Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
Chris Sale and the Braves will host the Blue Jays today at Truist Park in Atlanta, and they are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -272. The Blue Jays, who are starting Yariel Rodriguez, are 5th in the AL East with a record of 68-75.
Today’s forecast in Atlanta calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. BSSE will be televising this interleague matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Braves – Toronto Blue Jays odds
Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Blue Jays are 2-3. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Braves have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Braves have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Blue Jays have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.
Toronto picked up a 9-5 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 9th inning, scoring three runs in the 9th and picking up all four of their hits. Heading into the game, they were at +138 on the money line.
Atlanta wasted a good outing from Spencer Schwellenbach, as he gave up just three earned runs in five innings of work. The Braves were favored at -162 on the money line.
José Berríos only went six innings for the Blue Jays but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts and got the win. Heading into the game, Berríos was at +138 to get the win.
Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto is 68-75 overall and 14.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and trail the Rays by 2.5 games for the 4th spot in the AL East. The Blue Jays are just 3-7 over their last ten games and have dropped two straight series.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-35 this season, and they are just below .500 on the road at 34-40. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 41-28 this year and 27-47 as the underdog. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 16-23-6, and they have lost two straight series.
When the Blue Jays win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.3 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Overall, Toronto has a run line record of 72-71, with a run line record of 47-27 on the road. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 41-33 compared to 31-38 as the favorite.
The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Blue Jays have played in 108 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 75.5% of their games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 75-65 overall. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-14.
Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with an ERA of 4.61. So far, Rodríguez has turned in two quality starts and is coming off a short outing in which he went just three innings and didn’t give up a run. In that outing, he gave up three hits and two walks. Looking back, he has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings. Per nine innings, Rodríguez is averaging 4.35 walks compared to 9.09 strikeouts.
Blue Jays 1st baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as he comes into the game with a batting average of .326 to go along with 28 home runs and 94 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. has also been hot of late, hitting .382 over his last eight games. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .219 this season.
As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is also where they rank in terms of home runs, as they are just 19th in the MLB in that category. Overall, they are batting a collective .243, which is 11th in the league.
With an overall record of 77-65, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by eight games for the division lead. So far, they have gone 23-21 in divisional matchups. The Braves are at home today, where they are 39-30 this season.
Atlanta has been good on the road, putting up a record of 38-35. As the favorite, the Braves are 65-49 this season, and they are 12-16 when listed as the underdog. The Braves’ overall series record is 25-16-5, and they are currently tied in this series vs. the Blue Jays.
Atlanta has a run line record of 68-74 this season, with an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game. The Braves have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 39-34, compared to 29-40 at home. As the favorite, the Braves are just 51-63 on the run line, while they are 17-11 as the underdog. In their wins, the Braves have an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game, compared to -3.2 runs per game in their losses.
The Braves have played in a high-scoring environment this season, with a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 52-85, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 11-18. Overall, 73.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 16-3 and an ERA of 2.46. So far this year, he has made 26 starts, and opponents are batting .212 off the left-hander. Sale has made 16 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.54 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Sale was dominant, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Sale has won each of his last three starts.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 37 home runs are 5th in the league and the best mark on the Braves. His 98 RBIs are also 6th in the league. Ozuna has also been a force in terms of batting average, coming in at .307. Over his last four games, Jarred Kelenic has gone 4/13 with a home run and four RBIs.
As a team, the Braves are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. However, they have been better on the road (4.6 RPG) than at home (3.9 RPG). Overall, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league.
With the Blue Jays coming in at +223 on the money line, we see them as a great value pick today, and we have them winning this one by a score of 5-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, Yariel Rodríguez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have Chris Sale finishing with nine.
Offensively, we have the Blue Jays finishing with nine hits compared to the Braves with eight. However, we have the Braves finishing with just four runs compared to the Blue Jays with five.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Blue Jays with the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have the teams combining for nine runs.
Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- We like the Blue Jays on the moneyline (+223)
- The Blue Jays are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield | Out | Foot |
| Ozzie Albies | Out | Wrist |
| A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
| Austin Riley | Out | Hand |
| Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Kerr | Out | Elbow |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | Out | Calf |
| Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
| Orelvis Martinez | Out | Suspension |
| Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
