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Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 5112024

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 5/11/2024

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Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks 5/11/24
  • Take the Orioles on the moneyline
  • On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

At 4:05 from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have an interleague matchup between the Diamondbacks and Orioles. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Diamondbacks are 18-21, while the Orioles have an overall record of 25-12. Arizona comes in with a money line payout of +143, while the Orioles are at -170. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

John Means is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks. Looking at the odds, the Orioles are the favorite at -170. This game can be seen on MASN.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Arizona Diamondbacks odds

Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

  • The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
  • On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
  • Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
  • Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Orioles vs Diamondbacks series. Baltimore went into the matchup as -134 favorites and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Orioles offense only had two more hits than the Diamondbacks and struck out five times as a team.

Arizona wasted a good outing from Brandon Pfaadt, as he gave up just three earned runs in six innings of work for the Diamondbacks. Cole Irvin got the win for the Orioles, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Ketel Marte and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. were the only two Diamondbacks hitters to have more than one hit. Marte also hit the game’s only home run.

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 7.5 games. Overall, they are 18-21 as they play on the road vs. the Orioles. The Diamondbacks are 9-8 in divisional games this season.

So far, Arizona has gone 9-10 at home compared to 9-11 on the road. As the road underdog, the Diamondbacks are 6-8 this season. Their overall series record is 4-7-1, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

The Diamondbacks have been a difficult team to gauge on the run line this season, as they are just below .500 at 19-20. Their average run margin is +0.3, and they have been a solid bet on the run line when they are the underdog at 12-10. They are also 10-10 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.5 runs per game.

The Diamondbacks have played 37 games this season, and 20 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 or higher. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 15-22. In games where the line was set at 8.5, they have a 5-5 record. Today’s line is set at 8.5 runs, and their last game went under the line of 7.5 runs.

Ryne Nelson and the Diamondbacks are on the road to take on the Orioles today. Nelson has started 3 games this season and has a win in each of his last 2 starts. In his most recent outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 runs on 8 hits. Nelson has 3 home runs allowed on the year.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is the 7th best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is the 7th best mark in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the top power threats for the Diamondbacks this season, with Walker leading the team with 26 RBIs and Marte’s eight homers being the best mark on the team. Marte comes into the game on an 11-game hitting streak, and he has gone deep three times in his last eight games, batting .250 over that stretch.

The Orioles are hosting the Diamondbacks today with an overall record of 25-12, which has them leading the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 6-1 in divisional matchups. Baltimore has won two straight games, and they are also 8-2 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Orioles are 13-7 this year and have gone 12-5 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 13-5. As the favorite, the Orioles are 18-11 this year and 7-1 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record this year is 8-3-1.

The Orioles are 22-15 against the run line this season, including a 12-8 mark at home. Their average run differential is +1.5 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. As the favorite, they are 15-14 against the run line, while they are 7-1 as the underdog.

When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles have played 11 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 8-7. Overall, the Orioles’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-16.

John Means is coming off a stellar start in his first outing of the season, as he went 7 innings and picked up a win over the Reds. He struck out 8 batters and only allowed 3 hits in that outing.

Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, going 12/38 in his last nine games with one home run and five RBIs. This has helped him move his season batting average up to .316, which is 2nd on the team. Rutschman is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg have been the team’s top power threats, with Henderson leading the team with 11 homers and Westburg, Anthony Santander, Colton Cowser, and Cedric Mullins all tied for 2nd with six homers.

As a team, the Orioles have been the best home run-hitting team in the league and are also 2nd in runs scored, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .246 and have the league’s top isolated power figure.

For this Diamondbacks vs. Orioles matchup, we actually like the over/under pick more than picking the Orioles straight up. We have the Orioles winning this one 6-5, but with the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there is a lot of value there.

Looking at today’s starters, we have John Means finishing with five strikeouts, and for the Diamondbacks’ Ryne Nelson, he is projected to finish with seven. Nelson’s strikeout numbers are one of the reasons we have the Orioles coming out on top.

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

  • Take the Orioles on the moneyline
  • On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Austin Hays Out Calf
Tyler Wells Out Elbow
Grayson Rodriguez Out Shoulder
Alexis Cruz Out Personal
Christopher Ramirez Out Personal
Isaiah Kearns Out Personal
Félix Bautista Out Elbow

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Eduardo Rodriguez Out Shoulder
Miguel Castro Out Shoulder
Alek Thomas Out Hamstring
Geraldo Perdomo Out Knee
Merrill Kelly Out Shoulder
Luis Frías Out Shoulder
Kyle Nelson Out Shoulder
Drey Jameson Out Elbow

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