Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 5/3/2024

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At 9:40 PM from Chase Field in Phoenix, we have an NL West matchup between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Heading into Friday’s game, the Padres are 16-18 compared to the Diamondbacks at 14-18. San Diego is currently favored on the money line at -108.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and you can catch this one on MLB Network. Dylan Cease is starting for the Padres, and he is facing off against Slade Cecconi for the Diamondbacks.

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Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Padres in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Diamondbacks have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• In their previous ten games, the Padres have recorded a 6-4 record as the favorite, while they have a 3-7 record as the underdog.
• In their last ten games, the Diamondbacks have a record of 4-6 as the favorite and 6-4 as the underdog.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing one run to the Reds in the top of the first, the Padres responded with two runs of their own. San Diego went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

Starting for the Padres was Joe Musgrove, who picked up the win while going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Reds batters. Jake Cronenworth had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Padres scored four runs in the 2nd.

San Diego is 16-18 overall as they take on the Diamondbacks on the road today. The Padres are 3rd in the NL West, 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional matchups.

The Padres have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Reds with a win. At home, the Padres are just 8-12 this year, but they have gone 8-6 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 11-10 this year and 5-8 as the underdog. San Diego’s series record is 5-5-2 this year.

San Diego has been a strong bet on the run line overall this season, going 17-17. They have been especially strong on the run line on the road, where they are 11-3. In their two most recent games as the run line favorite, they have covered, but overall, they are just 9-12 on the run line when favored.

San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 18-15, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. However, the over/under line for their games has been set at 8.5 runs just 11.8% of the time. Their combined run average for the season is 9.6 runs per game. They have gone over the total in their last two games, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Diamondbacks is set at 8.5 runs.

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Padres today. In that April 27th start, Cease took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, Cease had picked up the win in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 2.78, along with a record of 3-2. Cease’s WHIP for the season is .87, and opponents are batting .142 vs. Cease this year. So far, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 10.09 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Diego’s offense has been strong so far this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (9th) and batting a collective .250 (6th). They are also near the top of the league in home runs and walks. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top power threats so far, with Profar batting .342 and Cronenworth at .265. Cronenworth’s five homers is 2nd on the team, while Profar is 3rd with four.

Profar and Cronenworth have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Profar going 16/37 in his last 10 games and Cronenworth batting .286 with two homers in this stretch. Profar is also on an eight-game hitting streak, while Cronenworth has a six-game streak going.

The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with an 8-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the slight favorite at +121 on the money line. Things really got away from the Diamondbacks in the 2nd inning, as the Dodgers scored five runs in the inning. Arizona’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.

Jordan Montgomery got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Diamondbacks had seven hits but only scored one run. Joc Pederson was hot at thejson, going 3/4 with a run scored.

Arizona is 14-18 overall this season, and they are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 8-6 against other teams in the NL West. The Diamondbacks kick off their series vs. the Padres at home today.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-8 this season compared to 6-10 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 15 games, going 8-7 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 6-11 this season. Arizona’s overall series record is 3-6-1, and they have dropped three straight series.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet so far this season, going 15-17 overall. They’ve been even better at home, where they’re 8-8 against the run line. The Diamondbacks have been a better play as the underdog, going 9-8 against the run line in those games. They’ve been outscoring opponents by an average of 0.6 runs per game this season.

The Diamondbacks have had a combined run average of 9.6 this season, and their over/under record is 13-18. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 3-4. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and the Diamondbacks have hit the under in their last two games.

Slade Cecconi will be making his first home start of the season for the Diamondbacks, as they take on the Padres. Cecconi is coming off a loss in his last outing, but he was solid, going 6 innings and allowing just 1 earned run. He struck out 8 batters, but did give up a home run.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Diamondbacks, going 8/23 in his last seven games with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, Walker is batting .276 and is 7th in the league with 22 RBIs. He also leads the team with seven homers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Ketel Marte have also gone deep five times this season, which is 6th in the league and 2nd on the team.

As a team, the Diamondbacks are 6th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the better hitting teams in the league, as they have the 7th best team batting average and are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts.

Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout being -108. We have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Padres, and with the payout being close to even, this is the route we recommend going.

Looking at some of the projections for today’s starters, Dylan Cease is predicted to go five innings, and we have him finishing with six strikeouts. As for the Diamondbacks, they are projected to finish with seven strikeouts as a team, and their starter is projected to go five innings.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• We like the Padres on the moneyline (-108)
• The Padres are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report

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