Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Betting Tips 9/5/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Preview

Reynaldo Lopez and the Braves will look to extend their two-game winning streak on Thursday, as they face off against the Rockies, who have lost three straight. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West with a record of 51-89, while the Braves are 2nd in the NL East at 76-63.

Thursday’s matchup is set for 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are heavy money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -274. The Rockies will be starting Austin Gomber, and he will be facing a Braves lineup that has scored the 4th most runs in the National League.

Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Braves – Colorado Rockies odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Rockies are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Braves have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Braves have a record of 9-1 straight-up, and have gone 8-2 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Rockies series came right down to the end, as the Rockies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -277 on the money line.

Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished with eight strikeouts but issued three walks and didn’t factor into the decision. Raisel Iglesias got the win out of the bullpen.

Bradley Blalock only went five innings for the Rockies, giving up four earned runs on four hits. He struck out six but took the loss.

Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Colorado is on the road today, and they have dropped three straight games, putting their overall record at 51-89, which is good for 5th place in the NL West. The Rockies trail the Dodgers by 33 games in the division and are 16 games behind the Giants for 4th place in the division.

So far, the Rockies have really struggled against other NL West teams, going 15-28 against them. This season, they are just 19-52 on the road compared to 32-37 at home. As the underdog, Colorado is 49-87 this season and 2-2 when favored.

While the Rockies have a losing record on the run line this season, they have been slightly better at home (36-33). However, they have lost three straight run line bets on the road and are just 32-39 overall. They have been favored just four times on the run line and have failed to cover in three of those games.

The Rockies are on the road in Atlanta today, and the over/under line for this game is set at 8.5 runs. Colorado’s games have averaged 10 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 69-68 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-10. This season, 59.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the total in each of their last three contests.

Left-hander Austin Gomber is getting the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 4-10 with a 4.69 ERA. Gomber’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Gomber took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note is that Gomber has only allowed one homer in each of his last three outings.

So far this season, the Rockies offense has been better at home, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. However, they have been one of the worst road offenses in the league, averaging only 3.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 19th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and their collective BABIP of .31 is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.

Collectively, the Rockies are near the bottom of the league in strikeouts and walks. Individually, Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar have been two of the Rockies’ top hitters this season, with Doyle leading the team with 22 homers and Tovar right behind him at 21. Tovar is batting .268 for the season, while Doyle comes in with a batting average of .271.

With an overall record of 76-63, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Rockies, and their record in series this year is 24-16-5. At home, the Braves are 38-28 this year and 38-35 on the road.

Atlanta has been the favorite in most of their games, as they are 64-47 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, the Braves are 12-16. Heading into today’s game, the Braves have won two straight at home, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Atlanta Braves, it’s been a mixed bag this season. They have an overall run line record of 67-72, but they have been slightly better on the road at 39-34. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game, but it’s been slightly better on the road at +0.9. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are on a four-game run line win streak when favored.

The Braves are 13-23 in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game. They have gone under the total in four straight games and have an over/under record of 51-83 overall this season. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and 42.4% of their games have had over/under lines of 8.5 runs or higher.

Reynaldo López is getting the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 8-4 and an ERA of 2.00. So far this season, he has made 22 starts, and opponents are batting .219 off him. López has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 9.25 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he finished with a no-decision. López has been tough to beat at home, with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 1.73 compared to 4-3 with a 2.34 ERA on the road.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top offensive players this season, as he is batting .305 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs. His home run and RBI totals are both good for 5th in the league. Ozuna is also currently on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .233 for the season.

Overall, the Braves have been a good home run hitting team and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. This is just 16th in the league, but they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241 and have the league’s 4th best isolated power mark.

Our prediction for this Rockies vs. Braves matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Braves, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you’re looking to take the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Reynaldo López finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Austin Gomber with five. However, we like the Braves to come out on top, and with López having the better strikeout numbers, you could look to his strikeout prop.

Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips

• Take the Braves on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Colorado Rockies Injury Report