Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 8/7/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

Wednesday’s forecast in Atlanta calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET. BSSO is carrying the game on TV.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Braves are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -159. The Brewers are +134 and will have Freddy Peralta on the mound. The Braves are 60-52, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 63-49.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• The Brewers are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Braves have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
• The Braves have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Brewers have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

Atlanta had no answer for Milwaukee’s offense in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Braves by a score of 10-0. The Brewers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their ten runs. On the other side, the Braves had their best chance to score in the 4th, but could only muster two hits and left two runners on base.

Colin Rea started for the Brewers and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but did issue one walk. Bryce Elder got the start for the Braves and took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two and three hitters, Willy Adames and William Contreras, combined for seven hits and eight RBIs. Adames also homered twice. Rhys Hoskins also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs.

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

With a record of 63-49, the Brewers lead the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. Milwaukee will be on the road today vs. the Braves, and they have an overall division record of 23-13 this season. So far, they have dropped three straight series and are 19-14-3 in series overall.

At home, the Brewers have gone 31-21 this season and are just above .500 at 32-28 on the road. As the underdog, Milwaukee has gone 27-22 this season, and they are 36-27 when favored. Looking at their overall play, the Brewers have gone just 4-6 over their last ten games.

When it comes to the run line, the Brewers have been a better bet on the road this season, going 33-27 compared to 25-27 at home. They have been an underdog in 49 games and have covered the run line in 33 of those contests. Their average run differential in all games is +0.8 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.9 on the road.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Brewers games this season is 8.7, and their over/under record is 61-46. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-7-2. In 59.8% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs, while in 25.9% of their games, the line has been set lower than 8 runs.

Freddy Peralta is getting the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 3.89. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, the right-hander finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Peralta has allowed a total of 18 home runs this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers offense is 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, the team is batting .255, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB. As a team, the Brewers are also one of the league’s best at getting on base, with an OBP of .332.

Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with 19 home runs, with Hoskins batting just .223 and Adames at .252. Adames has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 in his last five games with two homers. Jackson Chourio is also swinging a hot bat, going 9/25 in his last five games. He is batting .267 for the season with 12 homers.

With a record of 60-52, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 6.5 games. The Braves have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak comes after winning three in a row. So far, they have gone 18-16 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Braves are 32-24 this season and have gone 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 53-41 and 7-11 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 19-13-5 this year.

When the Braves are favored, they are a losing bet on the run line, going 42-52. They are 9-9 on the run line as an underdog. They are 23-33 on the run line at home and 28-28 on the road. Their average run differential is +0.4 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 51-61.

Today’s over/under line for the game between the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers is set at 8 runs. The Braves have played a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their combined run average sitting at 7.9 runs per game. Overall, the over has hit in 40 of their 67 games this season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has gone 5-10-1.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes into the game with a record of 13-3 and an ERA of 2.71. This year, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .196 off the left-hander. Sale has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Padres, he went five innings and gave up just one hit. Sale has not lost a game at home this year, going 8-0 with a 3.40 ERA. On the road, he is 5-3 with a 2.67 ERA.

Heading into today’s game, the Braves offense is averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the majors. They have been slightly better on the road (4.3 RPG) than at home (4.1 RPG). As a team, the Braves are batting .238, which is 15th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .302 is 19th in the MLB.

Marcell Ozuna has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .297 with a team-high 32 home runs and 86 RBIs. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has gone deep 18 times but is batting just .228 for the season. Olson has three homers in his last eight games, but he is just 7/28 in that stretch. Austin Riley has gone 11/32 in his last eight games, including one home run.

With the Brewers coming in at +134 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers, giving you the option to take them on the money line or to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Chris Sale finishing with more strikeouts than Freddy Peralta, but Sale is currently sitting at -159 to pick up the win, compared to Peralta at +134.

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• We like the Brewers on the moneyline (+134)
• The Brewers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report