Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
There appears to be a chance for light rain in Atlanta on Friday, where the Braves and Dodgers will face off at 7:20 PM ET. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Dodgers are favored on the money line (-109).
Both of these teams are starting a pitcher that is making their first career start, as Landon Knack is going for the Dodgers, while the Braves have Spencer Schwellenbach on the mound. The Dodgers are 87-59, while the Braves are 79-67, and they are 1st and 3rd in the NL West and NL East, respectively. APLTV will be televising Friday’s Dodgers-Braves matchup.
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Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Dodgers in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Braves have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- In their previous ten games, the Dodgers have recorded a 5-5 record as the favorite, while they have a 5-5 record as the underdog.
- The Braves hold a 6-4 record as the favorite and a 4-6 record as the underdog.
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cubs, closing out their series with a 10-8 win. After allowing two runs to the Cubs in the top of the first, the Dodgers responded with five runs of their own. Los Angeles went on to add another five runs in the 2nd inning.
Starting for the Dodgers was Bobby Miller, who picked up the win. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on five hits. Tommy Edman had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with two homers and four RBIs.
Los Angeles heads into today’s game in 1st place in the NL West, leading the Diamondbacks by five games. Overall, the Dodgers are 87-59, and they have gone 24-19 in divisional matchups this season. The Dodgers will be looking to pick up a win today, as they dropped two of three in their series vs. the Cubs.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27 this season, and they are 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, Los Angeles has put together a record of 82-48, while going just 5-11 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Dodgers have an overall series record of 28-18-3.
When the Dodgers win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of -3.4 runs per game. Their run line record is 73-73, and they are 35-36 on the run line on the road this season. They are 66-64 on the run line as the favorite and 7-9 as the underdog.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 79-64 on the season and have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. Their games have averaged a combined 9 runs per game this season, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 32 times and under 24 times. The over has hit in three straight games for the Dodgers.
Right-hander Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.00. Looking at his overall numbers, Knack has a WHIP of .96 and opponents are batting .191 this year. Knack’s most recent outing came on September 6th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone 1-0 with a 3.04 ERA on the road. Knack has allowed a total of 10 homers this year.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force at the plate for the Dodgers this season, as he is hitting .292 with 47 home runs and 104 RBIs, which are both top marks in the MLB this season. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is batting .267. Tommy Edman has been on fire of late, going 9/20 with four homers over his last five games.
Overall, the Dodgers have the 3rd best scoring offense in the MLB this season, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Dodgers have the 3rd most homers in the league and have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league. They also have the league’s 2nd best OPS.
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 5-1 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite going into the game but fell behind early, as the Nationals scored two runs in the 3rd. The Braves could only scratch across one run, and it came in the 6th inning.
Max Fried had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on 11 hits and issuing three walks. The Braves also wasted a big game from Jorge Soler, who went 2/3 with a double and a run scored.
With an overall record of 79-67, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by nine games. Atlanta is 24-22 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves will take on the Dodgers today at home, where they are 40-31 this season.
As the underdog, the Braves are 12-16 this year, including having lost two straight as the underdog. Atlanta has been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 67-51. The Braves’ overall series record is 26-17-6, and they split their most recent series with the Nationals.
When betting the run line on the Braves, the best strategy has been to take them on the road, where they are 40-35 vs. the run line. They are just 29-42 vs. the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 52-66 vs. the run line, while they are 17-11 as the underdog. Their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game, and they are 69-77 vs. the run line overall.
The Braves are 13-24 this season when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this year, and their overall over/under record is 53-88. In total, 44 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 30.1% of their contests. The average over/under line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs.
Atlanta is sending right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-7 with a 3.78 ERA. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his most recent outing, Schwellenbach took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Blue Jays. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Schwellenbach has been much better at home, coming in with a 4.19 ERA compared to 3.85 on the road.
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. Their team batting average of .240 is 15th in the league, and they are also 5th in the league in home runs. As a team, the Braves have been better at the plate on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game compared to just 3.9 at home.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .303 with a team-high 37 home runs and 98 RBIs. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but has a batting average of just .237. However, Olson has gone 8/22 in his last six games. Olson also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, while Ronald Acuña Jr. is looking to extend his current hitting streak to five games.
Our predicted final score for this Dodgers vs. Braves matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Dodgers. With the Dodgers being on the road, you can get them on the money line at -109, which is our recommended pick.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, we have Landon Knack going seven innings and picking up five strikeouts. As for Spencer Schwellenbach, he is projected to go eight innings and finish with five strikeouts.
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- We like the Dodgers on the moneyline (-109)
- The Dodgers are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Whit Merrifield | Questionable | Foot |
Ozzie Albies | Out | Wrist |
Reynaldo López | Out | Shoulder |
A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
Austin Riley | Out | Hand |
Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
Ray Kerr | Out | Elbow |
Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
Anthony Banda | Out | Hand |
Teoscar Hernández | Probable | Foot |
Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |