Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Betting Tips 8/24/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Preview

At 7:20 PM ET, the Nationals and Braves face off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -179. The Nationals are +151 on the money line, and their record is 58-71, which has them fourth in the NL East.

Washington is starting Jake Irvin, while the Braves have Charlie Morton on the mound. Morton and the Braves are on a two-game winning streak and are 69-59 overall.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats

• The Nationals are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• On the other side, the Braves have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Braves have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Nationals have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Nationals series came right down to the end, as the Nationals rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -272 on the money line.

Chris Sale started for the Braves and went seven innings while giving up just two hits and striking out four. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. MacKenzie Gore had a good outing for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one run on seven hits.

Atlanta’s offense was led by Michael Harris II and Ramon Laureano, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Harris and Laureano each drove in a run. Jacob Young had a two-hit game for the Nationals.

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Washington is 58-71 overall, and they are 16.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 17-19 in divisional games. The Nationals are on the road today, and they are 0-1 in this series vs. the Braves.

At home, the Nationals are 30-33 this year, and they are two games under .500 at 28-38 on the road. This season, the Nationals have really struggled as the underdog, going 46-60, which includes a mark of 24-35 on the road. As for their overall series record, the Nationals are 16-21-3 heading into today’s game.

The Nationals have been a solid bet against the run line this season, posting a 73-56 record. They have been particularly good on the road, going 39-27 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 62-44 as an underdog this season. Their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game, but they have been much better against the run line in games they have won, with an average run differential of +3.4 runs per game.

The Washington Nationals are on the road to face the Atlanta Braves today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 64-60. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 18-17. So far this season, 52 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 40.3% of their games, while 42 games have had lines set lower than 8.5 runs, making up 32.6% of their games.

Jake Irvin is looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Phillies on August 18th, the right-hander gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. He was tagged for one homer in that outing. Leading up to that start, Irvin had picked up the win in two straight outings. His record for the season is 9-10, and he has an ERA of 3.81. Opposing batters are hitting .238 off Irvin this season. Looking at his numbers, he has made 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.57 strikeouts per nine innings.

Luis Garcia Jr. has been the Nationals’ best hitter this season, batting .296 with a team-high 63 RBIs and 15 home runs. CJ Abrams has also been a solid power threat for the Nationals, as he has 18 homers this season, which is the best mark on the team. However, he is batting just .246. Over his last 10 games, James Wood is hitting .378 with one home run and five RBIs.

As a team, the Nationals are averaging just 4.2 runs per game and are the league’s worst home run hitting team. Overall, they are batting a collective .245, which is 10th in the league. One area they have been strong is avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 5th fewest in the league.

With an overall record of 69-59, the Braves are five games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Nationals. In the NL East, they have gone 21-17 in divisional games.

At home, the Braves are 35-27 this season and have gone 34-32 on the road. Atlanta has won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10. As the favorite, the Braves are 59-46 this year and 10-13 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 22-14-5 and have won three straight series overall.

When the Braves win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 58-70, and they are 25-37 against the run line at home. They are 33-33 against the run line on the road.

With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Braves and Nationals are expected to score more runs than their combined season average of 8.1 runs per game. The Braves have gone over the total in 47 of their 76 games this season, and their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game. The under has hit in five straight Braves games.

Charlie Morton will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Angels, he only gave up two hits and issued two walks. Morton ended up getting the win in that start. Looking back over his last four outings, Morton has given up two earned runs in three of them. His record for the season is 7-7, and he has an ERA of 4.29. Opposing batters are hitting .241 off Morton this season. The right-hander has a total of 10 quality starts this year.

Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 6/18 in his last five games with a home run. For the season, he is batting .308 with 37 homers and 94 RBIs. Ozuna is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 21 homers but is batting just .225 this season.

As a team, the Braves are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. This is a big drop off from their home games, where they are averaging just 4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 12th in the league.

Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Braves, and with the money line payout sitting at -179, we think there is some value in taking the Braves straight up. However, our recommended bet is to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this game combining for nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Charlie Morton is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Jake Irvin with just four. Offensively, the Nationals are projected to finish with just eight hits compared to the Braves with eight.

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips

• Take the Braves on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Washington Nationals Injury Report