Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Phillies have won two straight and are now 68-46 overall, which is the best record in the NL East. They are slight money line favorites today at -114 compared to the Diamondbacks at -106. Today’s over/under line is at 9.5 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 9:40 PM ET from Chase Field in Phoenix. Jordan Montgomery is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Kolby Allard for the Phillies. In the NL West, the Diamondbacks are 63-52, and they are on a four-game winning streak.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Phillies in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- The Phillies are 3-7 in their last ten games as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
- 9-1 is the record of the Diamondbacks as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 5-5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Dodgers, closing out their series with a 9-4 win. After allowing two runs to the Dodgers in the bottom of the first, the Phillies responded with a run of their own and added another three runs in the 2nd inning. Philadelphia went on to score a total of nine runs on 10 hits and issued just three walks.
Starting for the Phillies was Tyler Phillips, who picked up the win. He went five innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Philadelphia’s offense was carried by Kyle Schwarber, who went 4/4 with three homers and seven RBIs.
Philadelphia is on the road today to take on the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 68-46, putting them in 1st place in the NL East. The Phillies hold a 7.5-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies have been playing well recently, having won two straight games, and they are 15-10 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have gone 38-21 this year, and they are 30-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 58-35 this year and 10-11 as the underdog. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 20-14-5, and they have dropped three straight series at home.
When the Phillies are on the road, they have a run line record of 29-26, including a 2-game run line win streak. Their average run margin on the road is +0.5 runs per game, which is slightly lower than their overall run line record of 57-57 and their average run margin of +0.9 runs per game. They have been the favorite in 93 games this season, going 46-47 against the run line.
When the Phillies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 53-56. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 4-6. Only 5.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 9.5 runs, with just six games having that high of a line.
Kolby Allard will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Phillies, and it will come on the road against the Diamondbacks. In his first start, he went 4 innings and gave up 3 runs on 6 hits. He did strike out 4 batters and allowed just 1 walk.
For the season, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .256, which is 5th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs.
Over his last seven games, Kyle Schwarber has been on fire, going 13/28 with five homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .261 with 27 homers. Schwarber is on a seven-game hitting streak, while Alec Bohm has a nine-game streak going. Bohm is batting .297 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 78 RBIs.
Josh Bell had a big game at the plate in the Diamondbacks’s 5-3 win over the Guardians to close out their series. He went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Diamondbacks really got things going with a two-run 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 3rd. Arizona was the slight favorite at -110 on the money line going into the game.
Eduardo Rodriguez started for the Diamondbacks, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up three runs on four hits and issued two walks. Rodriguez only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Arizona is hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 63-52, which has them three games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks will be looking to pick up a win today, as they have won four straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Guardians with a three-game winning streak.
So far, the Diamondbacks have gone 19-14 in divisional games this season. At home, they are 31-25 and have gone 32-27 on the road. Arizona has won three straight games at home, and they have an overall series record of 20-13-4 this year.
The Diamondbacks have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 59-56. They have been especially good on the run line as the underdog, going 37-24. They have been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 34-25. Their average run differential in winning games is 4.1 runs per game.
Arizona’s games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, but the Diamondbacks have played to the over just 63 times in 111 games. The over/under line for tonight’s game against the Phillies is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 9 runs per game. This season, the over has hit in just 3 of their 10 games with a line of 9.5 runs.
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes into the game with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 6.37. So far this year, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .303 off the left-hander. Montgomery has a BB/9 figure of 3.36 compared to 5.91 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in three innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least six earned runs in three straight outings. Montgomery has made five quality starts this year.
Arizona comes into today’s game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, and they have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts this season.
Ketel Marte has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 29 home runs are 5th best in the MLB. He also leads the Diamondbacks with 80 RBIs. However, Marte has struggled at the plate of late, going just 4/20 in his last five games. Christian Walker has also been a good power source for Arizona, as his 23 homers are 10th best in the league.
Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line, with the payout being -114. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. However, if you’re looking for a potential payout, you could also look to take the over, as we have the final score going over the 9.5 run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kolby Allard is predicted to finish with a higher strikeout total than Jordan Montgomery. However, we have Montgomery finishing with a lower ERA. At the plate, the Phillies are actually predicted to finish with the most home runs in the league today, while the Diamondbacks are predicted to finish 13th.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips
- We like the Phillies on the moneyline (-114)
- The Phillies are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Christian Walker | Out | Oblique |
Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
Gabriel Moreno | Out | Groin |
Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
Bryce Jarvis | Out | Elbow |
Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
Austin Hays | Questionable | Hamstring |
Ranger Suárez | Out | Back |
José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |