Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
At 3:40 PM ET, the Reds and Diamondbacks square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line (-143). The money line odds for the Reds are sitting at +122, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Diamondbacks, while the Reds are sending Andrew Abbott to the mound. Cincinnati is 5th in the NL Central, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West.
Check out BetCoco for Arizona Diamondbacks – Cincinnati Reds odds
Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats
- The Reds are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- The Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Reds have a 1-9 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Cincinnati cruised to a 6-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight underdogs at -103.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Hunter Greene for the Reds and Slade Cecconi for the Diamondbacks. Greene went seven innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Cecconi was tagged for six runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Cincinnati’s offense was led by Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson, and Jake Fraley, as they were the only three Reds hitters to have more than one hit. Benson and Stephenson each homered in the game.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati is 18-24 overall as they are seven games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Reds will be on the road today, taking on the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 1-2 in the division, which is good for 5th place.
The Reds have dropped five straight series, and their overall series record is 4-8-1. As the road underdog, Cincinnati is 6-10 this year, and they are 9-13 at home. On the road, the Reds are 9-11 overall. Heading into today’s game, the Reds are 2-8 over their last 10.
The Reds have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 13-7. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 12-10 against the run line as underdogs. Cincinnati’s average run differential in winning games is +4.1, while it is -3.2 in losses.
When the Reds play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs 45.2% of the time. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-20. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 3-4. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game.
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-4. Abbott’s ERA is 3.35, and he is coming off a solid outing vs. the Giants, where he got the win. In that outing, he went five innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking back at his last three outings, Abbott has given up two earned runs in each. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 7.74 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed a total of eight homers.
Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds’ top power threat so far this season, as his nine home runs are 5th in the league and the best mark on the team. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .200 over his last nine games. Overall, De La Cruz is batting .260 for the season. Spencer Steer has also been a key power source for the Reds, as he is 10th in the league in RBIs (29) and has four homers.
As a team, the Reds are batting just .220, which is 25th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .301 is also near the bottom of the league. Cincinnati’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game and has been slightly better on the road (4.5 RPG) than at home (4.2 RPG).
Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 8.5 games. Overall, they are 20-23, and they are 9-8 against other teams in the NL West. The Diamondbacks will be at home today, hosting the Reds, with an overall series record of 4-8-1 this year.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 10-11 compared to 10-12 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 19 of their games, going 10-9 in those. As for their games as the underdog, they are 10-14 this year. Arizona has dropped three straight series at home.
Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 21-22 overall. The Diamondbacks have been better on the road, going 12-10 against the run line, compared to 9-12 at home. Arizona has been a better bet as the underdog, going 14-10 against the run line, compared to 7-12 as the favorite. The Diamondbacks have an average run margin of 0.3 runs per game this season.
The Diamondbacks have played 20 games this season with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 18-23 on the season, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-6.
Arizona is giving the ball to right-hander Brandon Pfaadt today, and he comes into the game with a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 4.60. Pfaadt has made eight starts this year and has pitched well at home, coming in with an ERA of 4.47 compared to 4.70 on the road. He has turned in four quality starts this year and is averaging 8.04 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt’s last outing came on May 10th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 8th in the league, and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league. Arizona’s offense has also been good at drawing walks this season.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power threats this season, with Walker leading the team with 27 RBIs and Marte’s 9 homers being the best mark on the team and 5th in the league. However, Marte has gone just 5/23 in his last five games. Joc Pederson has two homers in his last six games, batting .353 in that stretch.
Our prediction for the Diamondbacks vs. Reds matchup is that the Diamondbacks will pick up a 6-5 win. With their money line sitting at -143, this is the best way to go about betting on this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Brandon Pfaadt is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 16th among starters. As for Andrew Abbott, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 13th among starters.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Reds (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Out | Knee |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Frías | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Young | Out | Back |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Thumb |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Noelvi Marte | Out | Suspension |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
