Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Preview
At 9:40 PM ET, the Giants and Diamondbacks will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -226. The Giants have won five straight and their record is 79-79, putting them 4th in the NL West.
Wednesday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the pitching matchup features Mason Black for the Giants and Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks. Gallen is 3-3 with a 2.89 ERA this season.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- The Giants are 5-0 across their last five road games. They have gone 5-0 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Diamondbacks have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 5-0 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Giants have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.
Thanks to an 11-run 3rd inning for the Giants’ offense, they cruised to an easy 11-0 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Giants were at +134 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Logan Webb for the Giants, and he went six innings while giving up just two hits and no earned runs. Webb finished the game with three strikeouts and allowed just one walk. On the other side, Brandon Pfaadt got the start for the Diamondbacks and went just 2 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and took the loss.
SF got a huge performance from Heliot Ramos, as he went 4/5 with a home run and three RBIs. Both Brett Wisely and Tyler Fitzgerald each drove in two for the Giants’ offense.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is 79-79 overall this year, and they have won five straight games, spanning their last five games. In the NL West, the Giants are 14.5 games behind the Dodgers and are 4th in the division. So far, they have gone 26-25 in divisional games.
The Giants have been good at home this year, going 41-37, but they are just below .500 at 38-42 on the road. San Francisco has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 24-21-4 this year. As the road underdog, the Giants are 25-31 this season.
The Giants have a run line record of 81-77 this season, including a 47-33 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in five straight road games, and they are 48-32 against the run line as an underdog this season.
San Francisco is on the road in Arizona today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Giants’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 80-71. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-10. Overall, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for just 12.7% of their games this season.
Giants starter Mason Black has made seven starts this year and is coming off a strong outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Royals, he went 5 2/3 innings and got the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Black has a record of 1-4 and an ERA of 5.88. Opposing batters are hitting .291 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, Black has 7.49 strikeouts and 2.67 walks. On the road, his ERA is 7.9 compared to 5.54 at home.
Over the past 10 games, Heliot Ramos has gone 12/40 with two homers and four RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .270, which is 3rd best on the team. Ramos has also gone deep 22 times this season, which is the 2nd most on the Giants. Michael Conforto has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/35 with four homers in his last nine games. Conforto’s 10 RBIs in this stretch is the most on the team.
As a team, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also 12th in home runs and have a team batting average of .238. San Francisco’s offense has been pretty consistent, as they are 13th in road games and 20th in home games in terms of runs per contest.
Arizona is hosting the Giants today with an overall record of 87-71, and they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have dropped three straight games, and they trail the Padres by 2.5 games for the second wild card spot in the NL. So far, they are 26-22 against other teams in the NL West this year.
As the home team, the Diamondbacks are 42-35 this year, with a 45-36 mark on the road. Arizona has dropped two straight games as the favorite, and they are 51-32 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 36-39 this year. So far, their overall series record is 26-19-4.
Arizona has been a solid run-line bet this season, going 82-76 overall. However, they have been much better on the road, where they are 48-33. As a favorite, they are just 35-48 on the run line, but as an underdog, they are 47-28. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, while in losing games, it is -3.8.
Arizona Diamondbacks games have been high-scoring this season, as their contests have averaged 10.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 90-60, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 35 times and under 19 times. Overall, 58 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 36.7% of their contests.
Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes in with a record of 13-6 and an ERA of 3.74. So far this season, he has made 27 starts and has a WHIP of 1.29. Gallen has turned in 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.19 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work but still got the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Gallen has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.83 compared to 6-3 with a 3.88 ERA on the road.
As a team, the Diamondbacks are the top-scoring offense in the MLB, averaging 5.5 runs per game. This has been the case both at home and on the road. They also have the league’s top on-base percentage and OPS. Arizona is also near the top of the league in terms of batting average, home runs, and slugging percentage.
Ketel Marte has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/27 in his last nine games with four homers. For the season, he is batting .295 with 35 homers and 93 RBIs. Eugenio Suarez is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 29 homers and 98 RBIs this season. Suarez’s batting average is just .254, but he has been one of the league’s top run producers.
Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks to pick up the win. However, with their money line odds at -226, we actually prefer to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also pair a Diamondbacks win with the over, as we have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks. Looking at today’s starters, we actually have both Mason Black and Zac Gallen finishing with six strikeouts.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Sewald | Out | Neck |
| Merrill Kelly | Questionable | Calf |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Ryne Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Bryce Jarvis | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Harrison | Out | Shoulder |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
