homers, but he is batting just .224 for the season.
Given the payout, we see the best value in this one as a straight Orioles win, as you can get them at -133. We actually have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Orioles, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Cade Povich is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is currently 15th in terms of starters. As for Spencer Schwellenbach, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is fifth worst among starters.
Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Braves (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Stowers | Questionable | Wrist |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Herget | Out | Shoulder |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
| AJ Smith-Shawver | Out | Oblique |
