Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Preview
From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Giants and Diamondbacks facing off in an NL West matchup. This one gets started at 9:40 PM ET, and the Giants are on a three-game winning streak, but they are still just 77-79 overall. The Diamondbacks are 87-69 and Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound.
San Francisco is the +145 money line underdog, while the Diamondbacks are favored at -172. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the game can be seen on MLB TV.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Giants have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Diamondbacks have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 5-0 record in their last five home contests.
- The Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Giants’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
The Giants’s offense was carried by Blake Snell in their most recent game vs. the Royals. Snell put together a good start, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine Kansas City batters. The Giants’s offense scored their only two runs in thejson 2nd inning.
San Francisco is the slight favorite on the money line going into this road game. They closed out their series vs. the Royals with a 2-0 win. It was a good bounce-back performance, as they had lost the previous two games. The Giants’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning and didn’t have another hit the rest of the game.
San Francisco is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 77-79 overall this season. The Giants are 4th in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 16 games in the division. So far, they have gone 24-25 in divisional matchups.
As the Giants are the road today, they are 36-42 this season compared to 41-37 at home. San Francisco has won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 31-47 as the underdog overall. The Giants have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 46-32. They have won two straight series and are 24-21-4 in series this year.
The Giants have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 79-77 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 45-33. In their last three games, they have covered the run line each time. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 46-32, compared to 33-45 as the favorite.
San Francisco’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and the Giants have an over/under record of 79-71. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 9 runs, the over has hit at a 7-2 clip. Only 6.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs.
Right-hander Hayden Birdsong is starting for the Giants today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 4-5 with a 4.74 ERA. Birdsong’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.39. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Birdsong has been much better on the road this year, coming in with a 7.62 ERA compared to 4.0 at home. His overall BB/9 figure is 5.46.
Heading into today’s game, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is just slightly below their season average of 4.4 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 16th in the league, and are 13th in the league in home runs. In terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS, they are all in the bottom half of the league.
Over his last seven games, Mike Yastrzemski has three home runs, but is just 5/27 (.185). For the season, he is batting .247 with an OBP of .330. Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power hitters this season, with Chapman leading the team with 26 homers and Ramos sitting in 2nd with 21.
The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 10-9 loss. Arizona was the +117 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things looked good for the Diamondbacks early on, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added seven more runs in the 3rd.
However, the Diamondbacks couldn’t close things out, and the Brewers scored 10 runs in the 4th to steal the win from Arizona. Justin Martinez took the loss out of the bullpen, and the Diamondbacks couldn’t score in the 9th to tie things up. Eugenio Suarez had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and scoring three runs. The Diamondbacks also wasted a good start from Jordan Montgomery, who went 4 1/3 innings, giving up just three runs and striking out six.
Arizona is 87-69 overall and is 6.0 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. In their division, they are 3rd and trail the Padres by three games for the 2nd spot in the division. This year, they have gone 26-20 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-33 this season and have gone 45-36 on the road. Arizona has won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 51-30 overall when favored. As the home favorite, the Diamondbacks have gone 35-19 this year. They closed out their series vs. the Brewers with three straight wins and are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
Arizona has a run line record of 82-74 on the season, with a run line record of 34-41 at home. They have a run line record of 48-33 on the road, with a run line win streak of three games. As the underdog, they are 47-28 on the run line this season.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing at home against the San Francisco Giants today. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Diamondbacks games this season is 10.4 runs, and their over/under record is 89-60. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 19-11-3. Overall, 24 of their games have had higher O/U lines than 9 runs, making up 15.4% of their games.
Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will look to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Rockies on September 18th, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and he finished with 11 strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, Rodriguez had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts before his outing vs. the Rockies. For the season, he has made eight starts, has a record of 3-3, and his ERA is 5.09. Opposing batters are hitting .271 off Rodriguez this year.
Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the best team OPS in the league. They have been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 3rd in homers and have a collective isolated power figure of .178.
Both Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suárez have been big power threats this season, with Marte leading the team with 35 homers and Suárez right behind him at 29. Marte has been especially hot of late, batting .310 with four homers over his last nine games. Suárez is also on a six-game hitting streak.
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks, and with the money line payout, we would recommend taking the Diamondbacks to win straight up. However, with the payout being -172, we actually like the over at 9 runs, with the payout being -115.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Hayden Birdsong, and we have his final strikeout total at six. As for Birdsong, he is projected to finish with five K’s.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- The Diamondbacks should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Sewald | Out | Neck |
| Merrill Kelly | Questionable | Calf |
| Gabriel Moreno | Questionable | Side |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Ryne Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Bryce Jarvis | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Harrison | Out | Shoulder |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
