Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 8/22/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

First pitch for Thursday’s matchup between the Phillies and Braves is set for 7:08 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. The Braves come in with a record of 67-59 and they are 2nd in the NL East, while the Phillies are leading the NL East with a record of 74-52.

FOX is carrying this game on TV, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. The Braves are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -112 compared to the Phillies at -107. Cristopher Sanchez is starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Spencer Schwellenbach.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 0-5 performance on the runline.
• The Braves, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• In their previous ten games, the Phillies have recorded a 5-5 record as the favorite, while they have a 5-5 record as the underdog.
• The Braves have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 3-7.

Atlanta wasted a good outing from Max Fried, as he went seven innings and gave up just two earned runs as the Braves starter vs. the Phillies. After scoring two runs in the first inning, the Phillies were held in check until they broke out for two more in the top of the 6th, picking up a 3-2 road win over the Braves.

Aaron Nola started for the Phillies, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs and striking out five. He did not factor in the decision, as Matt Strahm got the win out of the bullpen and Carlos Estevez got the save.

Philadelphia’s offense was led by Weston Wilson, who went 2/3 with an RBI. Wilson scored the go-ahead run for the Phillies in the top of the 6th. As for the Braves, Orlando Arcia hit the game’s only home run and went 1/3.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Philadelphia is on the road today, and they are 74-52 overall, putting them 1st in the NL East. The Phillies currently lead the Braves by 7.0 games in the division. So far, they have gone 20-13 in divisional play.

The Phillies have gone 5-5 across their last 10 games, and they are 21-14-6 in series this year. As the favorite, Philadelphia is 63-40 and 11-12 as the underdog. At home, the Phillies are 42-23 compared to 32-29 on the road.

When betting the run line on the Phillies, it’s important to note that they have a run line record of 61-65 on the season, including a 30-31 mark on the road. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 49-54 as the favorite and 12-11 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.9 runs per game, while it drops to -3.6 runs per game in losses.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today. Their combined run average this season is 8.9, and their over/under record is 58-62. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-14-1. Overall, 61 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 48.4% of their games. On the other hand, 33 of their games have had over/under lines set below 8 runs, which accounts for 26.2% of their games. The under has hit in their last two games.

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves on the road. This year, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.46 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and opponents are batting .253 off him this year. In his 24 starts, Sánchez has turned in 13 quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. His most recent outing was a good one, as he went nine innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had allowed at least six earned runs in three straight starts.

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .257. The Phillies also come into the game with the 5th best OPS in the MLB.

Over his last five games, Trea Turner has gone 7/19 (.368) with one home run and three RBIs. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ top run producer this season, as his 85 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. He is also batting .295 and has 13 homers. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively.

As the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East, they will look to gain some ground as they host the Phillies today. Atlanta is 67-59 overall and 19-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves have an overall series record of 20-15-5 and have won two straight series.

At home, the Braves are 33-27 this year and 34-32 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 103 of their games, going 57-46 in those games. As the underdog, the Braves are 10-13 this year and 1-2 as the underdog at home.

Atlanta has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 58-68 overall. They are 25-35 on the run line at home and 33-33 on the road. The Braves’ average run margin for the season is +0.4, and they are +0.9 runs per game on the road compared to -0.1 runs per game at home. They are 45-58 on the run line as the favorite and 13-10 as the underdog.

It’s been a high-scoring season for the Braves, as their games have averaged 8.2 runs per contest. Their over/under record is 47-74, and the over has hit in 59.5% of their games this year. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over has gone 7-13-1. Atlanta has been on a bit of an under streak lately, with the under hitting in their last three games.

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 4.04. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is 1.07, and opponents are batting .230 this year. In his 13 starts, Schwellenbach has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.11 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss.

Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late, going 10/17 in his last five games with two homers and six runs scored. For the season, he is batting .309 with 37 homers and 94 RBIs, which is 3rd and 4th in the league, respectively. Ozuna also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs but is batting just .226 this season.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 4th in the league in home runs. They have been a good home run-hitting team this season, but are just 24th in the league in batting average. Overall, their offense has been pretty consistent, averaging 4.5 runs per game on the road and 4.1 at home.

Our predicted final score for this Phillies and Braves matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Braves. Given that there is a good amount of value on the money line, we recommend taking the Braves to win straight up, with a payout of -112.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Spencer Schwellenbach lasting longer than Cristopher Sánchez, and he is also projected to finish with more strikeouts. If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could look to the over/under, and with this one sitting at 8 runs, we would take the over.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• We like the Braves on the moneyline (-112)
• On the run line we like Braves (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report