Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Betting Tips 5/17/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers Preview

From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Tigers and Diamondbacks facing off in an interleague matchup. The Tigers are currently 4th in the AL Central, and the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West. Detroit is favored on the money line (-143), and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 9:40 PM ET, and BSDET will be televising the game. Tarik Skubal is starting for the Tigers, while the Diamondbacks are going with Ryne Nelson. Arizona comes in on a two-game winning streak, and they are +121 on the money line.

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Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats

• The Tigers are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Diamondbacks have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Tigers have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a runline record of 3-7.
• When playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have gone 1-9 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 4-6 over their last ten games.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 2-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the heavy favorite at -166 at home. Offensively, the Tigers only had two fewer hits than the Marlins but didn’t score a run. Both of their hits were singles.

Casey Mize put together a good start for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just two runs on two hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Detroit’s offense wasted a big game from Carson Kelly, who went 3/3 with a run scored.

Detroit is 21-22 overall and trails the Guardians for the AL Central lead by 5.5 games. The Tigers have dropped two straight games, and they lost the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins. So far, they have gone 10-6 in AL Central matchups.

At home, the Tigers are just 10-13 this year, but they have gone 11-9 on the road. As the road favorite, the Tigers are 3-1 this season, and they are 11-10 overall as the favorite. Detroit’s overall series record is 6-6-2, and they have lost four straight series.

The Tigers are a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 19-24 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 13-7 against the run line. They are currently on a three-game run line win streak on the road. They have been a better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 15-7, compared to just 4-17 as the favorite.

Despite a recent under streak, the Tigers have seen 44.2% of their games with over/under lines set at 8 runs or lower this season. Their combined run average is 7.8, and the over/under record is 20-21. The over/under line for today’s game against the Diamondbacks is set at 8 runs.

Tarik Skubal will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Astros. In that May 11th start, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and he had seven strikeouts. Skubal has made six straight starts without taking a loss, and he has a record of 5-0 this season. The left-hander’s ERA is an impressive 2.02, and his WHIP for the season is .86. Opposing batters are hitting .189 off Skubal this season. Out of his eight starts, he has turned in six quality starts.

Mark Canha and Riley Greene have been the Tigers’ most consistent power threats this season, with Canha leading the team with 20 RBIs and Greene’s nine homers being the best mark on the team and 5th best in the league. Canha is batting .241, while Greene is hitting .239. Canha is also on a three-game hitting streak. Andy Ibanez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 in his last eight games, including two homers.

Overall, the Tigers are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. Their team batting average of .225 is also one of the league’s worst marks. Detroit’s home and road scoring averages are very similar, with the Tigers averaging 4.2 runs per game on the road and 3.7 runs per game at home.

Heading into their last game vs. the Reds, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at -156. Offensively, the Diamondbacks only scored two runs on six hits and didn’t have a big inning. Christian Walker went 2/4 with a homer, and Ryan Thompson scored the team’s other run, going 1/3.

Brandon Pfaadt got the start for the Diamondbacks, going seven innings and giving up just one run on two hits. He only had nine K’s in the outing and got the win.

Arizona will host the Tigers with an overall record of 21-23, and they are in 2nd place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are seven games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead, and they are 9-8 in divisional games this year. The Diamondbacks took the series lead from the Reds, winning the final two games of the series, and they are 7-3 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 11-11 this season compared to 10-12 on the road. Arizona has been the favorite in 20 of their games, going 11-9 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 10-14 this season. So far, they have an overall series record of 5-8-1.

Arizona is 21-23 against the run line this season, including a 9-13 mark at home. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 14-10 in those games. They have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of +0.7 runs per game on the road and -0.0 at home.

Arizona’s over/under record is 18-24, and the average line for their games is nine runs. When the line has been set at eight runs, the over/under record is 1-0-1. The Diamondbacks have played 34 games with lines set higher than eight runs, which accounts for 77.3% of their games. Their combined run average is 9.4 runs per game, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Ryne Nelson will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, as he got the start and went 4 2/3 innings. In that outing, he gave up three earned runs, 10 hits, and one homer. Nelson finished with a no-decision in the outing. Before that, he had picked up the win vs. the Padres, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 5.33, along with a record of 2-2. Opponents are batting .343 vs. Nelson this season. So far, he has made one quality start.

Heading into today’s game, the Diamondbacks are 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Arizona has also been one of the better home run-hitting teams in the league, as their 42 homers are 12th in the league. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power threats this season, with Walker’s eight homers ranking 2nd on the team and Marte’s nine leading the way. Walker also has a team-high 28 RBIs, which is 10th in the league. However, Marte has struggled of late, batting just .225 over his last nine games.

Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, with the payout sitting at +121. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ryne Nelson finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal, who we have finishing with six. However, Skubal has a better chance of picking up a win than Nelson, as Nelson is 11th among starters in terms of win probability.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips

• We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (+121)
• On the run line we like Diamondbacks (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report

Detroit Tigers Injury Report