Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Preview
At 7:20 PM from Truist Park in Atlanta, we have an NL matchup between the Cubs and Braves. Heading into Monday’s game, the Cubs have a record of 24-17, while the Braves are 24-13 overall. Chicago is sending Shota Imanaga to the mound vs. Reynaldo Lopez for the Braves.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Braves are the favorite at -146 on the money line. This game can be seen on MARQ.
Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Braves – Chicago Cubs odds
Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Cubs in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Braves have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Braves have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Cubs have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Cubs closed out the series with a 5-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -119 on the money line. It was a three-run 10th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score two runs in the bottom of the 10th to pick up the win.
Kyle Hendricks put together a good start for the Cubs, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Chicago’s offense was carried by Patrick Wisdom, who went 3/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Cubs also had three other players with two hits.
Chicago is on the road today vs. the Braves, and they are 24-17 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by just a half-game. The Cubs head into today’s game having won their series vs. the Pirates, taking two of three games.
At home, the Cubs have gone 13-6 this year compared to 11-11 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs are 13-11 this year, and they are 11-6 when favored. So far, they have an overall series record of 7-4-2 this year.
The Cubs have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 24-17 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 14-8. They are 18-6 against the run line as the underdog, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.2 runs.
Chicago’s over/under record is 18-21, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the Cubs are 1-5. The Cubs’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-21. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the Cubs are 1-5. Overall, 43.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their games have gone over the line 41.5% of the time.
Through seven starts, Shota Imanaga has yet to take a loss, coming in with a record of 5-0 and ERA of 1.08. Overall, he has made seven appearances and has a WHIP of .82. Imanaga has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 9.29 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Imanaga finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The left-hander has been especially tough on the road, with a record of 3-0 and 0.47 ERA.
Heading into today’s game, the Cubs are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .238 and have the 9th most home runs in the league. Over his last nine games, Christopher Morel has gone 9/30 with four homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .228.
Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger are both tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers. Bellinger is batting .255 for the season, while Busch comes in at .248. Nico Hoerner is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .275 this season.
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Mets scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Atlanta was the -108 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Bryce Elder got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Jarred Kelenic, who went 1/3 with a homer.
With an overall record of 24-13, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, two games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Atlanta closed the gap by taking two of three games vs. the Mets. So far, they have gone 10-5 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Braves have been really good this year, going 13-4. They have also played well on the road, coming in with an 11-9 mark. Atlanta has won four straight games as the favorite and is 24-10 overall in those situations. As for their record as the home favorite, they are 13-4.
The Braves have been a solid bet this season, going 20-17 against the run line. They have been especially good on the road, going 12-8. They have covered the run line in four straight games as the favorite, and their average run differential in wins is +3.5.
The Braves have gone under in six straight games, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. The over/under record for the Braves this season is 12-23, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cubs is set at 8 runs, and the Braves have gone over in two of their three games this season when the line was set at 8 runs.
Through six starts, Reynaldo López has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 1.53. He has made four quality starts this season and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow an earned run. Against the Red Sox on May 7th, López went 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. Looking back over his last three outings, López has given up a total of two earned runs. The right-hander’s ERA at home is 0.99 compared to 2.3 on the road.
Marcell Ozuna comes into the game as the league’s leading RBI man, and he is also 2nd in the league in home runs. Ozuna is batting .326 for the season and has three homers in his last 10 games. He is also on a six-game hitting streak. Catcher Travis d’Arnaud is also swinging a good bat for the Braves, as he is batting .270 for the season and has gone deep five times.
As a team, the Braves are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and have the 6th best batting average in the league.
Our prediction for this Cubs vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -146. We have the Braves winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under line, which is sitting at 8 runs. We have this game going over that line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Reynaldo López is projected to have a better outing than Shota Imanaga. We have López finishing with five strikeouts compared to Imanaga with five. López is also projected to go 11th in the league in terms of hits allowed, compared to Imanaga, who is ninth.
Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| Pierce Johnson | Out | Elbow |
| Austin Riley | Questionable | Side |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Murphy | Out | Oblique |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | Probable | Back |
| Drew Smyly | Out | Hip |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Dansby Swanson | Out | Knee |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Back |
| Daniel Palencia | Out | Shoulder |
| Caleb Kilian | Out | Teres Major |
| Jordan Wicks | Out | Forearm |
