Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Both the Dodgers and Diamondbacks will be looking to keep their streaks alive on Sunday, as Los Angeles has won four in a row, while Arizona has dropped three straight. This NL West matchup has a first pitch set for 4:10 PM ET from Chase Field in Phoenix. The Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West, with a record of 76-60, while the Dodgers are 1st in the division at 82-54.
Justin Wrobleski is starting for the Dodgers, and he will be facing off against Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks. Los Angeles comes into the game as the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -103 compared to the Diamondbacks at -117. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks have achieved a 5-0 (SU) record and 5-0 record in their last five home games.
- In their previous ten games, Dodgers have won 8-2 as favorites and 5-5 as underdogs.
- The Diamondbacks are 6-4 (favorite) and 7-3 (underdog).
Los Angeles picked up an 8-6 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their eight runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored four of their six runs in the 7th inning.
Gavin Stone got the start for the Dodgers, going just five innings while giving up five runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision, as Ben Casparius got the win out of the bullpen. Evan Phillips got the save. Ryan Thompson took the loss for Arizona out of the bullpen.
Freddie Freeman, Shohei Ohtani, and Mookie Betts each homered for the Dodgers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hit the game’s other home run for the Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is on a four-game winning streak, and they lead the NL West by six games over the Diamondbacks. So far, they have gone 23-18 against other teams in the NL West. The Dodgers are 82-54 overall and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Diamondbacks.
At home, the Dodgers have been strong, going 45-24 this season. On the road, they are 37-30 and have won three straight as the road favorite. Los Angeles’ overall record as the favorite is 77-44, and they are 5-10 as the underdog. The Dodgers have an overall series record of 25-17-2 and have won four straight series.
When betting the run line, the Dodgers are a .500 team on the road, going 33-34. They are 7-8 when getting runs and 61-60 when giving runs. Their average run differential in all games is +0.9 runs per game. In their wins, it jumps to +3.5 runs per game, while in their losses, it drops to -3.1 runs per game.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-61 overall. When the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 9-8-2, and they have had 20 games with over/under lines set higher than 9 runs this season.
Justin Wrobleski will be on the mound for the Dodgers as they take on the Diamondbacks. This will be his 4th start of the season, and he has yet to take a loss. In his last outing, he picked up the win against the Cardinals, going 5 innings and giving up 4 runs on 4 hits. He has 3 home runs allowed on the year.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear of late for the Dodgers, going 12/38 in his last nine games with five homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, Ohtani is batting .293 with a team-leading 44 homers and 98 RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season at the plate for the Dodgers, as he is batting .263 with 28 home runs and 87 RBIs.
As a team, the Dodgers are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game and are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team, which is 5th in the league.
With an overall record of 76-60, the Diamondbacks are six games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. Arizona will be at home today, and they are 38-30 both at home and on the road. The Diamondbacks have dropped three straight games, losing the first two games of this series vs. the Dodgers.
Arizona’s overall series record is 24-14-4, and they have won two straight series on the road. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are an even 34-34 this year, and they are 42-26 as the favorite. At home, they are 7-13 when listed as the underdog.
When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. However, when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.7 runs per game. This season, they are 71-65 against the run line, with a 40-28 record on the road, compared to 31-37 at home. They are 43-25 against the run line as the underdog, compared to 28-40 as the favorite.
Arizona’s games have averaged 10.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-53. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Diamondbacks are 17-11-3. The over has hit in two straight games, and 21 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 9 runs, accounting for 15.4% of their games.
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Dodgers at home. Pfaadt has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 4.31 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on eight hits. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Pfaadt has a WHIP of 1.17 and is averaging 8.44 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 19 homers. Pfaadt has a batting average allowed of .249.
Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the MLB’s top team in terms of on-base percentage and are also among the league leaders in batting average and slugging percentage. The Diamondbacks have also been doing a good job of making contact, as they are 7th in the league in strikeouts.
Corbin Carroll and Josh Bell have been swinging hot bats of late, with Carroll batting .314 over his last nine games and Bell hitting .400. Carroll has also gone deep five times during this stretch. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Ketel Marte are also having strong seasons at the plate, with Marte leading the team with 30 homers and Gurriel Jr. having gone deep 17 times.
Our predicted final score for this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Dodgers. With the Dodgers being on the road, you can get them on the money line at -103, and this is our recommended bet for today’s game.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, with the line sitting at 9 runs. However, we have this one finishing with 11 total runs, so we are sticking with the Dodgers to pick up the win.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- We like the Dodgers on the moneyline (-103)
- The Dodgers are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | Out | Ankle |
| Christian Walker | Out | Oblique |
| Gabriel Moreno | Out | Groin |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryce Jarvis | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
