Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 8/6/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

At 7:20 PM ET, the Brewers and Braves square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-138). The money line odds for a Brewers win are sitting at +117, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak. Milwaukee is 1st in the NL Central, while the Braves are 2nd in the NL East.

The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the forecast for Tuesday’s game calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. TBS will be televising this one, and the Brewers are starting Colin Rea, while the Braves are going with Bryce Elder.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• The Brewers are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the other side, the Braves have gone 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
• The Braves have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Brewers have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Nationals scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Milwaukee was the -126 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He pitched well, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out two. The Brewers’ offense was carried by Gary Sánchez, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Milwaukee is 62-49 overall, putting them in 1st place in the NL Central. They lead the Pirates by six games. The Brewers head into today’s game vs. the Braves having dropped two straight games, and this came in the final two games of their series vs. the Nationals.

So far, the Brewers have gone 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central. At home, the Brewers are 31-21 compared to 31-28 on the road. As the road underdog, the Brewers have gone 20-15 this season, and they are 36-27 as the favorite.

On the road, the Brewers have been a solid run line bet, going 32-27, but they have failed to cover in their last two games. As the favorite, they are just 25-38 vs. the run line, but as the underdog, they are 32-16. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while in losing games, it’s -2.8.

The Brewers are on the road against the Braves today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Milwaukee’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-46. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-6-2. So far this season, 11 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for 9.9% of their games.

Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.59 ERA. Rea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Rea has not taken a loss since July 9th. One of his six losses came in that outing. Rea has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four outings.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been two of the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras having 12 homers and Adames leading the team with 71 RBIs and 17 home runs. Rhys Hoskins also has 19 homers but is batting just .220 for the season. However, he has gone 10/36 with four homers over his last 10 games. Jackson Chourio has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/38 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Brewers are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 (5th) and have the league’s 3rd best on-base percentage. Milwaukee’s offense has been very good at putting the ball in play, as they have the league’s 2nd best BABIP.

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 7-0 loss. This was especially tough, as the Braves were the heavy favorite at -257. Things really got away from the Braves in the 4th inning, as the Marlins scored six runs in the inning. Atlanta’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.

Max Fried got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. The Braves also issued five walks in the loss and hit just one double.

With a record of 60-51, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, 5.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Atlanta dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins and are 18-16 in divisional games this year. Today, they host the Brewers with an overall series record of 19-13-5.

At home, the Braves are 32-23 this season compared to 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 53-40 and 7-11 as the underdog. So far, they have been good at home when favored, putting up a mark of 32-22. Atlanta’s overall record has them 5th in the National League.

Despite a run line record of 23-32 at home, the Braves have been a solid bet on the road, going 28-28. They have been outscored by an average of 0.7 runs per game away from home, but have been able to cover the run line. They have been favored in 93 of their games, and have gone 42-51 against the run line in those contests.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the Braves’ average over/under line of 8 runs per game. Atlanta’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and they have gone over the total in 39 of their 106 games. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over has gone 8-14-3, and the under has hit in four straight games.

Right-hander Bryce Elder is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces off against the Brewers. He comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 5.67. In his nine starts, Elder has a WHIP of 1.54 and has issued just 2.93 walks per nine innings. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 7.83 strikeouts per nine innings. Elder’s most recent outing was a good one, as he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .300 with 32 home runs, which is 3rd in the league. His 86 RBIs is also 3rd in the MLB. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, with 18 homers, but he is batting just .226 for the season. Olson has five homers in his last 10 games, but is hitting just .229 over that stretch.

Over their last 10 games, Austin Riley has gone 12/42 (.286) with two homers and seven RBIs. As a team, the Braves are 20th in runs scored and are batting a collective .239. They have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, but they are just 22nd in walks.

Our prediction for this Braves vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -138. We have the Braves winning this one by a score of 6-4, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryce Elder finishing with five strikeouts compared to Colin Rea, who we have finishing with four. Elder is also projected to go one inning longer than Rea, and we have him finishing with a better chance of picking up a win.

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• Take the Braves on the moneyline
• The Braves should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report