Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Preview
At 3:40 PM ET, the Nationals and Diamondbacks square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -183. The Nationals have lost three in a row and are 4th in the NL East with a record of 49-59. LHP MacKenzie Gore is starting for the Nationals, and the Diamondbacks are going with Zac Gallen.
Wednesday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on MASN. Gallen has been solid for the Diamondbacks this season, going 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA. As for Gore, he has a 4.50 ERA in his two starts.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Nationals are 2-3. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 8-2 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
- The Nationals have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Thanks to a seven-run 2nd inning for the Diamondbacks’ offense, they cruised to a 17-0 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -169 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Patrick Corbin for the Nationals, and he went just three innings while giving up 10 runs and took the loss. Ryne Nelson put together a good outing for the Diamondbacks, getting the win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.
Eugenio Suarez had a huge game at the plate for Arizona, going 4/6 with three home runs and five RBIs. He was one of six Diamondbacks hitters to have a multi-hit game.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Prediction
With an overall record of 49-59, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 16.5 games. The Nationals are on a three-game losing streak, dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Diamondbacks. Washington’s record in the division is 16-15 this year.
At home, the Nationals are 23-27 this season, and they have gone 26-32 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 39-50 this season, and they are 10-9 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 14-18-2, and they have won two straight series on the road.
The Nationals have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 34-24. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 52-37. Their average run differential in games they win is +3.4, while it is -3.7 in games they lose.
The Washington Nationals are on the road facing the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals have an over/under record of 53-51 for the season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-17 in those games. Washington has played 39 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 36.1% of their games. They are currently on a two-game over streak.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-8 with an ERA of 4.51. Gore’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.50. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Gore has finished with a no-decision in each outing. He has allowed at least three earned runs in each of those starts.
Washington’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have not been a very good home run-hitting team this season, as their 87 homers are the worst in the league. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .240, which is 14th in the league.
CJ Abrams is the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as he has 15 homers and is batting .257. Luis Garcia Jr. is also having a good season at the plate, hitting .277 with 11 homers. Over his last two games, Alex Call has gone 3/5 with a homer, and Juan Yepez has gone 8/28 over his last seven games.
Arizona is 57-51 overall and trails the Padres by a half-game for the second spot in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are also six games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Arizona has won two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 contests.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 30-25 this season, and they are just above .500 at 27-26 on the road. Arizona has won four straight series, and their overall series record is 17-13-4 this year.
Arizona has been a strong run line team on the road, going 31-22 this season. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.0. They are 25-30 against the run line at home this season.
The Diamondbacks have been one of the more consistent over teams in baseball this season, with a combined run average of 9.8. They have a 58-47 over/under record, and when the line is set at 8.5, they are 21-14. In total, 43 of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5, which is 39.8% of their games. They are currently on a four-game over streak.
Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Nationals at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.70 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 8.83 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gallen picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Arizona has been one of the league’s top offenses this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. Their team batting average of .257 is 4th in the league, and they have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been especially hot of late, with Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suarez both hitting five home runs in their last eight games. Marte has gone 13/27 in that stretch, while Suarez is batting .367.
For the season, Marte is batting .302 with 24 homers, and his 72 RBIs are the 7th best mark in the league. Christian Walker is 2nd on the team with 23 homers and is batting .254 overall.
Our prediction for today’s Nationals vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the Diamondbacks to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Diamondbacks being -183, we recommend taking the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
If you are looking for a potential parlay, you could look to pair the Diamondbacks with another favorite, as we see this game being relatively close, with our predicted final score being 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
Christian Walker | Out | Oblique |
Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
Jordan Weems | Out | Shin |
Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |