Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers Preview
From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Tigers and Diamondbacks facing off in an interleague matchup. This one gets started at 4:10 PM ET, and it is being televised by BSDET.
The Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -147 compared to the Tigers at +125. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and both teams are sending a starter to the mound that is 2-0. Matt Manning is starting for the Tigers, and he will be facing Jordan Montgomery.
Check out BetCoco for Arizona Diamondbacks – Detroit Tigers odds
Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Tigers in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Diamondbacks have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- The Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Tigers’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
Detroit cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 7th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored all three of their runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +122 on the money line.
Javier Baez had a four-hit game for the Tigers, scoring two runs and driving in one. Gio Urshela also had three hits and an RBI. Wenceel Perez scored four times for Detroit while going 2/4.
Jack Flaherty pitched well for the Tigers in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Zac Gallen had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit is 23-22 overall and 5.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers have won two straight games, and these two wins have them leading the Diamondbacks 2-0 in their series. So far this season, they have gone 10-6 in AL Central games.
At home, the Tigers are just 10-13 this season, but they have been better on the road, coming in with a mark of 13-9. As the road underdog, the Tigers are 9-8 this season, and they are 12-10 as the favorite. Detroit’s overall series record is 6-6-2, and they have dropped four straight series.
The Tigers have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 21-24 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 15-7. They have covered the run line in five straight road games and have an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game away from home.
The Detroit Tigers have been on a two-game over streak, and their games have gone over the total in three of their last four. The Tigers’ combined run average for the season is 8.0, but their games have averaged 8.5 runs when the over/under line is set at that number. Overall, the Tigers have gone over the total in 22 of their 43 games this season.
Matt Manning will be making his second road start of the season, as he will be taking on the Diamondbacks. Manning has been solid in his first three starts, but has yet to pick up a win. He has 19 strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings, but has given up 3 earned runs in each of his first two starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .234 and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs. Detroit’s team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all below the league average.
Riley Greene and Mark Canha are the Tigers’ top home run hitters this season, and they are also 2nd and 3rd in RBIs, respectively. Greene and Canha are also 1st and 2nd in terms of home runs. Greene is batting .248 for the season, and Canha isn’t far behind at .247. Over his last eight games, Andy Ibanez is hitting .321 with two homers, and Kerry Carpenter has also gone deep twice in his last seven games while batting .308.
Arizona is looking to pick up a win today, as they are 21-25 overall and trail the Dodgers by nine games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Tigers 0-2. So far, they have gone 9-8 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 11-13 this season compared to 10-12 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 11-10 this season and 10-15 as the underdog. They have dropped two straight at home, and their overall series record is 5-8-1 this year. Looking at their recent games, the Diamondbacks are 5-5 over their last 10.
When betting the run line with the Diamondbacks, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 12-10 against the run line. Arizona’s overall run line record is 21-25, and they have a run line record of 9-15 at home. The Diamondbacks have been the underdog in 25 of their games this season and are 14-11 against the run line in those contests.
The Diamondbacks have had 20 games with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs this season, and the over has hit in 43.5% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and the over/under line for their games has been set at an average of 9 runs per game. In their last two games, the combined runs have been 11 and 13, hitting the over in both games.
Jordan Montgomery will be making his 3rd start of the season and his 2nd at home. In his first start of the year, he took a loss against the Dodgers, and then he picked up a win vs. the Reds. In that outing, he went 7 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. In his most recent start, he went 5 1/3 and gave up 3 earned runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Diamondbacks are 7th in the MLB in runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. This is also where they are at in terms of home runs, as they have a combined 42 homers this season. As a team, Arizona is batting .242, which is 12th in the league. Over his last five games, Christian Walker is just 3/18, but he does have one home run in that stretch and is 11th in the league with 28 RBIs.
Both Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been good power threats for the Diamondbacks this season, as Marte’s nine homers are 6th in the league, and Walker’s eight is 7th. Marte is also on a 17-game hitting streak. Walker is batting .255 for the season, and Marte comes in at .287.
Our prediction for this game is that the Diamondbacks will pick up a 5-4 win over the Tigers. With the money line sitting at -147, this is the best way to play this one, as we also have the Diamondbacks coming out on top in a head-to-head matchup.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Montgomery finishing with four strikeouts compared to Matt Manning with six. However, Manning is projected to go seven innings, while Montgomery will go six.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Tigers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Out | Knee |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Frías | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shelby Miller | Out | Forearm |
| Kenta Maeda | Out | Illness |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
