Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Preview
At 3:40 PM ET, the Giants and Diamondbacks face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line (-127). The Giants have a money line odds of +107, and they are 29-33 this season, while Arizona is 29-32.
Wednesday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on ESPN. Jordan Hicks is starting for the Giants, while the Diamondbacks are going with Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery and the Diamondbacks are looking to extend their four-game win streak, while the Giants have lost six in a row.
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Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Giants in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 2-8 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Giants have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.
It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Giants series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight favorites at -119 and came away with an 8-5 win. The Diamondbacks offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding four more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Giants got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final four runs in the 7th.
Ketel Marte and Gabriel Moreno each had two RBIs for the Diamondbacks’ offense. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Kevin Newman also had a two-hit game for Arizona.
Blake Walston only went 4 1/3 innings for the Diamondbacks but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued four walks. Kevin Ginkel got the win out of the bullpen, and Paul Sewald got the save.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
With a record of 29-33, the Giants are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by nine games. The Giants have dropped six straight games, and they lost the first two games of this series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 12-13 in divisional games.
At home, the Giants have gone 17-14 compared to 12-19 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 12-19 this year and 17-14 when favored. San Francisco’s overall series record is 10-7-2, and they have won three straight series on the road.
San Francisco has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 29-33 overall. However, they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 16-15. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games and are just 12-19 on the run line as the favorite.
San Francisco is on the road against Arizona today. The over/under line for the game is 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. The Giants have a 33-27 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-6. Only 9.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
SF starter Jordan Hicks comes into the game with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.70. So far, he has made 12 starts and three of them have been quality starts. Per nine innings, Hicks is averaging 7.39 strikeouts and 2.7 walks. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up more than one earned run. Hicks has been much better at home, with an ERA of 2.61 compared to 3.06 on the road.
Over the Giants’ last seven games, Matt Chapman has gone 8/28 (.286), but he has yet to hit a home run during this stretch. However, Chapman is the team’s leader in homers for the season, with eight. Thairo Estrada also has eight homers this season, and he is batting .243 for the year.
Thairo Estrada comes into the game as the Giants’ leader in RBIs, with 31, and Michael Conforto is 2nd on the team with seven homers. Conforto is batting .265 for the season, and Chapman is hitting .242. Both of these averages are below their career norms.
Arizona has won four straight games, and they are 29-32 overall this season. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West, 8.5 games behind the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 13-9 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 15-15 this season compared to a 14-17 mark on the road. Arizona has won two straight home games and are 12-9 as the home favorite this year. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 13-19 this season, and they are 6-11-2 in series this year.
Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 16-15, and they’ve been particularly good against the run line in their last two games, both wins. They are 28-33 overall vs. the run line, with an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game. They have been better vs. the run line as an underdog, going 18-14.
Arizona has been a part of 45 games this season with an average of 9.3 runs scored per game. Their over/under record is 27-32, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 9-8. This season, 42.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, with 26 games having higher lines and 18 games having lower lines.
Left-hander Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Giants at home. He has made eight starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 5.48 ERA. Montgomery’s WHIP for the season is 1.56, and opponents are batting .289 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Montgomery has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 5.68 strikeouts per nine innings.
Arizona’s offense has been solid this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .246, which is 7th in the league, and they are also 11th in slugging percentage. Collectively, they are 16th in home runs.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been a strong 1-2 punch for the Diamondbacks, as they are tied for the team lead with 12 homers apiece. Walker comes into the game with a 5-game hitting streak but has hit just .227 over that stretch. Marte has gone 8/18 in his last five games, including two homers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also homered in two straight games but is batting just .236 for the season.
There are a few ways to play this game, but we are going to stick with a straight money line pick and take the Diamondbacks to get the win. At -127, there is a decent payout, and we have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jordan Hicks finishing with just four strikeouts and lasting 5.1 innings. As for Jordan Montgomery, we have him finishing with five strikeouts and going 5.2 innings.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
Zac Gallen | Out | Hamstring |
Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
Geraldo Perdomo | Out | Knee |
Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
Luis Frías | Out | Shoulder |
Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
Nick Ahmed | Out | Wrist |
Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
Blake Snell | Out | Groin |
Austin Slater | Out | Head |
LaMonte Wade Jr. | Out | Hamstring |
Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
Marco Luciano | Out | Hamstring |
Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
Keaton Winn | Out | Forearm |
Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |