Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips 8/4/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Preview

From Truist Park in Atlanta, we have the Marlins and Braves facing off in an NL East matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 1:35 PM ET. BSSE is carrying this one on TV.

Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, and he will be facing off against Max Fried and the Braves. Miami is 41-70, while the Braves have the second-best record of 60-50. The money line odds have the Braves at -298 compared to the Marlins at +242. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Marlins have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• The Braves, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• The Braves have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Marlins have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

Miami picked up a 4-3 road win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a two-run 5th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 7th. As for the Braves, they scored their final run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +211 on the money line.

Kyle Tyler only went 2 2/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Declan Cronin got the win out of the bullpen, and Calvin Faucher got the save. Grant Holmes struggled on the mound for the Braves, going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits.

Jake Burger hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with two RBIs. Jesus Sanchez also had a two-hit game for Miami and drove in a run. Marcell Ozuna hit a homer for the Braves, going 1/4.

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Miami is 41-70 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 24.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 10-23 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are on the road today, where they are 19-36 this season.

As the road underdog, the Marlins are 19-36 this year, and they are 4-13 overall as the favorite. Miami has an overall series record of 10-20-4, and they are losing their current series vs. the Braves.

When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog. They are 50-44 against the run line in those games, compared to just 2-15 as the favorite. Miami’s overall run line record is 52-59, and they’ve been outscored by an average of 1.3 runs per game this season.

The Miami Marlins have been a solid over team this season, with a 60-48 over/under record. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, which is the same as today’s over/under line. When the line has been set at 8.5, the Marlins have gone 18-17 to the over. However, they have been trending towards the under recently, with their last three games all going under the total.

Miami is sending right-hander Edward Cabrera to the mound today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 6.65. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.55. In his 10 starts, he has pitched just one quality start and is averaging 11.63 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Cabrera gave up two earned runs in five innings of work and had seven strikeouts. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

The Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per game. Miami’s team batting average is just 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. One positive for the Marlins is that they have been swinging the bats well of late, as Jake Burger has gone 12/32 over his last eight games, with five homers and eight RBIs.

Overall, Burger has a team-high 17 homers, and his 46 RBIs are also the best on the team. Jesus Sanchez is 2nd on the team in homers (12) and RBIs (41) and is batting .245 for the season. Sanchez also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Josh Bell, Bryan De La Cruz, and Xavier Edwards are also on some decent hitting streaks for the Marlins.

With an overall record of 60-50, the Braves are five games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta is 18-15 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins but dropped the most recent game.

At home, the Braves have gone 32-22 this season while posting a 28-28 record on the road. So far, the Braves have been good as the favorite, going 53-39, and they are 7-11 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 18-13-4 and have dropped two straight series at home.

The Braves have been a pretty average run line team this season, going 51-59. They have a run line record of 23-31 at home and 28-28 on the road. They have been favored in 92 games, going 42-50 in those contests. Their average run margin on the season is +0.6 runs per game.

When the Atlanta Braves are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games is 7.9, and their over/under record for the season is 39-66. The over/under record for games with an 8.5 line is 11-20. The under has hit in their last three games.

Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces off against the Marlins at home. Fried has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.08 ERA. This year, he has two complete games and one shutout to go along with 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Fried took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had given up five earned runs in back-to-back outings. Fried’s ERA at home is 4.49 compared to 6.02 on the road.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .300 with a team-high 32 home runs and 86 RBIs. Matt Olson has also been a good power threat, with 18 homers, but he is batting just .227 this season. Olson has been swinging the bat well of late, going 5/17 with three homers over his last five games, while Austin Riley is 7/21 in that stretch.

As a team, the Braves are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game. However, they are just 15th in batting average and have the 24th worst strikeout rate in the league. Overall, their offense has been pretty consistent, as they are 17th in runs scored and have been a below-average offense both at home and on the road.

Our prediction for the Braves vs. Marlins game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We see the Braves coming out on top with a final score of 6-4. However, with the Braves being such heavy favorites on the money line, we recommend taking the over and the payout of -104.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Max Fried finishing with five strikeouts compared to Edward Cabrera with six. However, Fried is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Cabrera.

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips

• Take the Braves on the moneyline
• The Braves should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Miami Marlins Injury Report