Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips 8/1/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Preview

Charlie Morton and the Braves will look to keep their two-game winning streak alive when they face off against the Marlins on Thursday. This one is getting started at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are heavy money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -200 compared to the Marlins at +169. The over/under line is at 9 runs.

Max Meyer is starting for the Marlins, and he will be looking to help them pull off the upset and improve on their 40-68 record. The Braves are 58-49 and 2nd in the NL East. Miami is 5th in the division. This game will be televised on BSFL.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Marlins have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• The Braves, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• As the favorite, the Braves are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Marlins’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 6-4 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Miami is coming off a big 6-2 win over the Rays to close out their series. This was especially impressive, as they were the +221 underdog on the money line. It was a three-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Rays could only score two runs, both of which came in the 1st.

Roddery Muñoz put together a good start for the Marlins, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Miami’s offense was carried by Jonah Bride, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Miami is on the road today to take on the Braves with an overall record of 40-68, which has them 5th in the NL East. The Marlins trail the Phillies by 25 games in the division and are 9-21 against other NL East teams. Miami split their two-game series with the Rays and are 6-4 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Marlins are just 22-34 this year, and they are 18-34 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going 4-13, and they are 36-55 as the underdog this year. Miami’s overall series record is 10-20-4 this year.

The Marlins have a run line record of 51-57 this season, with an average run differential of -1.3 runs per game. They have gone 26-26 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -1.2 runs per game. Miami has been an underdog in 91% of its games this season, going 49-42 against the run line in those contests.

The Miami Marlins are on the road to face the Atlanta Braves, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 8.6, and their over/under record is 60-45. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 3-9. The over has hit in two straight games for Miami, and only 4.6% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9 runs.

Max Meyer is getting the start for the Marlins on the road against the Braves. He has already faced Atlanta once this season, picking up a win in his first start of the year. In that outing, he went 6 innings, striking out 7 and giving up 1 earned run. He is coming off a start against the Brewers in which he went 4 innings and gave up 3 earned runs.

Josh Bell and Jake Burger have been two of the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 15 homers and Bell right behind him at 14. Bell has also been the team’s top run producer, with 49 RBIs compared to Burger’s 42. Both players have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Bell going 7/18 in his last four games and Burger hitting .350 over his last six games.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .237, which is 15th in the league, and have the league’s worst on-base percentage and are just 24th in slugging.

The Braves’s offense was carried by Travis d’Arnaud in their most recent game vs. the Brewers. He went 2/4 with two homers and two RBIs. The Braves really broke things open with a four-run 8th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Braves were the slight underdog at -119.

Chris Sale started for the Braves, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

With a record of 58-49, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 6.5 games. Atlanta will host the Marlins today with a two-game winning streak, and they took their series vs. the Brewers, winning two of three games. So far, they are 16-14 in the division.

At home, the Braves are 30-21 this season, and they are an even 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 51-38 and 7-11 as the underdog. Atlanta has dropped four straight games at home, and their overall series record is 18-13-4, including two straight series losses at home. Currently, the Braves are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

The Braves have been a solid run line bet this season, going 49-58 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 28-28 against the run line. They have been a poor bet at home, going just 21-30 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the favorite, going 40-49 against the run line.

When the Braves play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. Overall, the Braves have played to the over in 39 of their 63 games this season, but when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone over the total just 8 times, under 12 times, and pushed 3 times. In total, only 12.1% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs, with 66.4% of their games having lower lines.

Charlie Morton will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets, as he gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Marlins. In that start vs. the Mets, Morton took the loss, giving up five earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Morton has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 4.16 ERA. Opponents are batting .233 this season vs. Morton. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.75 strikeouts and 3.4 walks.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 31 homers are 3rd best in the league and lead the Braves. He also has 84 RBIs, which is also the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the MLB. Ozuna is batting .301 for the season, which is the best mark on the team. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 17 homers but has hit just .226 so far.

Atlanta’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and have the league’s 13th best batting average. The Braves have a few players on some solid hitting streaks, with Orlando Arcia leading the way at 11 games.

There are a few ways to play this game, but our top pick would be to take the over at 9 runs. We see the Braves taking this one 6-4, giving us a two-run cushion on the over/under line.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Braves at -200 is a solid option. However, we see there being more value on the over/under line, as you could look to parlay the Braves with another team to get your payout up.

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips

• Take the Braves on the moneyline
• The Braves should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Miami Marlins Injury Report