Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Preview
At 6:35 PM ET, the Braves and Orioles will face off in an interleague matchup. This one is taking place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are the slight money line favorite at +115. The Braves are -135, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Max Fried and the Braves. Fried is starting for a Braves club that is 35-28 and has lost three straight games. The Orioles are 43-22 and have won four in a row. BSSO is carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Atlanta Braves odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Braves in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 5-0 against the spread.
- The Braves have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 4-6.
- As the underdog, the Orioles have gone 8-2 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.
Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with an 8-5 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Nationals scored seven times in the 4th.
Atlanta’s offense scored their only runs in the 2nd inning, going on to lose 8-5. Jarred Kelenic had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs. The Braves really missed Ronald Acuna Jr., who is out with an injury.
Atlanta is on the road today to take on the Orioles, having dropped three straight games, and they are nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, the Braves are 12-11 in divisional games. Atlanta’s overall record is 35-28 this season.
As the Braves are 16-16 on the road, they have been good at home, going 19-12. So far, they have been favored in 58 games, and they are 34-24 in those games. Atlanta lost as the favorite in three straight games to close out their series vs. the Nationals. Their overall series record is 12-7-2 this year.
Atlanta has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 31-32 against the run line. They have been slightly better on the road, going 17-15, but they have failed to cover in their last three road games. They have been favored in most games, going 28-30 against the run line, but they have been profitable as an underdog, going 3-2.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road today to face the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly below their combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season. The Braves have hit the over in 23 of their 38 games this season, and their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have hit the over in 4 of 6 games. Overall, 73% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs. The over has also hit in their last two games.
Left-hander Max Fried is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA. Fried has pitched well this year, with opponents batting just .196 off him. In his 12 appearances, Fried has turned in seven quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. His most recent outing was against the Red Sox, where he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Fried ended up with the win in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts without giving up an earned run.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 55 RBIs are 3rd in the MLB. He has also been a force at the plate, batting .312 with 18 homers. Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 in his last seven games. Matt Olson is also near the top of the league in homers, as his nine long balls are 13th in the league. However, Olson is batting just .239 for the season.
Over his last seven games, Adam Duvall has really struggled, going just 2/23 at the plate. However, he does have one homer in that stretch. Marcell Ozuna has been a bright spot for the Braves offense of late, as he has one homer and is batting .308 in his last seven games. Ozzie Albies has also driven in five runs in his last seven games.
Gunnar Henderson had a big game at the plate for the Orioles, going 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs. The Orioles really broke things open with a three-run 2nd inning. Baltimore’s Corbin Burnes was excellent on the mound, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six Rays batters.
Heading into the game, the Orioles were the -139 favorite on the money line. Baltimore scored a run to take the early lead and added another run in the 3rd to go up 2-0. The Rays pulled to within one run in the 2nd, but the Orioles scored another three runs in the 5th to put things out of reach. Baltimore’s bullpen closed things out, and Craig Kimbrel picked up the save.
With an overall record of 43-22, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, 2.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore is heading into today’s game with a four-game winning streak, which includes winning the final game of their series vs. the Rays and taking the first three games of this winning streak.
So far, the Orioles have been great against other AL East teams, going 17-6 in divisional matchups. They closed out their series vs. the Rays with four straight wins, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games. At home, the Orioles are 21-12 this year and 22-10 on the road.
When the Orioles are the underdog, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 9-2. They are also 22-10 on the run line on the road this season. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while it is -2.8 in losing games.
The Baltimore Orioles are at home today against the Atlanta Braves. The over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Orioles’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-24. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 9-5-2. In 52.3% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.
Through six starts, Albert Suárez has yet to take a loss, coming in with a record of 2-0 and 1.83 ERA. He has made 13 appearances this season and has a WHIP of 1.02. Suárez most recently faced the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, Suárez has 7.55 strikeouts and 2.52 walks. Opposing batters are hitting .207 this season off Suárez.
Adley Rutschman has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Orioles, going 9/26 in his last six games, including three home runs. Rutschman’s 49 RBIs are 6th best in the league, and he is batting .306 for the season. Gunnar Henderson is also near the top of the league in home runs, with his 21 homers being the 2nd most in the MLB. Henderson is batting .274 for the season.
As a team, the Orioles are the best offensive team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They also lead the league in home runs and have the top slugging percentage in the league. Baltimore’s team isolated power of .203 is also the best in the MLB. The Orioles have a few players on a good streak at the plate, with Gunnar Henderson having a five-game hitting streak and Ryan Mountcastle and Anthony Santander each having three-game streaks.
Our pick for this Braves vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at +115. We actually have the Orioles winning this game by a score of 6-4. So you could also look to take the Orioles on the run line, but we like the value of the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Albert Suarez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Max Fried with five. Suarez also has a better chance of picking up the win, as he’s ranked eighth in our starting pitcher rankings, with Fried coming in at seventh.
Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- We like the Orioles on the moneyline (+115)
- On the run line we like Orioles (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Head |
| Austin Hays | Questionable | Ribs |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Stowers | Questionable | Wrist |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Herget | Out | Shoulder |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
| AJ Smith-Shawver | Out | Oblique |
