Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
There does appear to be a chance of rain for Saturday’s Dodgers vs Braves game in Atlanta, with the forecasted temperature being 72 degrees. Jack Flaherty will go for the Dodgers, and he is facing off against Chris Sale. The Braves are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -127 compared to the Dodgers at +107. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET, and BSSE will be carrying this one on TV. The Dodgers are 87-60 and are currently 1st in the NL West, while the Braves are 80-67 and are 3rd in the NL East.
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Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Braves’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- The Braves have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Dodgers have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Dodgers series came right down to the end, as the Dodgers rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 6-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -106 on the money line.
Atlanta got off to a fast start in the game, scoring four runs in the 2nd and adding two more in the 5th. On the other side, the Dodgers got on the board with one run in the 3rd and added their final run in the 8th.
Jorge Soler and Gio Urshela each homered for the Braves, while Marcell Ozuna went 3/4 with two RBIs. Whit Merrifield also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for Atlanta.
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is 87-60 overall this year, and they lead the NL West by 4.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers will be on the road today, taking on the Braves, and they are 24-19 in their division games this year.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27, and they are 39-33 on the road. As the favorite, Los Angeles has gone 82-49 this year, and they are 5-11 as the underdog. The Dodgers have dropped two straight road games and are 28-18-3 in series this year.
When the Dodgers are on the road, they are 35-37 against the run line, but they have lost their last two. Their average run margin on the road is +0.6, and they have a run line record of 73-74 overall. They are 7-9 against the run line as an underdog and 66-65 as a favorite.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have played in 122 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 this season, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 79-65, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 13-9. The Dodgers are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs.
Jack Flaherty has been pitching well for the Dodgers, as he has won his last three starts. Most recently, he faced off against the Guardians and didn’t give up a run in 7 1/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Flaherty has made 25 starts, and his record for the season is 12-6. The right-hander’s ERA is 2.86, and he has a WHIP of 1.01. Opposing batters are hitting .213 off Flaherty this season. Out of his 25 starts, Flaherty has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 10.95 strikeouts per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani has been a huge power threat for the Dodgers this season, as his 47 homers are 2nd in the MLB and the most on the team. He also comes into the game with a strong batting average of .290. Ohtani’s 104 RBIs are 3rd in the league. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 28 homers, which is 14th in the league, and is 2nd on the Dodgers.
Los Angeles comes into the game with the 3rd best scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Dodgers are the 3rd ranked home run hitting team and have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league.
Atlanta is 80-67 overall and trails the Mets by one game for 2nd place in the NL East. Currently, they are eight games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Braves have gone 24-22 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Braves are 41-31 this season and have gone 39-36 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 67-51, and they are 39-29 as the favorite at home. Atlanta has an overall series record of 26-17-6 this season.
So far, the Braves have taken the first game of their series vs. the Dodgers. This year, the Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Braves, it’s been a bit of a mixed bag this season. They’ve been a better bet on the road, where they have a run line record of 40-35 compared to 30-42 at home. They’ve also been a better bet as the underdog, going 18-11 against the run line, compared to 52-66 as the favorite. Their average run differential in all games is +0.5 runs per game, and they’ve been outscored by an average of 0.2 runs per game in their losses.
The Braves have played in 107 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, which is 72.8% of their games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Dodgers is set at 7.5 runs, and the Braves have a record of 12-19 in games with that line. Their combined run average for the season is 8.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 53-89. They have hit the under in their last two games.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Dodgers and comes in with a record of 16-3 and ERA of 2.38. So far, he has made 27 starts and 17 of them have been quality starts. Sale’s ERA at home is 2.85, and he is 9-0 at home. The left-hander’s ERA on the road is 2.42, and he is 7-3 away from home. Sale’s last outing came on September 8th vs. the Blue Jays, where he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .241, which is 14th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .306 is also below average. Atlanta does have the 5th most home runs in the league and have the 8th best isolated power figure in the league.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .306 and 37 home runs. His 98 RBIs are also 1st on the team and 8th in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .237 for the season. Olson is currently on a four-game hitting streak.
The best way to play this Dodgers vs. Braves matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line at +107. We have the Dodgers winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the Dodgers on the money line and look for a player prop to go along with it.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jack Flaherty finishing with six strikeouts compared to Chris Sale with nine. However, Sale has the better chance to pick up a win, as he ranks fourth in our projections compared to Flaherty at 13th.
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- We like the Dodgers on the moneyline (+107)
- The Dodgers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Ozzie Albies | Out | Wrist |
Reynaldo López | Out | Shoulder |
A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
Austin Riley | Out | Hand |
Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
Ray Kerr | Out | Elbow |
Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
Anthony Banda | Out | Hand |
Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |