Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Preview
At 3:40 PM ET, the Rockies and Diamondbacks face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are heavily favored on the money line at -216. The Rockies are +180 underdogs, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.
Wednesday’s matchup features Tanner Gordon for the Rockies and Jordan Montgomery for the Diamondbacks. The Rockies are 44-77 this season, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak. The Diamondbacks are 68-53 and have won five straight.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Rockies in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- The Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- The Rockies have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Arizona rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs. Rockies series. The D-backs scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the D-backs were favored at -203 on the money line.
Colorado wasted a good outing from Austin Gomber, as he gave up just two earned runs in six innings of work for the Rockies. Victor Vodnik took the loss. Joe Mantiply got the win out of the bullpen for Arizona as Eduardo Rodriguez went five innings, giving up three earned runs.
Jake McCarthy was the only player in the game to have more than one hit, as he went 3/5 with two RBIs. Brendan Rodgers had a two-hit game for Colorado.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
With an overall record of 44-77, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 27.5 games. So far, they have gone just 13-26 in divisional matchups. The Rockies have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Diamondbacks 0-2.
At home, the Rockies are 27-32 this season, and they are just 17-45 on the road. This year, they have really struggled in day games, going 13-32. As the underdog, the Rockies are 44-77 this season, and they have dropped two straight as the underdog.
The Rockies have been a good bet against the run line this season, going 62-59. They have been especially profitable as the underdog, going 62-59. Their average run margin is -1.6 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 2.2 runs per game on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and three straight as the underdog.
The Colorado Rockies are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is right around the Rockies’ average combined run average of 10.1 runs per game this season. Colorado has an O/U record of 61-57 on the year, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 4-5-1. Overall, 49.6% of their games this season have had O/U lines set at 9 runs or higher.
After starting the season with a loss to the Giants, Tanner Gordon has picked up a no-decision in each of his last two starts. He went 6 innings in his most recent outing, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 7. He has yet to give up a home run in his first two starts.
Colorado’s offense has been very good at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. Overall, they are 17th in the league at 4.3 runs per contest. The Rockies have been a good home run hitting team this season and come into the game with the league’s 11th best team batting average.
Michael Toglia and Ezequiel Tovar are both tied for 2nd on the team with 19 home runs, with Toglia batting just .214 and Tovar hitting .275. However, Tovar has really struggled of late, going just 6/31 in his last seven games. Brendan Rodgers has been hot of late, going 11/27 in his last seven games and is currently on an eight-game hitting streak.
Arizona is 68-53 overall this season, and they are currently 2nd in the NL West, 3.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks have won five straight games, and they are 9-1 over their last ten, which includes taking the first two games of this series vs. the Rockies. In divisional games this year, the Diamondbacks are 21-14.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 36-26 this season and have gone 32-27 on the road. As the home favorite, Arizona is 29-15 this season and 37-21 as the favorite overall. Arizona has won eight straight series and have an overall series record of 20-13-4 this season.
Arizona has been a solid run line bet overall this season with a 62-59 record, but they have been much better on the road where they are 34-25. They have been a run line underdog in 63 games this season, and they have covered the run line in 39 of those games. The Diamondbacks have a +0.6 run differential on the season, and they have been outscored by an average of 3.9 runs in their losses.
Arizona’s games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-50. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 14-11-3. So far this season, 17 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, which is 14.0% of their games.
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Montgomery’s ERA for the season is 6.37, and he has a record of 7-6. Looking back over his last four outings, Montgomery has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. The left-hander has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. So far, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .304 off Montgomery this season.
Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .261, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and have the league’s top home run hitter in Ketel Marte, who has gone deep 30 times this season.
Over his last eight games, Jake McCarthy has gone 14/31 with three homers and 15 RBIs. Corbin Carroll is also on a five-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last eight games. Both McCarthy and Carroll have three homers in this stretch.
Our recommended pick for this Rockies vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the over at 9 runs. We see the Diamondbacks coming out on top by a final score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Jordan Montgomery picking up more strikeouts than Tanner Gordon, but we still like the over pick better. Montgomery is projected to finish with six K’s, while Gordon is at five.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Ketel Marte | Questionable | Ankle |
Christian Walker | Out | Oblique |
Zac Gallen | Questionable | Cramp |
Gabriel Moreno | Out | Groin |
Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
Bryce Jarvis | Out | Elbow |
Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Freeland | Questionable | Finger |
Dakota Hudson | Out | Elbow |
Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
Cal Quantrill | Questionable | Forearm |
Ryan Feltner | Out | Shoulder |
Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |