Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 8/27/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Preview

Both the Mets and Diamondbacks will be looking to pick up a win in this NL matchup, as the Mets are 68-63, while the Diamondbacks are 75-56. There is a six-game winning streak for the Diamondbacks, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East.

SNY will be televising this one, with the first pitch from Chase Field being set for 9:40 PM ET. Eduardo Rodriguez will be starting for the Diamondbacks, while the Mets are sending Sean Manaea to the mound. New York is the slight money line favorite.

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• The Mets are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• On the other side, the Diamondbacks have gone 5-0 (SU) and 5-0 in their previous five home contests.
• Over the last ten games, Mets has a record of 6-4 when playing as favorites and 4-6 when playing as underdogs.
• The Diamondbacks hold a 6-4 record as the favorite and a 8-2 record as the underdog.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Padres scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. New York was the +102 underdog on the money line going into the game.

Jose Quintana put together a good start for the Mets, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Edwin Diaz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from J.D. Martinez, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.

The Mets are 68-63 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies for the division lead. They have gone 22-17 in divisional games this year. New York is just above .500 at home with a 35-33 mark but have been good on the road, going 33-30.

As the favorite, the Mets have put together a record of 43-35 this year and are 25-28 as the underdog. They kick off their series vs. the Diamondbacks on the road, and the Mets are 15-13 as the road favorite this year. New York’s overall series record is 21-16-8, and they are coming off a series split vs. the Padres.

When the Mets are on the road, they have a 34-29 run line record, and their average run margin is +0.3 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 62-69, and they have a run line win streak of 2 games. The Mets have been the underdog in 53 games this season, and their run line record in those games is 31-22.

When the Mets are on the road this season, the over has hit in 24 of their 41 games (58.5%). The Mets’ games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have an over/under record of 66-61 on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 3.48 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on three homers. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road, where he is 4-2 with a 3.45 ERA compared to 5-3 with a 4.44 ERA at home.

Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets, going 11/34 in his last eight games, including three home runs and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 78 RBIs, which is also 15th in the league. For the season, Lindor is batting .269, and he is also on a six-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso is also tied with Lindor for the team lead in home runs, as both players have gone deep 27 times this season.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in team batting average and have the league’s 9th best OPS at .740.

The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 7-5 win. After allowing one run to the Red Sox in the bottom of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with three runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 5th inning.

Merrill Kelly put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just four earned runs, and picking up the win. Arizona’s offense was carried by Eugenio Suarez, who went 4/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Arizona is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 75-56, which has them three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks have won six straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with three straight wins. So far, they are 22-14 in divisional games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 37-26 this year and 38-30 on the road. Arizona has won six straight games at home, and they are 7-11 as the home underdog this year. As the underdog overall, the Diamondbacks are 34-32, and they are 41-24 when favored.

Arizona’s run line record is 69-62, with an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been a profitable run line team on the road, going 40-28, compared to 29-34 at home. They are 42-24 against the run line as an underdog, while they are 27-38 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while it’s -3.8 in losses. They have covered the run line in seven straight games as the underdog.

Arizona has been a popular over bet this season, with a 72-52 over/under record. The average over/under line in Diamondbacks games this season has been 9 runs, but today’s line is set at 8.5 runs. Arizona games have averaged 10 runs per game this season, and in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over is 27-17. In 38.2% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Eduardo Rodriguez is getting the start for the Diamondbacks at home against the Mets. He has started the season with a win in each of his first two outings, and in his last start, he struck out 5 and gave up just 1 earned run in 5 1/3 innings against the Marlins.

Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .261, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB right now. Arizona also leads the league in on-base percentage and is 5th in slugging percentage.

Over the past five games, Eugenio Suarez and Geraldo Perdomo have been swinging the bat well, with both players hitting two home runs and batting over .360. Suárez is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker are the team’s top home run hitters, with 30 and 23 homers, respectively.

Our prediction for this Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -115. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, and we recommend sticking with the Diamondbacks to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Eduardo Rodriguez finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Sean Manaea with six. Rodriguez is also predicted to finish with fewer earned runs than Manaea, as we have Rodriguez finishing with the third-fewest among all starters.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (-115)
• On the run line we like Diamondbacks (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report