Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Preview
Max Fried and the Braves (30-21) are hosting the Nationals today, with the game getting started at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. The forecast is clear for Tuesday’s matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Washington is starting Jake Irvin, and they are 24-28 this season, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Atlanta is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -247 compared to the Nationals at +206. BSSO will be televising this game.
Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Braves – Washington Nationals odds
Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats
- The Nationals are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Braves, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- As the favorite, the Braves are 4-6 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- The Nationals have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Washington cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Braves, they scored their first run in the 5th and added three more in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +179 on the money line.
Mitchell Parker only went 6 1/3 innings for the Nationals but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Charlie Morton was tagged for eight runs in 5 2/3 innings of work for the Braves.
CJ Abrams and Jacob Young each had two hits and two RBIs for the Nationals’ offense. Jesse Winker also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs. Keibert Ruiz and Lane Thomas each had two hits and scored a run for Washington.
Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington is 24-28 overall and 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 12.5 games. So far, they are 6-5 in divisional matchups. The Nationals took the first game of this series vs. the Braves and currently lead the Braves by 6.0 games in the division.
At home, the Nationals are 10-13 this season, and they have gone 14-15 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 21-26 compared to 3-2 as the favorite. Heading into today’s game, the Nationals are 6-10-1 in series this year.
Despite a negative run differential on the season, the Nationals have been a profitable team to bet on the run line, as they are 32-20 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 19-10. They have been a solid bet as the underdog, going 29-18 on the run line.
Washington is on the road against Atlanta today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals’ games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 23-27. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-9. So far this season, 40.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5, and their games have gone over the line in each of their last two contests.
Washington is sending right-hander Jake Irvin to the mound today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 2-5 with a 3.79 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.07 and opponents are batting .232 this season. One thing to note is that he has turned in five quality starts this year. In his most recent outing, Irvin took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.
Washington’s offense has been below average this season, as they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game (22nd) and have a team batting average of only .230. They have also struggled in the power department, as their 46 home runs is just 15th in the league. Over his last eight games, CJ Abrams has gone just 7/33, but he does have two homers in that stretch and is batting .261 for the season. Luis Garcia Jr. and Abrams are tied for the team lead with 26 RBIs.
Keibert Ruiz has been on a tear of late, hitting .458 over his last eight games, and is also on a four-game hitting streak. Joey Gallo is also on a three-game hitting streak. Eddie Rosario comes into the game with a team-high seven homers, but he is batting just .174 for the season and has gone 5/31 in his last eight games.
With an overall record of 30-21, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 10-6 in divisional matchups. The Braves dropped the first game of their series vs. the Nationals and are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Braves have gone 16-9 this season compared to 14-12 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 29-18 and just 1-3 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 11-5-1 this year.
When betting on the Braves’ run line, it’s been a mixed bag. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they’ve been better at covering the run line on the road, where they are 15-11. They have a positive run differential in their wins and a negative one in their losses. They are 3-1 against the run line as underdogs, but just 23-24 as favorites.
The Atlanta Braves are at home against the Washington Nationals today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is 8.4, and their over/under record is 18-31. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-9. So far this season, 47.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Max Fried will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Cubs and picked up the win. In that May 22nd outing, he went 9 innings, giving up just 2 runs on 3 hits. One of those hits was a home run. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has made 10 starts, and his record for the season is 4-2. The left-hander has an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.06. Opposing batters are hitting .194 off Fried this season. He has two complete games and one shutout to his name this year.
Marcell Ozuna has been a key part of the Braves lineup this season, as he is batting .310 with 15 homers and 47 RBIs, which is 2nd in the MLB. Over his last 10 games, he has three homers and is batting .250. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has eight homers but is batting just .230 for the season.
As a team, the Braves are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 6th best team batting average in the league.
Our prediction for this Nationals vs. Braves matchup is to take the over, as we see the Braves coming out on top by a final score of 5-4. However, with the payout for a Braves win being -247, we are recommending taking the over at -104.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Max Fried finishing with five strikeouts compared to Jake Irvin with four. Fried is also projected to go longer in this one, finishing with 5 1/3 innings compared to Irvin at 4 1/3.
Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
| AJ Smith-Shawver | Out | Oblique |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
