Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Betting Tips 6/30/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

At 11:35 AM ET, the Pirates and Braves face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-179). The money line odds for the Pirates are sitting at +151, and they are 39-43 this season, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. The Braves have won two straight and their record is 46-35, good for 2nd in the NL East.

Scattered clouds are in the forecast in Atlanta, where the temperature will be in the mid to upper 70s. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Bailey Falter for the Pirates and Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves.

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Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats

• The Pirates are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Braves have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Braves have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 5-5 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Pirates have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.

The most recent game o of this Pirates and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Pirates rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 2-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -144 on the money line.

Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued three walks. Daysbel Hernandez closed things out for the Braves, getting the win.

Paul Skenes had a good outing for the Pirates, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but allowed one home run. Kyle Nicolas took the loss.

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Pittsburgh will be on the road today vs. the Braves, having lost two straight games, and they are 39-43 overall this season. The Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central, where they trail the Brewers by 9.5 games. So far, they have gone 12-11 in divisional games.

At home, the Pirates are 19-20 this season, and they are just above .500 at 20-23 on the road. This year, the Pirates are 15-18 as the favorite and 24-25 as the underdog. Pittsburgh has an overall series record of 11-11-4 this year and have won two straight series on the road.

The Pirates are 44-38 against the run line this season. They are 19-20 at home and 25-18 on the road. They have covered the run line in 33 of 49 games as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.0, while it is -3.6 in losses.

With the over/under line set at 9.5 runs for the Pittsburgh Pirates’ game against the Atlanta Braves, oddsmakers are expecting a high-scoring affair. However, the Pirates have played in just three games this season with an over/under line of 9.5 runs or more, and their games have averaged just 8.5 runs per game this season. Pittsburgh’s over/under record for the season is 38-43, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs per game.

Pittsburgh is sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 4.00 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Reds. Looking back over his last four starts, he has given up at least two homers in three of them. Falter’s ERA on the road is 5.46, compared to 3.84 at home.

Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds has been on a tear for the Pirates, going 11/32 in his last eight games with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .278 with 13 homers and 46 RBIs, all of which lead the team. Reynolds is also on a 25-game hitting streak. Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen are also tied for 2nd on the team with 11 homers.

As a team, the Pirates are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.8 runs per contest. Overall, their batting average is just 19th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts and OPS.

With an overall record of 46-35, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Pirates, and their overall record in series is 15-10-2. At home, the Braves are 26-13 this season and 20-22 on the road.

Atlanta has been good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 43-29. As the underdog, the Braves are just 3-6 this season. They have also been good at closing out games at home, as they have won five straight at home as the favorite. Their overall record includes a mark of 12-11 against other NL East teams.

When it comes to the run line, the Braves have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 39-42 on the run line. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 18-21 on the run line, compared to 21-21 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 34-38 on the run line, while they are 5-4 as the underdog.

The Braves have been a strong under team this season, with a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 29-49, and their average over/under line is 9 runs. When the line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 4-4. Only 6.2% of their games have had lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 4 games.

Spencer Schwellenbach is getting the start for the Braves at home against the Pirates. He has started 3 games so far this season, with a 1-1 record. Schwellenbach’s last start was a loss to the Cardinals, where he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs. In his first start of the season, he picked up the win, going 6 innings and striking out 7 against the Tigers.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .300 with 21 home runs and 67 RBIs, which is 3rd in the MLB. He is also 5th in the league in homers. Ozuna has also been one of the Braves’ most consistent hitters of late, as he has gone 10/33 in his last nine games. Matt Olson is also having a solid season for the Braves, batting .241 with 12 homers.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They are also 12th in batting average and have the 11th ranked home run total in the MLB. Currently, Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuña Jr. are on three and four-game hitting streaks, respectively.

Our predicted score for this Pirates vs. Braves matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Pirates. So, we really like the value of getting the Pirates at +151 on the money line. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider the over/under, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bailey Falter finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Spencer Schwellenbach, who we have finishing with five K’s. Offensively, the Pirates lineup is projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Braves with eight.

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Tips

• We like the Pirates on the moneyline (+151)
• The Pirates are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report